Difference between revisions of "Trump third party"
(evidence holds true for more than 60 years, actually) |
(But when there is a significant third-party candidacy, as in 1968, 1980, and 2000, the media have a more difficult time being influential with its liberal bias.) |
||
| Line 2: | Line 2: | ||
The [[Fox News Channel]] opposes this and made it the first issue of the [[2016 presidential debate]]. But in 1980, it was a third-party candidacy by fellow [[Republican]] [[John Anderson]] which helped elect the [[conservative]] [[Ronald Reagan]]. Also, the third-party candidacies of [[Ralph Nader]] and [[Pat Buchanan]] helped elect [[George W. Bush]] in 2000, and the third-party candidacy of [[George Wallace]] in 1968 helped elect [[Richard Nixon]]. Indeed, the last 60 years suggest that is more likely for a non-incumbent Republican to win the presidency when there is a third-party candidacy, than when there is not. | The [[Fox News Channel]] opposes this and made it the first issue of the [[2016 presidential debate]]. But in 1980, it was a third-party candidacy by fellow [[Republican]] [[John Anderson]] which helped elect the [[conservative]] [[Ronald Reagan]]. Also, the third-party candidacies of [[Ralph Nader]] and [[Pat Buchanan]] helped elect [[George W. Bush]] in 2000, and the third-party candidacy of [[George Wallace]] in 1968 helped elect [[Richard Nixon]]. Indeed, the last 60 years suggest that is more likely for a non-incumbent Republican to win the presidency when there is a third-party candidacy, than when there is not. | ||
| + | |||
| + | == Effect on the Media == | ||
| + | |||
| + | In 2008 and 2012, in the absence of third-party candidacies, the [[liberal media]] were able to tee off against the [[Republican Party]] candidate in an unrelenting style. But when there is a significant third-party candidacy, as in 1968, 1980, and 2000, the media have a more difficult time being influential with its [[liberal bias]]. | ||
| + | |||
| + | == Effect on Debates == | ||
== Effect on Swing States == | == Effect on Swing States == | ||
Revision as of 19:00, August 11, 2015
Trump third party run refers to the possibility that Donald Trump will run as a third-party candidate in the 2016 presidential election.
The Fox News Channel opposes this and made it the first issue of the 2016 presidential debate. But in 1980, it was a third-party candidacy by fellow Republican John Anderson which helped elect the conservative Ronald Reagan. Also, the third-party candidacies of Ralph Nader and Pat Buchanan helped elect George W. Bush in 2000, and the third-party candidacy of George Wallace in 1968 helped elect Richard Nixon. Indeed, the last 60 years suggest that is more likely for a non-incumbent Republican to win the presidency when there is a third-party candidacy, than when there is not.
Effect on the Media
In 2008 and 2012, in the absence of third-party candidacies, the liberal media were able to tee off against the Republican Party candidate in an unrelenting style. But when there is a significant third-party candidacy, as in 1968, 1980, and 2000, the media have a more difficult time being influential with its liberal bias.
Effect on Debates
Effect on Swing States
Historically, the swing states have been Florida, Ohio, Nevada, North Carolina and Virginia.