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2010 Midterm Elections

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/* 2010 Midterm elections and wave of anti-abortion laws due to the red wave election */
[[Image:CapitalMidterm-losses-1960-2010.jpg|thumbpng|right|400px|The United States Capitol in Washington, D. C.]] In the '''2010 Midterm Elections,''' the nation will elect the 112th Congress, including all members of [[Republican Party]] gained 63 seats in the [[U.S. House and one third of Representatives]] and six seats in the [[U.S. Senate, together with a majority of ]] from the [[Democratic Party]]. Republicans also gained six governorships , including [[Florida]], [[Pennsylvania]], [[Ohio]], and many [[Michigan]]. Republicans gained 680 seats in state and local officeslegislatures, the most in the modern era.<ref>[http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/wehner/380851]</ref>
After Republicans gained the [[Democratic Party]] successes in the 2006 off-year election (when they recaptured Congress), augmented by more gains in most House seats since the [[United States Presidential Election, 2008|Presidential Election of 20081938 Midterm Elections]], the question is whether the Democrats will hold giving Republicans their gains or slip back. Since the Democrats have an advantage of 257-178 in the biggest Housemajority, the GOP must gain 40 seats to recapture control. With the and Democrats in control of the Senate 59-41 (counting the two independents)their smallest minority, the GOP needs to gain 10 seats in the Senate to retake controlsince [[1946 Midterm Elections|1946]]. Here are When [[CNNblue dog]]'S top 100 races to watch: [http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/07/27/the-cnn-100-full-list/[Democrats]]. There are an additional 25 races which added to the [[liberalsRepublicans]] also risk losing on certain issues like [[Election Daygun control]]or [[marriage]], the [[Republican]] majority is even greater than in 1946.
Early voting is increasingly important: "One-fifth Democratic loses could be attributed to public rejection of the electorate voted early in 2004socialistic policies of the [[Obama administration]]. The public disapproved of [[President Obama]]'s economic policies. In the days leading up to the election, onea majority of voters supported repealing/replacing [[Obamacare|The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act]], sixty-quarter five percent of voters said that the [[economic stimulus package]] either hurt the economy or did in 2006no good, and one-third in 2008."<ref>httphttps://www.msnbc.msncbsnews.com/id/39444285/ns/politics8301-decision_2010503544_162-20021591-503544.html</ref>and fifty-four percent of those voting said they were dissatisfied with the performance of [[Barack Obama]]. Given the high level of Democratic success in the 2006 and 2008 elections, they were also put in the position of having to defend a large number of seats.
===Fund raising===Although Democratic fund raising is significantly lower than the 2007-2008 election cycle <ref>http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp[[John Boehner]] (R-dyn/content/article/2009/09/24/AR2009092404906.html?hpid=topnews</ref>Ohio), they have still gotten off to a faster start than Republicans. By January 2010 Democratic candidates and party committees had raised a total become [[Speaker of $396.5 million for the midtermsHouse]] in the 112th Congress, exchanging places with $50 million on hand and $10 million debts[[Nancy Pelosi]] (D-California). Republicans had raised just $204.7 millionBy tradition Pelosi would be expected to resign her leadership position after such a stunning repudiation by the electorate, with about $30 million but as a self-centered [[liberal]] she insisted on hand and about $6 million in debts. For becoming the House elections Democratic candidates had raised $151 million and Republicans $109 millionnext Minority Leader. In the Senate elections Democratic candidates had raised $98 million and Republicans $67 million.<ref> for latest updates see [http://www.opensecrets.org/ OpenSecrets.org]</ref>
===2009 elections===
In the Nov. 3, 2009, off-year elections, defeat was the fate of Democrats in [[New York City]], [[New Jersey]] and [[Virginia]]. Mayor [[Michael Bloomberg]], an independent, spent his way to a third term in New York City while Republican [[Bob McDonnell]] won in a landslide for governor of Virginia; in New Jersey Republican [[Christopher Christie]] ousted the incumbent Democrat [[Jon Corzine]] despite his millions and Obama's campaigning.
Conservatives scored a major internal party victory in Oct. 2009 by forcing the Republican candidate [[Dede Scozzafava]] out of a House race in New York's 23rd district, for being too liberal. The Conservative Party candidate was defeated by the Democrat, however, opening up recriminations between GOP officials and conservatives on why the district was lost for the first time in a centurysince 1992. Already, conservative Conservative activists have zeroed in on the 2010 race for Florida's open Senate seat, in which the Republican party Senate campaign committee has endorsed moderate Gov. [[Charlie Crist]] but the more conservative [[Marco Rubio]] is mounting mounted a strong successful challenge. "If I were Charlie Crist in Florida, what's happening in New York 23 would make me extremely nervous," GOP strategist Todd Harris said. "A lot of the establishment Republicans underestimated the grass-roots anger across the country about spending and the expansion of the federal government. The anger is boiling over now, but a lot of the seeds of discontent were planted over the last five to six years."<ref>Karl Vick and Philip Rucker, [httphttps://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/10/31/AR2009103102219.html "In a war within GOP, the right wins a battle," ''Washington Post'' Nov. 1, 2009]</ref>
===Ad campaigns===
In late 2009 national money was being poured into nine districts, where Democrats who voted for their party's health care reform may be in trouble. The [[U.S. Chamber of Commerce]], representing business, has spent at least $1.6 million in November. Liberals shoot back against the Chamber and 60 Plus Association with ads targeting 12 Democrats and one Republican who supported health reform. Three liberal groups, [[Americans United for Change]] and the labor unions [[AFSCME]] and [[SEIU]] are teaming up for $1.75 million worth of counter-messaging on broadcast and cable TV in the districts of Reps. Berry, Cao, Connolly, Donnelly, Ellsworth, Hill, Hodes, Michaud, Murphy, Perriello, Pomeroy, Snyder and Titus.
In mid-October the [[Democratic National Committee]], echoing charges debunked<ref>[http://patdollard.com/2010/10/new-york-times-obama-and-team-are-lying-about-chamber-of-commerce-and-foreign-money/]</ref> by the ''[[New York Times]],'' insinuated that the U.S. Chamber of Commerce was using "foreign money" to fund ads criticizing Democrats. The president said in a Maryland stump speech, "we learned that one of the largest groups paying for these ads regularly takes in money from foreign corporations. So groups that receive foreign money are spending huge sums to influence American elections, and they won't tell you where the money for their ads comes from…. This is a threat to our democracy."
The president himself has recieved received $543,219 from Swiss banking giant UBS AG,<ref>httphttps://www.opensecrets.org/pres08/contrib.php?cycle=2008&cid=N00009638</ref> a foreign banking corporation which was later fined a record $780 million for its part in helping the rich evade U.S. income taxes.<ref>httphttps://abcnews.go.com/Business/story?id=6910350&page=1 </ref>Columnist Ruben Navarrette warned the pitfalls of {{Cquote|playing the "foreign card " is {{Cquote|both offensive and dangerous. It exploits people's fears of the unknown and appeals to the [[prejudice]] that many of us feel toward those who are different. It also fuels ugly nativist instincts that -- once unleashed -- can do real damage....Democrats know this better than anyone because... The [[Barack Obama birthplace controversy|birther]] movement, which suggests that Obama was actually born in Kenya and thus not eligible to serve as a president, is all about playing the foreign card...<ref>[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2010/10/20/playing_the_foreign_card_107647.html]</ref>}}Commentator [[Charles Krauthammer]] called the unfounded attacks on the Chamber of Commerce a baseless [[McCarthyism|McCarthyite]] smear,<ref>httphttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tZm0qZnk5N0&feature=related</ref> while columinst Jacob Sullum wrote,
{{Cquote|[[Obama]]'s attempt to discredit his opponents by linking them to sinister outsiders reminds us that neither major party has a monopoly on [[xenophobia]]. To some extent, crying "foreigner" reflects the president's desperation in the face of the [[Democrat]]s' looming midterm losses.<ref>''[http://reason.com/archives/2010/10/13/logical-farce Logical Farce: Obama's wild attacks on "foreign money" reek of desperation,]''
Jacob Sullum, Reason.com, October 13, 2010.</ref>}}
==Pre-election Forecasts==In recent years, as the chart shows, the incumbent party loses an average of 16 House seats. The GOP needs 40 needed 39 seats to win back the House. [[File:Midterm.jpg|thumb|390px]]
Democrats had to defend about 60 marginal House seats in 2010, as opposed to about 40 for Republicans. At high risk were 27 Democratic seats and just 13 Republican seats that may see a party switch.
Democrats must defend about 60 marginal House seats Election forecasters in 2010September 2009 were revising their predictions downward for the Democrats, as opposed Obama's popularity continues to about 40 for Republicansplunge. At high risk are 27 Democratic seats and just 13 Republican seats that may From April to August, Obama lost 10 points across the board—suffering losses in every group except blacks, who remain loyal to him.<ref>For details see [http://pewresearch.org/assets/pdf/1333.pdf Pew Report, Sept. 2009]</ref> The popularity of Congress remains low. Starting in January 2010 the number of Americans who identify themselves as Democrats was at a seven-year low.<ref>[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/partisan_trends]</ref> The Republican party switch, however, suffers from a lack of leaders and its own poor reputation in voter esteem.
