Difference between revisions of "Trump third party"
(The last 35 years suggests that is more likely for a non-incumbent Republican to win the presidency when there is a third-party candidacy, than when there is not.) |
(evidence holds for more than 50 years - non-incumbent Republican has not won the presidency without the benefit of a third-party candidacy) |
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'''Trump third party run''' refers to the possibility that [[Donald Trump]] will run as a third-party candidate in the [[2016 presidential election]]. | '''Trump third party run''' refers to the possibility that [[Donald Trump]] will run as a third-party candidate in the [[2016 presidential election]]. | ||
| − | The [[Fox News Channel]] opposes this and made it the first issue of the [[2016 presidential debate]]. But in 1980, it was a third-party candidacy by fellow [[Republican]] [[John Anderson]] which helped elect the [[conservative]] [[Ronald Reagan]]. Also, the third-party candidacies of [[Ralph Nader]] and [[Pat Buchanan]] helped elect [[George W. Bush]] in 2000. | + | The [[Fox News Channel]] opposes this and made it the first issue of the [[2016 presidential debate]]. But in 1980, it was a third-party candidacy by fellow [[Republican]] [[John Anderson]] which helped elect the [[conservative]] [[Ronald Reagan]]. Also, the third-party candidacies of [[Ralph Nader]] and [[Pat Buchanan]] helped elect [[George W. Bush]] in 2000, and the third-party candidacy of [[George Wallace]] in 1968 helped elect [[Richard Nixon]]. Indeed, the last 50 years suggest that is more likely for a non-incumbent Republican to win the presidency when there is a third-party candidacy, than when there is not. |
== Effect on Swing States == | == Effect on Swing States == | ||
Revision as of 18:10, August 11, 2015
Trump third party run refers to the possibility that Donald Trump will run as a third-party candidate in the 2016 presidential election.
The Fox News Channel opposes this and made it the first issue of the 2016 presidential debate. But in 1980, it was a third-party candidacy by fellow Republican John Anderson which helped elect the conservative Ronald Reagan. Also, the third-party candidacies of Ralph Nader and Pat Buchanan helped elect George W. Bush in 2000, and the third-party candidacy of George Wallace in 1968 helped elect Richard Nixon. Indeed, the last 50 years suggest that is more likely for a non-incumbent Republican to win the presidency when there is a third-party candidacy, than when there is not.
Effect on Swing States
Historically, the swing states have been Florida, Ohio, Nevada, North Carolina and Virginia.