Risk management

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Risk management is "the continuing process to identify, analyze, evaluate, and treat loss exposures and monitor risk control and financial resources to mitigate the adverse effects of loss."[1] It is an organized method of identifying and measuring risk and developing, selecting, and managing options for handling these risks.

In the corporate world, risk management is likely to have one of two meanings.

Risk management can be viewed as an insurance related activity. A corporate risk manager, having performed the functions in the opening paragraph, will liaise with brokers and underwriters to ensure there is proper insurance coverage in place. Similarly, the decision may be made to "Self Insure", which means to not have insurance.

Another frequently encountered meaning of risk Management refers primarily to corporate treasury matters, wherein the risk manager attempts to identify and mitigage those risks that occur from dealing in foreign currencies and interest bearing instruments. As both exchange rates and interest reates can be very volatile, such risks can be significant. Normally such risks are reduced through the purchase of forward contracts or swaps.

Risk/reward ratio

According to Investopedia:

The risk/reward ratio marks the prospective reward an investor can earn for every dollar they risk on an investment. Many investors use risk/reward ratios to compare the expected returns of an investment with the amount of risk they must undertake to earn these returns. A lower risk/return ratio is often preferable as it signals less risk for an equivalent potential gain.

Consider the following example: an investment with a risk-reward ratio of 1:7 suggests that an investor is willing to risk $1, for the prospect of earning $7. Alternatively, a risk/reward ratio of 1:3 signals that an investor should expect to invest $1, for the prospect of earning $3 on their investment.

Traders often use this approach to plan which trades to take, and the ratio is calculated by dividing the amount a trader stands to lose if the price of an asset moves in an unexpected direction (the risk) by the amount of profit the trader expects to have made when the position is closed (the reward).

In many cases, market strategists find the ideal risk/reward ratio for their investments to be approximately 1:3, or three units of expected return for every one unit of additional risk. Investors can manage risk/reward more directly through the use of stop-loss orders and derivatives such as put options.[2]

Articles on risk/reward ratio for investment

Risk tolerance is the amount of risk that an investor is willing to endure.[3]

Consequences model

See also: Consequences Model

The Consequences Model "provides a framework for understanding decision-making in situations where the stakes are high and reliable information is scarce. While not a standardized or formally named graph, the model is often visualized as a two-by-two matrix that helps decision-makers prioritize actions based on the level of knowledge and the potential impact of outcomes. This article explores the structure of the Consequences Model, its key quadrant of high-impact, low-knowledge scenarios, and how it can guide effective decision-making. A textual representation of the matrix is included to illustrate its application."[4]

The high-impact, low-knowledge quadrant is the main focus of the Consequences Model, as it especially hightlights situations where decisions are both critical and uncertain. These scenarios demand a unique approach, often involving rapid iteration, risk mitigation, and contingency planning.

Managing in a VUCA environment

VUCA stands for volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity. It describes the situation of constant, unpredictable change that is now the norm in certain industries and areas of the business world."[5]

See also: Management

"VUCA stands for volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity. It describes the situation of constant, unpredictable change that is now the norm in certain industries and areas of the business world."[6]

Effective decision making in a VUCA world

Taking risk in business and entrepreneurship

"Don't put all your eggs in one basket" - Popular saying.

For more information, please see: Diversification

Taking risk in business

Taking risk in entrepreneurship

Revenue diversification and businesses

See also: Revenue diversification and businesses

Diversification is a risk-reduction strategy for a business involving adding products, services, locations, customers and markets to your business's portfolio.[7]

For more information, please see: Revenue diversification and businesses

The Black Swan Model

"In a world driven by data and predictions, the Black Swan Model, introduced by Nassim Nicholas Taleb in his seminal book The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable, challenges our reliance on historical patterns to forecast the future. Black Swan events—rare, high-impact occurrences that lie beyond the realm of normal expectations—defy conventional predictive models. These events, such as the 2008 financial crisis, the rapid rise of the internet, or global pandemics, reshape societies, economies, and industries in ways that hindsight often deems "obvious" but foresight fails to anticipate. This article explores the Black Swan Model, its implications, and practical strategies for preparing for the unpredictable."[8]

Article:

See also

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References