Election forecasters in September 2009 "No question, August proved cathartic for voters and chaotic for congressional Democrats. But way before the town hall meetings during recess, there were revising their predictions downward ample signs for the Democrats, as Obama's popularity continues to plunge. From April to Augustfear for their careers in 2010, Obama lost 10 points across " concluded Cook Political Report House analyst David Wasserman, who predicts the board--suffering losses Democrats will lose 20 seats in every group except blacksthe House, who remain loyal to himbut retain control.<ref> For details see See [httphttps://pewresearchwww.orgpolitico.com/assetsblogs/pdfscorecard/13330909/Cook_Political_Report_A_dangerous_slide_for_Democrats.pdf Pew html Politico, "Cook Political Report, : ‘A dangerous slide’ for Democrats" Sept. 3, 2009online]</ref> The popularity of Congress remains low. Starting in January 2010 the number of Americans who identify themselves as Democrats was at Wasserman concludes that a seven year low. <ref>http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/partisan_trends</ref>The Republican partymajor shift has been underway among "angry white seniors" (over age 60), however, suffers from a lack of leaders and its own poor reputation in voter esteemwho strongly dislike the Obama health care proposals because they fear they will lose benefits they now have.
Analyst Stuart Rothenberg reported that, "No questionGrowing public concern about spending, August proved cathartic for voters taxes and chaotic for congressional the size of government has started to shift the national landscape away from the Democrats. But way before to a more neutral position, and quite possibly toward the town hall meetings during recessGOP."<ref>Stuart Rothenberg, there were ample signs for Democrats "All Signs Point to fear for their careers Another Top-Notch Election Cycle in 2010," concluded Cook Political Report ''Roll Call'' Sept. 8, 2009</ref> Furthermore, an advantage for Republicans was that 48 House analyst David WassermanDemocrats, who predicts 8 more than the Democrats will lose 20 seats in the Housesize of their majority, but retain controlcome from districts that voted for both George W. Bush and John McCain.<ref>See [http://www.politiconationaljournal.com/blogsnjmagazine/scorecard/0909/Cook_Political_Report_A_dangerous_slide_for_Democratscookreport.html Politico, "Cook Political Report: ‘A dangerous slide’ for Democrats" Sept 3, 2009 online] php</ref> Wasserman concludes that a major shift has been underway among "angry white seniors" (over age 60), who strongly dislike the Obama health care proposals because they fear they will lose benefits they now have.
Analyst Stuart Rothenberg is now reportingColumnist Rich Galen observed, "Growing public concern about spending, taxes {{cquote|He railroaded his signature legislation - Obamacare - through the Congress costing his party 60+ seats in the 2010 mid-term election and the size guaranteeing GOP control of government has started to shift the national landscape away from House for the Democrats to a more neutral position, foreseeable future. Chief of Staff [[Rahm Emanuel]] and quite possibly toward Speaker of the GOP."<ref>Stuart Rothenberg, "All Signs Point to Another Top-Notch Election Cycle House [[Nancy Pelosi]] will go down in 2010," history as enablers of the sacrifice of Obama''Roll Call'' Sept. 8, 2009] </ref> Furthermore, an advantage for Republicans is that currently 48 House Democrats, 8 more than s Congressional allies on the size alter of their majority, come from districts that voted for both George W. Bush and John McCainhis enormous ego. <ref>http://www.nationaljournalmullings.com/njmagazine/cookreport11-02-12.phphtm</ref>}}
==Notable House Races==Republicans won twelve House seats from retiring Democrats and defeated 52 Democratic incumbents. Democrats won one Republican-held open seat and defeated two Republican incumbents.
''See: [[2010 House Elections]]''[[File:House-seats.jpg|thumb|275px|Democratic gains by region in 2006 and 2008]]===Defeated Incumbents===
===Hawaii===A special election for U*Rep.S. House of Representatives District 1 in [[HawaiiBobby Bright]] took place in May 22, 2010. Democrat Representative (D-Alabama) by [[Neil AbercrombieMartha Roby]] announced he will retire his seat to make an election run for the Governor of Hawaii. The [[Republican]] candidate [[Charles Djou]], a state official of Honolulu and JAG Officer in the U.S. Army Reserves was elected, defeating Democrats Ed Case and Colleen Hanabusa.
===Pennsylvania===Republican *Rep. [[Tim BurnsAnn Kirkpatrick]] was defeated (D-Arizona) by Democrat Mark Critz in the May 18 special election to fill the remaining eight months of Murtha's term. <ref>[http://newsmax.com/Politics/US-Murtha-Seat/2010/03/12/id/352432 Pa. GOP Picks Burns As Nominee for Murtha's Seat, NewsMax, Friday, 12 Mar 2010[Paul Gosar]]</ref>
==Senate==*Rep. [[Harry Mitchell]] (D-Arizona) by [[David Schweikert]]
Texas Senator *Rep. [[John CornynSalazar]], the head of the (D-Colorado) by [[National Republican Senatorial CommitteeScott Tipton]] has quietly put Senate Republicans in position to benefit as the national political environment goes negative on Democrats. Cornyn has recruited serious candidates in Democratic-held seats in Delaware, Indiana, Illinois, Colorado, Connecticut, North Dakota, California and still maybe Wisconsin, Washington, and New York. With seven open seats to defend, Cornyn understands that he must play offense in a few states if he hopes to position the party to make major gains in the 2012 and 2014 cycles -- both of which, by the numbers, are far more favorable for Republicans.
===Special Elections===*Rep. [[Betsy Markey]] (D-Colorado) by [[Cory Gardner]]
*'''Massachusetts'''Rep. [[Allen Boyd]] (D-Florida) by [[Steve Southerland]]
Republican State Senator *Rep. [[Scott BrownAlan Grayson]] pulled a major upset when he defeated Attorney General (D-Florida) by [[Martha CoakleyDan Webster]] by a 52%-47% margin.
Liberal icon [[Ted Kennedy]], the third longest-serving Senator in U.S. history, died in August 2009, marking the end of an era*Rep. During the [[2004 Presidential ElectionRon Klein]] the Democratic super(D-majority in the state legislator blocked the right of Florida) by [[RepublicanAllen West]] Governor [[Mitt Romney]] to appoint an interim senator had [[John Kerry]] been elected President. After changing the law to allow Governor [[Deval Patrick]], a [[Democrat]], the right to appoint a temporary replacement for Kennedy, he choose former Democratic National Committee chairman [[Paul Kirk]]. He did not seek a full term of his own, and a special election was held on January 19, 2010.
State Attorney General [[Martha Coakley]] won the Democratic primary, defeating businessman Alan Khazei, Representative Mike Capuano, and Boston Celtics co-owner Stephen Pagliuca*Rep. Charismatic State Senator [[Scott BrownSuzanne Kosmas]] was the Republican nominee.<ref> Many high(D-profile Republicans declined to fight the odds, including former White House Chief of Staff Andrew Card, former Governor Mitt Romney, former Lieutenant Governor Kerry Healey and former Florida) by [[Red Sox]] pitcher [[Curt Schilling]], a conservative. See [http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/09/22/AR2009092203804.html news]</ref>. [[File:Sbrown1.jpg|thumb|290px|right|a last minute appealSandy Adams]]
It was a safe Democratic seat until January, when Democrats reeled in shock as Coakley lost her 30 point lead and trailed by 5-10 points in the closing hours*Rep. Coakley was an ineffective machine-style insider candidate who was unable to reach independents. Brown's main theme was that he would be the 41st senator and would block the Obama health care plan--which Massachusetts did not need, he explained, because it had its own plan in operation. Coakley responded by attacking bankers and bringing in big guns like [[Bill ClintonJim Marshall]], (D-Georgia) by [[John KerryAustin Scott]] and [[Barack Obama]]. They appealed to regular Democrats and alienated the equally numerous independents, who prefered Brown by more than 2-1.
The defeat for Coakley, coming on the heels of the Democrats' loss of Virginia and New Jersey in Nov. 2009, was a major blow to the liberal caused and reinvigorated the Republican party nationally*Rep.[[Charles Djou]] (R-Hawaii) by [[Colleen Hanabusa]]
*'''West Virginia'''Rep. [[Walt Minnick]] (D-Idaho) by [[Raul Labrador]]
Popular Democratic Governor *Rep. [[Joe ManchinMelissa Bean]] will run in a special election to replace the late (D-Illinois) by [[Robert ByrdJoe Walsh]]. Businessman and 2006 nominee John Raese has entered the race.
===Open Seats===*Rep. [[Debbie Halvorson]] (D-Illinois) by [[Adam Kinzinger]]
*'''Connecticut'''Rep. [[Bill Foster]] (D-Illinois) by [[Randy Hultgren]]
30-year Senate veteran *Rep. [[Chris DoddPhil Hare]] was ranked the most vulnerable Senator in the 2010 election cycle (D-Illinois) by National Journal. He has announced he will not seek a sixth term. Dodd’s approval ratings had plummeted after his failed presidential campaign in 2008, his controversial mortgage deal from Countrywide, and revelations about the $165 million bonuses for AIG executives that he attached in an amendment to the economic stimulus package, despite receiving federal [[bailoutBobby Schilling]] money. State Attorney General [[Richard Blumenthal]] is seeking the Democratic nomination, increasing Democrats' chances of holding the seat. However, his poll numbers dropped after a [[New York Times]] report revealed that he exaggerated his military record.
