Last modified on March 13, 2020, at 16:14

Essay:An analysis of the 2020 Senate election in Arizona

This essay is an original work by Liberaltears. Please comment only on the talk page.


With the 2020 U.S. Senate special election in Arizona approaching, the stakes are be high as to what the general election results will turn out to be. Sen. Martha McSally, who lost the 2018 Senate election to the misogynist, far-left bigot Kyrsten Sinema, was appointed by Gov. Ducey to the seat that was long-held by RINO McCain, and thus facing a special election that she needs to win in order to serve out the remainder of her term.












Background

McSally's temporary RINO-leaning record/views

Initially opposing Donald Trump's candidacy for president, McSally had been too obsessed with the Access Hollywood tape controversy, later stating that she was unsure if she should vote for him in the 2016 presidential election. After Trump became president, she showed signs of obstructionism, such as opposing Trump's NATO policy. According to On the Issues, McSally only "personally" opposed same-sex "marriage" in 2018 and in addition even pushed for DACA protections that year. According to Mark Levin, McSally wouldn't go on his show (see here). Her 2016 opposition to Trump had likely let down many conservatives in Arizona.

2018 election - hard lessons learned

McSally lost the general election to radical Marxist Sinema by a slim margin. It is important to note that concurrent with the 2018 Senate election was the Arizona gubernatorial election where Doug Ducey won re-election by over 15% of the vote. It is important to note that Ducey had been staunchly pro-Trump since the president's campaign, where McSally clearly wasn't. McSally did praise Trump as the 2018 Senate election approached when she finally realized that she needed the president's support, but it had been too late. Abandonment from many anti-establishment conservatives (see here and here) was among the largest factors that caused her downfall. McSally's campaign was promoted by establishment Republicans like McConnell initially, which would've highlighted pro-establishment ties and a likely more moderate record. Republican voter base abandonment of establishment swamp RINOs since the Trump era proved to be costly for many Republicans in general.

Appointment

McSally was seeking RINO Jeff Flake's Senate seat, but since she lost the election to Sinema, she was instead appointed to RINO McCain's seat after interim Jon Kyl retired.



2020 election approaching

Staunch support for Trump

Ever since being in the Senate, McSally became a much stronger supporter of President Trump, helping advance his pro-American agenda. The senator voted against the impeachment coup and made an appearance at the Arizona Trump rally in 2020 to praise the president for his policies.

Senate effectiveness/accomplishments

At the Trump rally in February 2020, McSally promised to introduce a bill to lower prescription drug costs. She later kept her promise, sponsoring the bill, which was titled the Lowering Prescription Drug Prices for America's Seniors and Families Act of 2020. (see here) An effective legislator, McSally has authored 46 bills in 2019, more than anyone else in the Senate. (see here)

Rebuke against CNN reporter Manu Raju

When CNN liberal hack Manu Raju asked McSally if the U.S. Senate should consider "new evidence" for the Senate impeachment trial, the senator told the reporter that he was a "liberal hack".

Liberal snowflake over-reaction

Many liberals had over-reacted to McSally's rebuke, as present throughout social media. At least one left-wing website was created amidst the hysteria over McSally's comment.

Mark Kelly, likely opponent

McSally's likely 2020 opponent in the general election is the liberal Biden-backing Mark Kelly. Kelly's wife is Gabrielle Giffords, a popular former representative from Arizona.

Fake election polling

Many polls conducted in Arizona amidst the upcoming election are fake. Almost all have high margins of error (some around ±4%!), low sample sizes, and poor samples to accurately conclude from (keyword: likely voters).

This user's election prediction

Since the election is currently rated as a "tossup" by many prominent political analysts, an accurate and conclusive prediction is hard to reach. The general election result margins are most likely going to be slim unless Sen. McSally campaigns aggressively and reaches out to Arizona conservatives to prove to them that she's a pro-Trump conservative despite past obstructions.