Flawed coronavirus studies
Flawed coronavirus treatment studies are being promoted by the mainstream media as a way to disparage the effective treatment of hydroxychloroquine.
Among the flaws in these studies are:
- Preferentially using hydroxychloroquine to treat the sickest patients (when compared to the control group)
- Faked Data
- Giving hydroxychloroquine in toxic doses
- Delayed initiation of treatment
- Varied initiation of treatment
- A lack of testing for SARS-CoV-2 in outpatients
- Not having a large enough sample size to achieve statistical significance.
Depending on which study the media cites to discourage the use of hydroxychloroquine, the studies have one or more of these flaws.
The VA study
Outcomes of hydroxychloroquine usage in United States veterans hospitalized with Covid-19, also known as the VA study, was one of the first studies to suggest that the use of hydroxychloroquine could be harmful... The paper stated there were 27 deaths (27.8%) in the HCQ group, 25 deaths (22.1%) in the HCQ + azithromycin group, and 18 deaths (11.4%) in the no HCQ group.[1] The first flaw in this study was that it was small... it only had 368 patients. The second flaw was that it delayed treatment with hydroxychloroquine... the drug works best when it is given early in the disease progression. The third and most egregious flaw was that it was giving hydroxychloroquine preferentially to the sickest patients.
| “ | Baseline demographic and comorbidity characteristics were comparable across the three treatment groups. However, hydroxychloroquine, with or without azithromycin, was more likely to be prescribed to patients with more severe disease, as assessed by baseline ventilatory status and metabolic and hematologic parameters. Thus, as expected, increased mortality was observed in patients treated with hydroxychloroquine, both with and without azithromycin.[1] | ” |
If one gives hydroxychloroquine preferentially to the sickest patients when compared to the control group, then the fact that more patients died when they were given hydroxychloroquine should be unsurprising.
Lancet study
Hydroxychloroquine or chloroquine with or without a macrolide for treatment of COVID-19: a multinational registry analysis[2], also known as Surgisphere, was one of the next studies to suggest that hydroxychloroquine was harmful. According to its authors, hydroxychloroquine had a 18% mortality rate when used to treat COVID-19 and the mortality rate raised to 23.8% when it was combined with an antibiotic, whereas the control group only had a 9.3% mortality rate. The main problem with this study was that it was a complete fraud. The following is a partial list of its flaws.
- No reproducibility[3][4]
- No traceability of the data[3][4]
- No transparency of the review[3][4]
- Data was too "clean" to have occurred naturally[5][6]
- Impossible to collect the data in the way the researchers claimed without violating privacy laws[7][6]
- Not enough authors to conduct a study of its size[7]
- Too many Australian deaths... it's data claimed to have recorded 73 Australian deaths by April 21 but the number of COVID-19 deaths in Australia didn't reach 73 until April 23.[7]}}
- Not adhering to standard practices in the machine learning and statistics community[4]
- Implausible ratios of chloroquine to hydroxychloroquine use[4]
- Mean daily doses of hydroxychloroquine that are 100 mg higher than FDA recommendations.[4]
The RECOVERY Trial
One of the most commonly cited studies by the media is the UK's RECOVERY trial. This trial gave the drug in hospitalized patients which is a bit late to be giving the drug, although studies such as the ones conducted at Mount Sanai hospital and the Henry Ford hospital system have shown that hydroxychloroquine can reduce the number of deaths in those patients by about 50%. The RECOVERY trial's biggest flaw was that it used toxic levels of the drug... the maximum recommended dose for hydroxychloroquine is 800 mg per day[8] and the RECOVERY trial used a daily dose of 2400 mg[9], a dose that is three times higher! When one of the lead researchers, Martin Landray, was asked why he used such a high dose in his trial, he said "the chosen dosage is in line with the dosages used for other diseases such as amoebic dysentery." That actually isn't correct... hydroxychloroquine isn't used to treat amoebic dysentery. Diiodohydroxyquinoline is. This has lead to speculation that the doctors of the RECOVERY trial confused the two drugs.[10][11][12]
References
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 Outcomes of hydroxychloroquine usage in United States veterans hospitalized with Covid-19 by Joseph Magagnoli et al. (April 21, 2020) 10.1101/2020.04.16.20065920v1
- ↑ Hydroxychloroquine or chloroquine with or without a macrolide for treatment of COVID-19: a multinational registry analysis
- ↑ 3.0 3.1 3.2 https://melwy.com/blog/lancet-paper-on-chloroquine-is-overhyped-real-world-data-should-not-be-a-black-box
- ↑ 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 An open letter to Mehra et al and The Lancet by James Watson (May 28, 2020) 10.5281/zenodo.3862788
- ↑ Grim Milestone: 100k+ US Coronavirus Deaths by Chris Martenson (May 26,2020) PeakProsperity
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 Arkanacideisreal's twitter post by arkancideisreal (May 22,2020) Twitter
- ↑ 7.0 7.1 7.2 Questions raised over hydroxychloroquine study which caused WHO to halt trials for Covid-19 by Melissa Davey (27 May 2020 22.27 EDT) The Guardian
- ↑ Hydroxychloroquine Dosage (Jun 15, 2020) Drugs.com
- ↑ Randomised Evaluation of COVID-19 Therapy (RECOVERY) by Peter Horby et al. Version 6 (2020-05-14)
- ↑ Covid-19: hydroxychloroquine treatment rejected by giants of the global health establishment by Annette Gartland (June 21, 2020) Changing Times
- ↑ Recovery trial: Brexit and overdose by The Citizens’ Collective for FranceSoir (May 8, 2020) FranceSoir
- ↑ Outrage! Why The US Gov't Lied To Us About Masks by Dr. Chris Martenson (Jun 16, 2020) PeakProsperity