World Wrestling Entertainment CEO *Rep. [[Linda McMahonBaron Hill]] won the August 10th Republican primary, defeating former Congressman (D-Indiana) by [[Rob SimmonsTodd Young]] and financial services executive [[Peter Schiff]].
*'''Delaware'''Rep. [[Joseph Cao]] (R-Louisiana) by [[Cedric Richmond]]
[[Joe Biden]] was simultaneously elected to a seventh term in the Senate and Vice President at the same time*Rep. Democratic Governor [[Ruth Ann MinnerFrank Kratovil]] appointed a "caretaker" Senator, [[Ted Kaufman]]. Moderate Republican nine(D-term Congressman [[Michael Castle]], former governor and lieutenant governor, has entered the race and is heavily favored to win the election with State Attorney General [[Beau Biden]] not running. <ref>http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.blogspot.com/2009/10/delaware-senate-moved-to-lean-takeover.html</ref> Polls show Castle leads Biden Maryland) by a conformable margin. <ref>http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_DE_310.pdf</ref> <ref>https://secure.townnews.com/shared-content/subscription/authenticate/index.php?mode=start&domain=ledgerdelaware.com&usereg=&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ledgerdelaware.com%2F%2Farticles%2F2009%2F05%2F04%2Fnews%2Fdoc49ffa1c1afca0453799066.txt%2F&discover=0&amex=0</ref> <ref>http://www.castleforsenate.com/archives/313</ref>Republican political analyst [[Christine O'DonnellAndy Harris]] (who ran against Biden in 2008 and received 35% of the vote) has also announced her candidacy. The Democratic nominee will likely be New Castle County Executive [[Chris Coons]], who trails Castle in the polls. <ref>http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2010/2/25/840648/-DE-SEN:-Castle-Leads,-But-</ref>
*'''Florida'''Rep. [[Mark Schauer]] (D-Michigan) by [[Tim Walberg]]
Republican Governor *Rep. [[Charlie CristJames Oberstar]], who once enjoyed high approval ratings, appointed [[George LeMieux]] upon the resignation of Senator [[Mel Martinez]]. LeMieux is holding the seat temporarily for Governor Crist who is running for the Senate in 2010. He was the establishment pick for the Republican nomination, but was challenged (D-Minnesota) by conservative Florida House Speaker [[Marco RubioChip Cravaack]], who is leading by 32 points according to Public Policy Polling. <ref>[http://www.rollcall.com/news/43979-1.html Poll Shows Rubio Ahead by 32 Points in Florida, RollCall.com, March 9, 2010]</ref> Crist has announced he will drop out of the Republican primary and run as an Independent.
Crist alienated conservatives when he campaigned with President Obama in support for the $787 billion economic stimulus package, which was entirely opposed by the Florida Republican federal delegation*Rep. Democrats have recruited lesser known candidates, including 17th district Representative [[Kendrick MeekTravis Childers]] and North Miami Mayor (D-Mississippi) by [[Kevin BurnsAlan Nunnelee]]. Public Opinion Shows show both Crist and Rubio would lead their Democratic opponents. <ref>http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/florida/election_2010_florida_senate</ref>
*'''Indiana'''Rep. [[Gene Taylor]] (D-Mississippi) by [[Steven Palazzo]]
Two-term Democrat [[Evan Bayh]] dropped out of his reelection in February after polls showed he may be vulnerable after his vote for the [[economic stimulus package]] and government-run health care. Former U.S*Rep. Senator [[Dan CoatsIke Skelton]], who predeced Bayh after retiring in 1998, is running for his old Senate seat. Former six(D-term Congressman Missouri) by [[John HostettlerVicky Hartzler]], State Senator [[Marlin Stutzman]] and businessman Don Bates Jr. were defeated for the Republican nomination. Conservative Congressman [[Mike Pence]] considered running, but is instead seeking reelection in the House.
8th district Congressman *Rep. [[Brad EllsworthDina Titus]] is the Democratic nominee. A March Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely voters in the state found Hostettler with a 50% to 32% lead over Ellsworth. Coats posted a 49% to 34% lead over Ellsworth, with 12% undecided. Stutzman leads (D-Nevada) by just seven points, 41% to 34%. Ellsworth supported President Obama’s health care plan in a state where opposition to the legislation is higher than it is nationally. <ref>http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/indiana/election_2010_indiana_senate</ref>[[Joe Heck]]
*'''Illinois'''Rep. [[Carol Shea-Porter]] (D-New Hampshire) by [[Frank Guinta]]
Democratic Senator *Rep. [[Roland BurrisJohn Adler]] has been plagued (D-New Jersey) by controversies. Burris was appointed to replace Barack Obama by Governor [[Rod BlagojevichJon Runyan]], who had been arrested on a variety of federal corruption charges (including for trying to "sell" Obama's Senate seat). Burris was then accused of committing perjury after he admitted to not testifying truthfully at a committee investigating Governor Blagojevich. Burris has announced he will not seek a full term in 2010.
Republicans see this as a pickup opportunity*Rep. National Journal ranked Illinois the second most likely seat to change party. Moderate-GOP Congressman [[Mark KirkHarry Teague]], representing a Democratic(D-leaning district that covers suburban New Mexico) by [[ChicagoSteve Pearce]], easily won the Republican nomination, while Illinois State Treasurer [[Alexi Giannoulias]] defeated Chicago Inspector General [[David Hoffman]] in a close primary. A February 2010 Rasmussen poll has Kirk leading Giannoulias 46%-40%. <ref>http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/illinois/election_2010_illinois_senate</ref>
*'''Kansas'''Rep. [[Mike McMahon]] (D-New York) by [[Michael Grimm]]
Incumbent Republican *Rep. [[Sam BrownbackJohn Hall]] is honoring his campaign pledge to serve only two terms. 1st district Congressman Jerry Moran defeated 4th district Congressman Todd Tiahrt for the Republican nomination by a 50%(D-45% margin, while Democrats nominated Lisa Johnston, an administrator at Baker University. New York) by [[Nan Hayworth]]
*'''Kentucky'''Rep. [[Scott Murphy]] (D-New York) by [[Chris Gibson]]
Republicans had a victory when unpopular incumbent Senator [[Jim Bunning]] announced he would not seek a third term*Rep. Kentucky Secretary of State [[Trey GraysonMike Arcuri]] sought the Republican nomination, however was defeated (D-New York) by libertarian-leaning Republican [[Rand PaulRichard Hanna]], an eye surgeon who is the son of Texas Congressman [[Ron Paul]]. Paul has received the endorsment of former [[Alaska]] Governor [[Sarah Palin]]. <ref>http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/wire/sns-ap-us-palin-ky-senate-race,0,6228585.story</ref> On the Democratic side, Lieutenant Governor [[Daniel Mongiardo]] (who lost to Bunning in 2004) was defeated by Attorney General Jack Conway.
Paul has opened a comfortable lead in the primary <ref>http://www*Rep.dailykos.com/statepoll/2010/3/17/KY/458</ref>and show both Grayson and Paul leading Conway and Mongiardo. <ref>http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_KY_1223.pdf</ref><ref>http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/kentucky/election_2010_kentucky_senate</ref>[[Dan Maffei]] (D-New York) by [[Ann Marie Buerkle]]
*'''Missouri'''Rep. [[Bob Etheridge]] (D-North Carolina) by [[Renee Ellmers]]
Incumbent Republican Senator *Rep. [[Kit BondEarl Pomeroy]] has announced he will not seek fifth term. Former House Majority Whip (D-North Dakota) by [[Roy BluntRick Berg]] has announced his candidacy. Blunt benefits from strong fundraising numbers and President Obama's dismal approval ratings in Missouri. Secretary of State Robin Carnahan won the Democratic nomination. A January 2010 Rasmussen poll has Blunt leading Carnahan 49% to 43%. <ref>http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/missouri/election_2010_missouri_senate</ref>
*'''New Hampshire'''Rep. [[Steve Driehaus]] (D-Ohio) by [[Steve Chabot]]
Senior Republican Senator [[Judd Gregg]], after withdrawing from a position in the [[Obama administration]], announced he will not seek a fourth term*Rep. 2nd district Congressman [[Paul HodesCharlie Wilson]] is seeking the Democratic nomination, while Republicans are behind former New Hampshire Attorney General (D-Ohio) by [[Kelly AyotteBill Johnson]]. Public opinion polls show Ayotte ahead by 2-9 points. <ref>http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2009_summer_congapp70209.pdf</ref> <ref>http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/7/15/NH/319/</ref> <ref>http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/new_hampshire/toplines/toplines_new_hampshire_senate_september_14_2009/</ref> <ref>http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/nhpoll/senate10/</ref> <ref>http://www.wmur.com/download/2009/1005/21207993.pdf</ref> <ref>http://americanresearchgroup.com/nhpoll/senate10/</ref><ref>http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/new_hampshire/election_2010_new_hampshire_senate</ref>
*'''North Dakota'''Rep. [[Mary Jo Kilroy]] (D-Ohio) by [[Steve Stivers]]
*Rep. [[Byron DorganJohn Boccieri]], a three(D-term Ohio) by [[DemocratJim Renacci]] Senator from [[North Dakota]], has announced he will not seek reelection. Dorgan's announcement represents an opportunity for [[Republican]]s, popular Governor [[John Hoeven]] has announced his candidacy. <ref>http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/01/hoeven-makes-senate-run-offici.html</ref> A Rasmussen reports poll showed Hoeven leading Dorgan by 22-points. <ref>http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/north_dakota/election_2010_north_dakota_senate</ref>
*'''Rep. [[Zack Space]] (D-Ohio''') by [[Bob Gibbs]]
Moderate Republican [[George Voinovich]] has announced he will not seek a third term*Rep. Lieutenant Governor [[Lee FisherKathy Dahlkemper]] won the Democratic nomination over Ohio Secretary of State [[Jennifer Brunner]] with 55% of the vote, a much closer margin than polls had shown. <ref>http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/dem-primaries/96111-fisher-wins-ohio-dem-senate-primary-will-face(D-portman</ref>Fisher has received the endorsement of Democratic Governor Pennsylvania) by [[Ted StricklandMike Kelly]]. Meanwhile, Republicans have rallied behind [[Rob Portman]], former Congressman and Director of the [[Office of Management and Budget]]. The race is expected to be one of the most competitive in the election cycle. A March 2010 Rasmussen poll has Portman leading Fisher and Brunner. <ref>http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/ohio/election_2010_ohio_senate</ref>
*Rep. [[Patrick Murphy]] (D-Pennsylvania) by [[Mike Fitzpatrick]] *Rep. [[Chris Carney]] (D-Pennsylvania) by [[Tom Marino]] *Rep. [[Paul Kanjorski]] (D-Pennsylvania) by [[Lou Barletta]] *Rep. [[John Spratt]] (D-South Carolina) by [[Mick Mulvaney]] *Rep. [[Stephanie Herseth Sandlin]] (D-South Dakota) by [[Kristi Noem]] *Rep. [[Lincoln Davis]] (D-Tennessee) by [[Scott DesJarlais]] *Rep. [[Chet Edwards]] (D-Texas) by [[Bill Flores]] *Rep. [[Ciro Rodriguez]] (D-Texas) by [[Quico Canseco]] *Rep. [[Solomon Ortiz]] (D-Texas) by [[Blake Farenthold]] *Rep. [[Glenn Nye]] (D-Virginia) by [[Scott Rigell]] *Rep. [[Tom Perriello]] (D-Virginia) by [[Robert Hurt]] *Rep. [[Rick Boucher]] (D-Virginia) by [[Morgan Griffith]] *Rep. [[Steve Kagen]] (D-Wisconsin) by [[Reid Ribble]] ==Senate== Texas Senator [[John Cornyn]], the head of the [[National Republican Senatorial Committee]], quietly put Senate Republicans in a position to benefit as the national political environment went negative toward Democrats, and was successful in narrowing the Democratic majority. Without losing any of their seats, the Republican Party defeated two incumbents, [[Blanche Lincoln]] (D-[[Arkansas]]) and [[Russ Feingold]] (D-[[Wisconsin]]), and won four Democratic-held open seats: [[Illinois]], [[Indiana]], [[North Dakota]], and [[Pennsylvania]]. Additionally, Republican [[Scott Brown]] was elected to replace the late Senator [[Ted Kennedy]] (D-[[Massachusetts]]) in a January special election.  ===Republican Gains===
*'''Arkansas'''
Moderate Democrat [[Blanche Lincoln]] will be was defeated by 21 percentage points after Republicans made her one of Republicans their top targets in 2010. In the [[2008 Presidential Election]], Arkansas was one of the few states where [[John McCain]] exceeded [[George W. Bush]]’s margin, despite the national trend favoring Democrats. In an attempt to appeal to Generally, she voted the party line with President Obama, which angered her conservative constituents Lincoln , but also voted against the [[Employee Free Choice Act]] (card check) and has stated opposition opposed to the public option in [[health care]], which angered liberals. She began airing TV ads in March touting her independence from President Obama and national Democrats. Lincoln defeated [[Lieutenant Governor]] [[Bill Halter]] in a close runoff for the Democratic nomination.
Third district Congressman [[John Boozman]] easily won the Republican nomination, defeating State Senator [[Gilbert Baker]] and former State Senator Jim Holt. A May Rasmussen Reports poll shows Boozman well ahead comfortably led thoughout the entire campaign. *'''Indiana''' Two-term Democrat [[Evan Bayh]] dropped out of both Lincoln his reelection in February after polls showed he may be vulnerable after his vote for the [[economic stimulus package]] and Halter government-run health care. Former Republican U.S. Senator [[Dan Coats]], who predeced Bayh after retiring in 1998, announced his candidacy for his old Senate seat. Former six-term Congressman [[John Hostettler]], State Senator [[Marlin Stutzman]] and businessman Don Bates Jr. were defeated for the Republican nomination. Conservative Congressman [[Mike Pence]] considered running, but instead chose to seek reelection in the House. 8th district Congressman [[Brad Ellsworth]] was the Democratic nominee. Dan Coats defeated Ellsworth by a 55%-40% margin. Ellsworth supported President Obama’s health care plan in a state where opposition to the legislation is higher than it was nationally.<ref>[http://arkansasmatterswww.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/indiana/election_2010_indiana_senate]</ref> *'''Illinois''' Democratic Senator [[Roland Burris]] had been plagued by controversies. Burris was appointed to replace Barack Obama by Governor [[Rod Blagojevich]], who had been arrested on a variety of federal corruption charges (including for trying to "sell" Obama's Senate seat). Burris was then accused of committing perjury after he admitted to not testifying truthfully at a committee investigating Governor Blagojevich. Burris announced he would not seek a full term in 2010. Moderate-GOP Congressman [[Mark Kirk]], representing a Democratic-leaning district that covers suburban [[Chicago]], easily won the Republican nomination, while Illinois State Treasurer [[Alexi Giannoulias]] defeated Chicago Inspector General [[David Hoffman]] in a close primary. Both candidates faced negative media publicity, Giannoulias for the collapse of his family bank, and Kirk for exaggerating his military record. In the general election, Kirk defeated Giannoulias by a 48%-46% margin. *'''Massachusetts''' Republican State Senator [[Scott Brown]] pulled a major upset when he defeated Attorney General [[Martha Coakley]] by a 52%-47% margin. Liberal icon [[Ted Kennedy]], the third longest-serving Senator in U.S. history, died in August 2009, marking the end of an era. During the [[2004 Presidential Election]] the Democratic super-majority in the state legislator blocked the right of [[Republican]] Governor [[Mitt Romney]] to appoint an interim senator had [[John Kerry]] been elected President. After changing the law to allow Governor [[Deval Patrick]], a [[Democrat]], the right to appoint a temporary replacement for Kennedy, he choose former Democratic National Committee chairman [[Paul Kirk]]. He did not seek a full term of his own, and a special election was held on January 19, 2010.  State Attorney General [[Martha Coakley]] won the Democratic primary, defeating businessman Alan Khazei, Representative [[Mike Capuano]], and Boston Celtics co-owner Stephen Pagliuca. Charismatic State Senator [[Scott Brown]] was the Republican nominee.<ref>Many high-profile Republicans declined to fight the odds, including former White House Chief of Staff Andrew Card, former Governor Mitt Romney, former Lieutenant Governor Kerry Healey and former [[Red Sox]] pitcher [[Curt Schilling]], a conservative. See [https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/Election2010Text_Fulltext?cid=315551article/2009/09/22/AR2009092203804.html news]</ref>[[File:Sbrown1.jpg|thumb|290px|right|a last minute appeal]] It was a safe Democratic seat until January, when Democrats reeled in shock as Coakley lost her 30-point lead and trailed by 5-10 points in the closing hours. Coakley was an ineffective machine-style insider candidate who was unable to reach independents. Brown's main theme was that he would be the 41st senator and would block the Obama health care plan—which Massachusetts did not need, he explained, because it had its own plan in operation. Coakley responded by attacking bankers and bringing in big guns like [[Bill Clinton]], [[John Kerry]] and [[Barack Obama]]. They appealed to regular Democrats and alienated the equally numerous independents, who preferred Brown by more than 2-1.  The defeat for Coakley, coming on the heels of the Democrats' loss of Virginia and New Jersey in Nov. 2009, was a major blow to the liberal caused and reinvigorated the Republican party nationally. *'''North Dakota''' [[Byron Dorgan]], a three-term [[Democrat]] Senator from [[North Dakota]], announced he would not seek reelection. Dorgan's announcement represented an opportunity for [[Republican]]s, after popular Governor [[John Hoeven]] announced his candidacy.<ref>http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/01/hoeven-makes-senate-run-offici.html</ref> Hoeven defeated State Senator Tracy Potter by a 76%-22% margin, carrying every county. *'''Pennsylvania'''
After polls showed him losing the Republican primary by as much as 20 points, [[Arlen Specter]] simply changed party affiliation to Democrat. Despite full support by President Obama and virtually every elected Democrat in Pennsylvania as well as nearly every major newspaper, Specter went on to lose the Democratic nomination to 7th-district Congressman [[Joe Sestak]] in the primary, and faced former 15th district Congressman and [[Club for Growth]] President [[Pat Toomey]], known for his economic conservatism. In the general election, Toomey defeated Sestak by a 51%-49% margin.
 
*'''Wisconsin'''
 
Three-term incumbent [[Russ Feingold]] had positioned himself for a comfortable reelection after former governor and Health and Human Services Secretary [[Tommy Thompson]] announced he would not run. However, Tea Party activist and Oshkosh businessman [[Ron Johnson]] defeated Feingold by a 52%-47% margin.
 
===Democratic Holds===
 
*'''California'''
Although [[California]] is a solidly Democratic state, conservatives see originally saw outspoken liberal Senator [[Barbara Boxer]] as vulnerable. Governor [[Arnold Schwarzenegger]], who’s who was term-limited in 2010, has announced he will would not run. Former Hewlett-Packard Company President [[Carly Fiorina]] defeated former U.S. Rep. [[Tom Campbell]] and Assemblyman [[Chuck DeVore]] in the Republican primary. Boxer defeated Fiorina by ten percentage points.
*'''Colorado'''
Appointed Democratic Senator [[Michael Bennet]] is expected to face a competitive reelection in 2010was narrowly reelected. Former Speaker of the Colorado House of Representatives [[Andrew Romanoff]] was defeated in his bid to challenge Bennet for the Democratic nomination, while Weld County District Attorney [[Ken Buck]] defeated former Lieutenant Governor [[Jane Norton]] in the Republican primary.  *'''Connecticut''' 30-year Senate veteran [[Chris Dodd]] announced he would not seek a sixth term. Dodd's approval ratings plummeted after his failed presidential campaign in 2008, his controversial mortgage deal from Countrywide, and revelations about the $165 million bonuses for AIG executives that he attached in an amendment to the [[economic stimulus package]], despite receiving federal [[bailout]] money. Popular state Attorney General [[Richard Blumenthal]] won the Democratic nomination, increasing the Democrats' chances of holding the seat. However, his poll numbers dropped after a [[New York Times]] report revealed that he exaggerated his military record. Republicans nominated World Wrestling Entertainment CEO [[Linda McMahon]], defeating former Congressman [[Rob Simmons]] and libertarian-leaning economist [[Peter Schiff]], a stock broker and adviser to [[Ron Paul]]’s 2008 presidential campaign. Blumenthal won the general election by a 55%-43% margin. *'''Delaware''' [[Joe Biden]] was simultaneously elected to a seventh term in the Senate and Vice President at the same time. Democratic Governor [[Ruth Ann Minner]] appointed a "caretaker" Senator, [[Ted Kaufman]]. Michael Castle, a moderate Republican who also served as Governor and Lieutenant Governor, was heavily favored to win the Republican nomination. However, Tea Party backed insurgent Christine O’Donnell ousted Castle in the primary, improving New Castle County Executive Chris Coons chances in holding the seat for Democrats. The Republican Party had a mixed reaction to O’Donnell's victory. She had caused controversy regarding her views on creationism and Christian values. Coons defeated O’Donnell by a 57%-40% margin.
*'''Hawaii'''
Democrat [[Daniel Inouye]] is expected to easily win won reelectionagainst Republican Representative Campbell Cavasso.
*'''Maryland'''
Entrenched incumbent [[Barbara Mikulski]] is expected to easily win won reelection. Republicans will more likely be focused on , defeating unpopular Governor [[Martin O’Malley]]. Physician physician and Queen Anne’s Anne's County Commissioner [[Eric Wargotz]] is seeking the Republican nomination.
*'''Nevada'''
Senate Majority Leader [[Harry Reid]] is facing faced a tough competitive reelection in 2010. The "Cook Political Report" in September 2009 rates rateed the contest as "Toss Up". " His status weakened in summer 2009, as discontent with President Obama and the Democrats' health plan mounted, and as the Recession of 2008 continues to batter Las Vegas and the entire Nevada economy, with no relief in sight from the stimulus bill Reid pushed through the Senate. Reid's inability to improve his standing in the polls, coupled with the deteriorating political environment for Democrats nationally, are were clear indications that his political problems are deep and will be difficult (though not impossible) to fix, says Cook.
After recieving receiving the endorsement of the [[Tea Party Express]] and [[Club for Growth]], former Assemblywoman [[Sharron Angle]] defeated former State Senator [[Sue Lowden]] and businessman [[Danny Tarkanian]] in the Republican primary. Reid defeated Angle by a 50%-45% margin.
*'''New York'''
Senior Senator [[Charles Schumer]] may be was considered the safest incumbent of 2010 and is expected to face no top-tier challenger. Republicans are more likely to target New York’s junior Senator [[Kirsten Gillibrand]], who is running in won his reelection by a special election66%-33% margin against Republican Jay Townsend.
*'''New York-Special Election'''
Democrat [[Kirsten Gillibrand]] was appointed by Governor [[David Patterson]] to replace [[Hillary Clinton]] after much confusion on his part. Patterson mishandled the proposed appointment of [[Caroline Kennedy]], gaining ridicule for both of them. Gillibrand’s Gillibrand's moderate views alienated the left wing of the Democratic Party. Former Tennessee Congressman [[Harold Ford, Jr.]] has announced he will not seek a primary challenge to Gillibrand.
Nine-term Congressman [[Peter King]] has declined to run. Republicans are trying tried but failed to recruit former Governor [[George Pataki]], who runs ran ahead in the polls with Gillibrand. When asked about the speculation, Pataki said that "you never say never." <ref>http://race42008.com/2009/09/22/to-further-complicate-matters-pataki/</ref> Real estate billionaire [[Mort Zuckerman]], despite having a record of supporting liberal causes, was mentioned as a possible Republican or Independent candidate to avoid a primary, however announced that he would not run. Former New York City Mayor [[Rudy Giuliani]] has declined to seek the Senate seat. <ref>http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/2009/12/21/2009-12-21_rudy_giuliani_will_not_run.html</ref>Instead, Republicans nominated former Congressman [[Joseph DioGuardi]], whom Gillibrand defeated by a 62%-36% margin.
Former Congressman Joseph DioGuardi has announced his candidacy for the Republican nomination.
*'''Oregon'''
A Rasmussen Reports poll showed Democratic Senator [[Ron Wyden]] is leading an unheard of defeated his Republican challenger, Lewis & Clark College law professor Jim Huffman by a modest 4957%-3539% margin. <ref>http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/oregon/toplines/toplines_oregon_senate_february_16_2010/</ref> *'''Pennsylvania''' After polls showed him losing the Republican primary by as much as 20 points, [[Arlen Specter]] simply changed party affiliation and is now a Democrat. Despite full support by President Obama and virtually every elected Democrat in Pennsylvania as well as nearly every major newspaper, Specter went on to lose the Democratic nomination to 7th-district Congressman [[Joe Sestak]] in the Democratic primary, and will face former 15th district Congressman and [[Club for Growth]] President [[Pat Toomey]] in the general election. Recent polls have shown Toomey leading both Specter and Sestak. <ref>http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/pennsylvania/2010_senate_election/election_2010_pennsylvania_senate/</ref><ref>http://media.economist.com/images/pdf/StatesTables20100121.pdf</ref><ref>http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2010/01/27/toomey-surges-specter-poll-fundraising-shows-strong-fourth-quarter-draw/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%253A+foxnews%252Fpolitics+%2528Text+-+Politics%2529&utm_content=My+Yahoo</ref>
*'''Vermont'''
[[Patrick Leahy]], the third most senior U.S. Senator, has announced his candidacy and is expected to easily win reelection in heavily Democratic [[Vermont]]. The only serious challenge to Leahy would be if Governor [[Jim Douglas]] runs, but he appears to have no interest in seeking the seatwas reelected by a 64%-40% margin against Republican Len Britton.
*'''Washington'''
Polls show that Senator [[Patty Murray]], once considered well positioned for reelection in 2010, could would face a competitive race against Washington's former state Senator, [[Dino Rossi]]. In November, Dino Murray defeated Rossi will face Patty Murray for the 2010 Midterm Elections.<ref>http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2010/01/murrays_seat_in.php</ref><ref>http://www.rasmussenreportsby a 52%-48% margin.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/washington/toplines/toplines_2010_washington_senate_february_11_2010</ref>
*'''WisconsinWest Virginia'''
Three-term incumbent Popular Democratic Governor [[Russ FeingoldJoe Manchin]] had positioned himself for a comfortable reelection after former governor and Health and Human Services Secretary was elected to replace the late [[Tommy ThompsonExalted Cyclops]] announced he would not run. However, likely Republican nominee, Oshkosh businessman Senator [[Ron JohnsonRobert Byrd]], is in a dead heat with Feingold in . Businessman and 2006 nominee John Raese made the polls. <ref>http://www.redstaterace surprisingly close by tying Manchin to the Obama administration.com/rrreaganite/2010/05/27/doom-watch-feingold-in-a-dead-heat/</ref>
===Republican incumbentsHolds===
*'''Alabama'''
Senior Senator [[Richard Shelby]], who was originally elected as a [[conservative Democrat]] but changed party affiliation to Republican after the 1994 Republican Revolution, will likely not be a target from national Democrats after three landslide victories was handedly reelected, as he was in 1992, 1998, and 2004.
*'''Alaska'''
[[Lisa Murkowski]] won a term for the U.S. Senate in her own right in 2004 by a close 48%-45% margin, however, in 2010 she lost the Primary Elections Election against [[Joe Miller]], who is a [[Conservative]] candidate and [[Tea Party Movement|Tea Party]] favorite. No prominent Democrats have shown interest nominated Sitka, Alaska Mayor Scott McAdams. Murkowski pursued her campaign as a write-in candidate, and was reelected with a 39% plurality, while Miller received 35% and McAdams 23%. She has the distinction of being the first person elected to the Senate via write-in since [[Strom Thurmond]] in running1954.
*'''Arizona'''
Senior Senator [[John McCain]], the Republicans presidential nominee in 2008, caught a break when Democratic Governor [[Janet Napolitano]] was appointed Secretary of Homeland Security, making it highly unlikely for her to challenge him for his Senate seat in 2010. Former However, former Congressman [[J. D. Hayworth]] is challenging challenged McCain in a primary, but was defeated by a 56%-32% margin. McCain went on to defeat Tucson City Councilor Rodney Glassman by a 59%-35% margin.  *'''Florida''' Republican Governor [[Charlie Crist]], who once enjoyed high approval ratings, appointed [[George LeMieux]] upon the resignation of Senator [[Mel Martinez]]. LeMieux held the seat temporarily for Governor Crist who decided to run for the Senate. He was the establishment pick for the Republican nomination, but was challenged by conservative Florida House Speaker and Tea Party backed candidate [[Marco Rubio]], who led by 32 points according to Public Policy Polling.<ref>[http://www.rollcall.com/news/43979-1.html Poll Shows Rubio Ahead by 32 Points in Florida, RollCall.com, March 9, 2010]</ref> Crist announced he would drop out of the Republican primary and run as an Independent.  Crist alienated conservatives when he campaigned with President Obama in support for the $787 billion economic stimulus package, which was entirely opposed by the Florida Republican federal delegation. Democrats nominated 17th district Congressman Kendrick Meek, who defeated billionaire businessman Jeff Greene. Rubio was elected with a 49% plurality, defeating Crist who received 30% and Meek who received 20%.
*'''Georgia'''
First-term Senator [[Johnny Isakson]]'s had solid standing for his reelection. His most formidable Democratic opponent, state Attorney General Thurbert Baker is , instead seeking sought a campaign for Governor. Isakson defeated Labor Commissioner Mike Thurmond by a 58%-39% margin.
*'''Idaho'''
[[Mike Crapo]]'s conservative voting record goes along with the Republican stronghold of [[Idaho]]. In 2004, he faced no Democratic challenger and won reelection with over 99% of the vote. Crapo's seat is expected to be was one of the safest in the 2010 election cycle, and he won reelection by a 71%-25% margin.
*'''Iowa'''
30-year incumbent [[Charles Grassley]] is one of the most distinguished and influential Republican Senators in Washington (he serves as ranking member of the Finance Committee) and as of now is secure to win . He was reelected by a sixth term65%-33% margin against former U. Former state legislator Bob Krause is planning S. Attorney Roxanne Conlin, carrying all but one county. *'''Kansas''' Incumbent Republican [[Sam Brownback]] honored his campaign pledge to challenge Grassleyserve only two terms. A September 2009 Rasmussen poll has Grassley leading Krause 1st district Congressman Jerry Moran defeated 4th district Congressman Todd Tiahrt for the Republican nomination by 26a 50%-percentage points45% margin, while Democrats nominated Lisa Johnston, an administrator at Baker University. Moran defeated Johnston by a 70%-26% margin.  *'''Kentucky''' Republicans had a victory when unpopular incumbent Senator [[Jim Bunning]] announced he would not seek a third term. Kentucky Secretary of State [[Trey Grayson]] sought the Republican nomination, however was defeated by Tea Party activist [[Rand Paul]], an eye surgeon who is the son of Texas Congressman [[Ron Paul]]. Paul received the endorsment of former [[Alaska]] Governor [[Sarah Palin]]. <ref>httphttps://www.rasmussenreportslatimes.com/public_contentnews/politicsnationworld/elections2nation/election_2010wire/election_2010_senate_elections/iowa/election_2010_iowa_senate_racesns-ap-us-palin-ky-senate-race,0,6228585.story</ref>On the Democratic side, Lieutenant Governor [[Daniel Mongiardo]] (who lost to Bunning in 2004) was defeated by Attorney General Jack Conway. Paul campaigned on a reducation in taxion and spending, and won the support of conservatives and libertarians alike. Paul defeated Conway by a 56%-44% margin.
*'''Louisiana'''
[[Louisiana]], a conservative state, was not effected by the national trend for Democrats in 2006 and 2008. Republican [[Bobby Jindal]] was elected Governor by a landslide in 2007, in 2008 John McCain received a larger margin of victory in the state than George W. Bush in 2004, while the GOP gained a two House seat in seats from the second districtDemocrats. Yet first-term Republican [[David Vitter]] may was considered to be vulnerable for his reelection after he confessed in 2007 to seeing an escort service, which has continued to taint tainted his career. Third-district Congressman [[Charlie Melancon]] has announced his candidacy and is expected to easily win won the Democratic nomination. Adult film star [[Stormy Daniels]] had announced that she is running, but latter passed on the raceVitter defeated Melancon by a 57%-38% margin. <ref>http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/92435-porn-star-passes-on-challenging-vitter </ref>
A January 2010 Rasmussen poll has Vitter leading Melancon 53*'''Missouri''' Incumbent Republican Senator [[Kit Bond]] announced he will not seek fifth term. Former House Majority Whip [[Roy Blunt]] announced his candidacy. Blunt benefited from strong fundraising numbers and President Obama's dismal approval ratings in Missouri. Secretary of State Robin Carnahan won the Democratic nomination. BLunt defeated Carnahan by a 54%-3541%margin.<ref>http://www *'''New Hampshire''' Senior Republican Senator [[Judd Gregg]], after withdrawing from a position in the [[Obama administration]], announced he will not seek a fourth term.rasmussenreports2nd district Congressman [[Paul Hodes]] won the Democratic nomination, while Republicans nominated former New Hampshire Attorney General [[Kelly Ayotte]]. Ayotte defeated Hodes by a 60%-37% margin.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/louisiana/election_2010_louisiana_senate</ref>
*'''North Carolina'''
First-term Republican [[Richard Burr]] may be was considered vulnerable after [[Barack Obama]] won [[North Carolina]]'s 15 electoral votes by a narrow margin, and Democrat [[Kay Hagan]] defeated Republican Senator [[Elizabeth Dole]]. It is also worth noting that no Senator has held this seat for more than one term since 1974. Secretary of State Elaine Marshall defeated former State Senator Cal Cunningham and Attorney Ken Lewis in the Democratic primary. Burr was reelected by a 55%-43% margin. *'''Ohio''' Moderate Republican [[George Voinovich]] announced he would not seek a third term. Lieutenant Governor [[Lee Fisher]] won the Democratic nomination over Ohio Secretary of State [[Jennifer Brunner]] with 55% of the vote, a much closer margin than polls had shown.<ref>https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/dem-primaries/96111-fisher-wins-ohio-dem-senate-primary-will-face-portman</ref> Fisher received the endorsement of Democratic Governor [[Ted Strickland]]. Meanwhile, Republicans rallied behind [[Rob Portman]], former Congressman and Director of the [[Office of Management and Budget]]. Although polls originally showed a tight race, Portman defeated Fisher by a 57%-39% margin. *'''Oklahoma''' [[Tom Coburn]] was elected to a second term by a 71%-26% margin against Democrat Jim Rogers.
*'''South Carolina'''
First-term Republican [[Jim DeMint]], known whose reputation as an outspoken conservative, has not hurt him in the Republican stronghold of [[South Carolina]]. Democrats have failed nominated an unconventional candidate, Alvin Greene, an unemployed Army veteran who was indicted on criminal charges for showing pornographic pictures to recruit any wella teenage college student.<ref>http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/aug/13/alvin-known candidates and greene-charged-pornographic-pictures</ref> DeMint remains in defeated Greene by a conformable position for 201061%-28% margin.
*'''South Dakota'''
In 2004, [[John Thune]] defeated Senate Minority Leader [[Tom Daschle]], and his victory quickly made him a rising star in the Republican Party. Thune will run ran unopposed in his reelection. <ref>http://www.rapidcityjournal.com/news/article_ac1faf7e-3da6-11df-96fd-001cc4c03286.html</ref>
*'''Utah'''
Three-term Senator [[Robert Bennett]] represents a state that John McCain won by over thirty-percentage points and was expected to win reelection by a comfortable margin. However, he was defeated in the Republican caucus to Mike Lee and Tim Bridgewater after his vote for TARP. Bennett has ruled out a write-in campaign, and Lee went on to win the Republican primary and general election.
==Governors==
The top races for governorships, and the parties now in power, are:<ref>See [http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/ for daily updates]</ref>
*1 In the 2010 gubernatorial elections, the Democratic Party won five governorships held by retiring Republicans: [[California]], [[Connecticut]], [[Hawaii]], [[Minnesota]], and [[Vermont]]. The Republican Party won nine governorships from retiring Democrats: [[Kansas incumbent=Democrat *2 R]], [[Oklahoma]], [[Maine]], [[Michigan]], [[New Mexico]], [[Pennsylvania]], [[Tennessee]], [[Wisconsin]], [[Wyoming]], and defeated two incumbents, [[Chet Culver]] of [[Iowa]] and [[Ted Strickland]] of [[Ohio]].I. incumbent=An Independent was elected Governor of [[Rhode Island]] to replace a retiring Republican *3 Hawaii incumbent=Republican *4 Nevada incumbent=, and a Republican *5 Tennessee incumbent=Democrat *6 Michigan incumbent=Democrat *7 Oklahoma incumbent=Democrat *8 was elected Governor of [[Florida incumbent=Republican]] to replace an Independent. Thus, not running *9 NRepublicans had a net gain of six governorships, and the majority of Governors in the United States flipped from Democrat to Republican.YRepublicans also won the governorships of [[New Jersey]] and [[Virginia]] from the Democrats in the 2009 elections. incumbent=Democrat
===2009Democratic Gains===
*'''New JerseyCalifornia'''
Incumbent Democrat Governor Republican [[Jon CorzineArnold Schwarzenegger]] was defeated for prohibited from seeking reelection by a 45%because of term-49% margin over limits. Schwarzenegger was elected in 2003 after a recall of Governor [[Republican]] challenger [[Chris ChristieGray Davis]]and reelected in a landslide in 2006. CorzineHowever, Schwarzenegger's approval ratings had plummeted as popularity, along with the New Jersey economy weakenedDemocratic assembly, high property taxes were a heavy burden, and recurrent corruption scandals tainted Democrats in fell because of the stateCalifornia budget crisis. In late October polls showed Christie tied with Corzine; Chris Daggett, a liberal Republican State Attorney General and former regional administrator for the Governor [[Environmental Protection AgencyJerry Brown]], who ran as an independent was polling as high as 20%, however underperformed with 6% of won the voteDemocratic nomination. On the Republican side, former [[Ebay]] CEO [[Meg Whitman]] defeated State Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner.
*'''Virginia'''[[San Francisco]] Mayor [[Gavin Newsom]] was seeking the Democratic nomination, however dropped out in October 2009 after lackluster poll numbers and meager fund-raising receipts.<ref>https://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-newsom-out31-2009oct31,0,7017003.story</ref> In the general election, Brown defeated Whitman by a 53%-42% margin.
Incumbent Democrat [[Tim Kaine]] was not seeking a second term because the [[Virginia]] constitution does not allow a governor to succeed himself (they are the only state in the nation to have such a provision). The Republican nominee, former state Attorney General [[Bob McDonnell]], defeated Democrat State Senator [[Creigh Deeds]] by an 18-point landslide. Additionally, Republicans maintianed the Lieutenant Governorship and Attorney General*'''Connecticut'''s offices.
===2010===M. [[Jodi Rell]], despite being a Republican Governor from a blue state, was reelected with 63% of the vote in 2006 and had high approval ratings throughout her tenure as governor. However, she announced she would not run for another term.<ref>https://www.politico.com/news/stories/1109/29346.html</ref> Lieutenant Governor [[Michael Fedele]] announced his candidacy, but was defeated for the Republican nomination by former U.S. Ambassador Tom Foley. Democrats chose Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy over former U.S. Senate candidate [[Ned Lamont]]. After a recount, Malloy was confirmed to have won the governorship by a 50%-49% margin.
*'''AlabamaHawaii'''
Republican Governor [[Bob RileyLinda Lingle]] is was term-limited in 2010, both parties are expected to face a competitive primary. State Agriculture Commissioner Ron Sparks easily defeated 7th district Congressman Artur Davis for the Democratic nominationJames Aiona, while who served as the Republicans will have a runoff. Republicans have won 5 out of the last 6 gubernatorial elections in Alabamastate's [[Lieutenant Governor]] eight years, and John McCain won its 9 electoral votes ran to become her successor, but was defeated by over 6010-term Congressman [[Neil Abercrombie]] by a 58%-percentage points41% margin.
*'''AlaskaMinnesota'''
Two-term Governor [[Sarah PalinTim Pawlenty]], one-announced he would not seek another term Governor and former Vice-Presidential nominee, resigned on July 3rd, 2009 and Lieutenant Governor became a potential 2012 GOP presidential candidate. Republican State Representative [[Sean ParnellTom Emmer]] inherited the governorshipand former Democratic U. Although Alaska has strong Republican-leaningsS. Senator [[Mark Dayton]] won their parties nominations, Parnell is being challenged by Speaker of the Alaska House of Representatives John Harrisrespectively. After a recount, while Democrat candidates include State Senator Hollis French and former State Representative Ethan BerkowitzDayton was confirmed to have won by a 0.5% margin.
*'''ArkansasVermont'''
Democrat Although a solidly Democratic state (Barack Obama won it with over 67% of the vote) Republican [[Mike BeebeJim Douglas]] has high approval ratings was elected governor in 2002 and is favored to win a second term, despite Arkansas trending Republican reelected in presidential politics2004, 2006, and 2008. No Republicans have Douglas announced their candidacy, although former Congressman Asa Hutchinson may he would not runfor another term, and Republicans nominated Lieutenant Governor [[Brian Dubie]]. Democratic State Senator Peter Shumlin defeated Dubie by a 50%-48% margin in the general election.
*'''Arizona''' ===Independent Gains===
After Democratic Governor [[Janet Napolitano]] was nominated by President Obama to serve as Secretary of Homeland Security, Arizona Secretary of State [[Janice K. Brewer]], a Republican, succeeded her. She has announced that she will seek a full term. <ref>http://phoenix.bizjournals.com/phoenix/stories/2009/11/02/daily52.html</ref>Brewer may be one of the most vulnerable Republican Governors in 2010. State Attorney General Terry Goddard has stated he has plans to run, while other possible Democratic candidates include Phoenix Mayor Phil Gordon and former Tempe Mayor Neil Giuliano.*'''Rhode Island'''
*'''California'''Although Democrats have dominated Rhode Island politics, they have voted Republican for 7 of the last 10 gubernatorial elections. As Rhode Island was hit hard by the national recession, Republican Governor [[Donald Carcieri]] suffered in the polls, and was barred from seeking a third term because of term-limits. [[Lincoln Chafee]], former Senator who was known as the most liberal Republican in [[Congress]], was elected Governor as an Independent, defeating Republican John Robitaille and Democrat Frank Caprio. After President Obama refused to endorse Caprio, he caused controversy by telling Obama to take his endorsement and "shove it." <ref>[http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20101026/ap_on_el_gu/us_ri_governor_caprio]</ref>
Incumbent ===Republican [[Arnold Schwarzenegger]] is prohibited from seeking reelection because of term-limits. Schwarzenegger was elected in 2003 after a recall of Governor [[Gray Davis]] and reelected in a landslide in 2006. However, Schwarzenegger's popularity, along with the Democratic assembly, have fallen since the California budget crisis. State Attorney General and former Governor [[Jerry Brown]] won the Democratic nomination. On the Republican side, former [[Ebay]] CEO [[Meg Whitman]] defeated State Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner.Gains===
[[San Francisco]] Mayor [[Gavin Newsom]] was seeking the Democratic nomination, however dropped out in October 2009 after lackluster poll numbers and meager fund-raising receipts. <ref>http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-newsom-out31-2009oct31,0,7017003.story</ref>*'''Florida'''
*Republican turned Independent Governor [[Charlie Crist]] announced he would not seek a second term and instead run for the [[United States Senate]], resulting in an open race. State Attorney General [[Bill McCollum]] was heavily favored to win the Republican nomination, but was defeated by [[Rick Scott]], a millionaire health care executive and activist against federal health care legislation. Democrats nominated Chief Financial Officer [[Alex Sink]], who led Scott in most of the polls following the primary. Scott'''Colorado''' s campaign emphasized conservative policies such as expanding school choice, abolishing the corporate income tax, and firing state employees.<ref>http://www.slate.com/id/2279447/slideshow/2279496/</ref> He won the general election by a narrow 49%-48% margin.
Despite recent success for Democrats in [[Colorado]], incumbent Governor [[Bill Ritter]] is retiring after the prospects of a difficult reelection. His policies of higher taxes and unionization of state employees has earned him criticism from the business community, and his approval ratings have fallen to 45%. <ref>http://www.rockymountainnews.com/news/2008/jul/23/speakout-midway-in-first-term-ritter-struggles/</ref>. Announced Republican challengers include Scott McInnis, who represented western and southern Colorado in the U.S. House from 1993 through 2005, Colorado Senate Minority Leader Josh Penry, and businessman Dan Maes. Public opinion polls show McInnis leading Ritter by 5-8 points <ref>http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_CO_423.pdf</ref> <ref>http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_CO_820925.pdf</ref> <ref>http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/colorado/toplines/toplines_colorado_governor_s_race_september_9_2009/</ref> <ref>http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/colorado/election_2010_colorado_governor_s_race</ref>, while Ritter and Penry are in a dead heat. *'''Iowa'''
*'''Connecticut'''Chet Culver, who was elected governor in 2006 riding on a Democratic wave, was defeated in a competitive reelection. Culver governed as a progressive in a swing state, increasing the minimum wage and raising the cigarette tax. His job approval ratings fell as the economy continued to falter. Former Governor [[Terry Branstad]] defeated Culver by a 53%-43% margin.
M. [[Jodi Rell]], despite being a Republican Governor from a blue state, was reelected with 63% of the vote in 2006 and currently has a 75% approval rating. Despite her high approval ratings, she will not run for another term in 2010. <ref>http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1109/29346.html</ref> Republican Lieutenant Governor [[Michael Fedele]] has announced his candidacy. Announced Democrats include Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy, former Speaker of the Connecticut House of Representatives James Amann, and Connecticut Secretary of the State Susan Bysiewicz. Former Senate candidate [[Ned Lamont]] may run.*'''Kansas'''
*'''Florida'''[[Kathleen Sebelius]], a Democratic Governor from the Republican-stronghold of Kansas, stepped down after being nominated to serve as Secretary of Health and Human Services in the [[Obama administration]]. Lieutenant Governor Mark Parkinson, a former Republican, took her place, and announced he would not seek a full term. Senator [[Sam Brownback]] was the Republican nominee, and defeated Democratic state Senator Tom Holland by a 63%-32% margin.
Republican Governor [[Charlie Crist]] has announced he will not seek a second term and instead run for the [[United States Senate]], meaning there will be an open race. Republican state Attorney General [[Bill McCollum]] and Democrat chief financial officer [[Alex Sink]] are strongly favored to win their party*'''Maine''s nomination. Although Barack Obama won Florida's 27 electoral votes with 51% of the vote, they typically elected Republicans to state offices. Public opinion polls have McCollum leading Sink by 1-11 points. <ref>http://www.sayfiereview.com/sayfiereviewcompowerplay-poll-1.php/</ref> <ref>http://www.ronsachs.com/docs/may2009poll.pdf</ref> <ref>http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/florida/election_2010_florida_governor</ref> <ref>http://blogs.tampabay.com/buzz/2009/08/gop-poll-bill-mccollum-47-alex-sink-38.html/</ref> <ref>http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1297.xml?ReleaseID=1366/</ref><ref>http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/florida/election_2010_florida_governor</ref>
*'''Georgia'''Democrat Governor [[John Baldacci]] was term-limited by state law, and Republicans saw it as an opportunity to gain the governorship. Republicans nominated Waterville, Maine Mayor Paul LePage, who defeated Independent candidate Eliot Cutler and Democratic state Senate President Libby Mitchell with a 38% plurarly.
Republican [[Sonny Perdue]], who was elected with 51% of the vote in 2002 and easily reelected in 2006, is term-limited in 2010. There is a crowded field of Republican candidates, including 9th district Congressman Nathan Deal, Georgia Secretary of State Karen Handel, George Senate President Pro Tempore Eric Johnson, state Insurance Commissioner John Oxendine, state Representative Austin Scott, and State Senator Jeff Chapman. Democrats have a series of formidable candidates as well, including state Attorney General Thurbert Baker, former one-term Governor Roy Barnes, Assembly Minority Leader DuBose Porter, Ray City Mayor Carl Camon, and former Commander of the Georgia National Guard David Poythress. Grady County [[NAACP]] President John Monds is seeking the [[Libertarian Party]] nomination. In 2008 Monds ran for Public Service Commissioner, and although he lost he became the first Libertarian to ever receive over 1 million votes (33%).*'''Michigan'''
*'''Guam'''Democratic Governor [[Jennifer Granholm]] suffered in her job approval ratings as the Michigan economy, heavily dependent of the auto industry, continued to falter throughout the 2000s. She was legally barred from seeking a third-term under state law. The Republican nominee, former President and COO of Gateway, Inc. Rick Snyder, easily defeated Democrat Lansing Mayor Virgil Bernero by a 58%-40% margin in the general election.
Guam Governor Felix P. Camacho, a Republican, is term limited in 2010. Announced Republican candidates include Lieutenant Governor Michael W. Cruz, and State Senator Eddie B. Calvo. Former Governor Carl Gutierrez is seeking the Democratic nomination. D.C.*'''New Mexico'''s political report has predicted the office will remain if Republican control. <ref>http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/GU.htm</ref>
*'''Hawaii''' Democratic Governor [[Bill Richardson]] was nominated by President Obama to serve as Secretary of Commerce, however was forced to resign after it was exposed that his administration had a "pay-to-play" deal with a defense contractor. Richardson denied any wrongdoing. Although he was popular for most of his tenure, and handedly reelected in 2006, his approval ratings fell to 28% as the economy declined.<ref>http://www.koat.com/news/22663973/detail.html</ref> As he was term-limited in 2010, Lieutenant Governor [[Diane Denish]] won the Democratic Party nomination. The Republican nomination went to District Attorney [[Susana Martinez]], and narrowly led in the polls throughout the campaign. She defeated Denish by a 54%-46% margin, becoming the first [[Hispanic]] woman elected governor in the United States.
Republican Governor [[Linda Lingle]] is term-limited in 2010. James Aiona, who has served as the state*'''Ohio'''s [[Lieutenant Governor]] since 2002, is heavily favored to win the Republican nomination, while 10-term Congressman [[Neil Abercrombie]] is seeking the Democratic nomination. Hawaii Senate President Colleen Hanabusa and Honolulu Mayor Mufi Hannemann may also run. A June Research 2000 poll shows Abercrombie leading Aiona by 9-percentage points, with 19% undecided. <ref>http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/6/17/HI/311/</ref>
*'''Idaho'Incumbent Democrat [[Ted Strickland]] faced sagging approval ratings and tough reelection prospects as Ohio lost jobs and population during his governorship. His Republican opponent, [[John Kasich]] – a former Congressman and Chairman of the House Budget Committee in the 1990s – campaigned on phasing out the state income tax, leasing the state's toll roads, cutting 15-20 percent of the state's higher education funds, and relaxing sentences on nonviolent offenders to cut down prison costs.<ref>[http://www.slate.com/id/2279447/slideshow/2279496/fs/0//entry/2279502/]</ref> He defeated Strickland by a 49%-47% margin.
[[Butch Otter]], governor of one of the most conservative states in the nation, has not indicated whether he will seek a second term (although he has held a number of fundraisers). If not Lieutenant Governor Brad Little may run. Announced GOP candidates include Ada County commissioner Sharon Ullman, and rancher Rex Rammell, who received 5.4% of the vote when he ran for Governor as an Independent in 2008. No Democrat has announced their candidacy, although Boise Mayor David Bieter has been mentioned as a potential candidate.*'''Oklahoma'''
*'''Illinois'''Democratic Governor [[Brad Henry]] could not run for reelection because of term limits. Republicans nominated U.S. Representative Marry Fallin, who defeated Lieutenant Governor Jari Askins, becoming the first woman elected governor of Oklahoma.
Democratic Governor Pat Quinn was installed as governor after the impeachment of [[Rod Blagojevich]]. QuinnBill Brady has announced he will seek a full term in 2010. Quinn narrowly won the Democratic nomination against State Comptroller Dan Hynes. State Senator Bill Brady won the Republican nomination, defeating State Senator Kirk Dillard, and former State GOP chair Andrew McKenna. *'''Pennsylvania'''
*'''Iowa'''Democratic Governor [[Ed Rendell]] was term limited in 2010. Democrats nominated Allegheny County Chief Executive Dan Onorato. Republicans nominated Attorney General Tom Corbett. 6th district Congressman Jim Gerlach was a Republican candidate, however dropped out in January and sought reelection instead. In the general election Corbett defeated Onorato by a 55%-45% margin.
Chet Culver, who was elected governor in 2006 riding on a Democratic wave, will likely face a competitive challenge in 2010. Culver*'''Tennessee'''s job approval rating has fallen as the economy continues to falter. Public opinion polls show he would lose by double digits if former Governor Terry Branstad, a Republican, runs. <ref>http://theiowarepublican.com/home/2009/07/17/former-governor-branstad-defeats-culver-53-to-37-in-head-to-head-matchup/</ref> <ref>http://blogs.desmoinesregister.com/dmr/index.php/2009/08/21/republican-survey-says-branstad-the-strongest-culver-challenger/</ref> <ref>http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/iowa/toplines/toplines_iowa_governor_s_race_september_22_2009/</ref> Announced GOP candidates include State Rep. Christopher Rants, state Senate Minority Leader Paul McKinley, and state Rep. Rod A. Roberts. U.S. Congressman Steve King may also run.
*'''Kansas'''Democratic Governor [[Phil Bredesen]] was term limited and unable to seek reelection. Tennessee, a conservative-leaning state, elected Knoxville Republican mayor Bill Haslam over Democrat [[Mike McWherter]].
[[Kathleen Sebelius]], a ===Democratic Governor from the Republican-stronghold of Kansas, stepped down after being nominated to serve as Secretary of Health and Human Services in the [[Obama administration]]. Lieutenant Governor [[Mark Parkinson]], a Democrat who assumed the office of Governor after Sebelius' resignation, will not seek a term in his own right. Republican Senior Senator [[Sam Brownback]] has officially announced his candidacy for Governor. As of now no Democrat is running. Holds===
*'''MarylandArkansas'''
Centrist Democrat Martin O'Malley will likely run for [[Mike Beebe]] enjoyed high approval ratings throughout his tenure as Governor. He was reelected by a second term 65%-34% margin against former Republican State Senate Jim Keet, despite Republicans making strong inroads in the traditionally Democratic supporting Arkansas during the 2010election. O'Malley's approval rating have fallen to 33% after a series of tax increases. The race is expected to become competitive with former Governor Robert Ehrlich seeking a rematch.
*'''MaineColorado'''  Despite Democratic success in [[Colorado]] during the 2006 and 2008 elections, incumbent Governor [[Bill Ritter]] announced his retirement after the prospects of a difficult reelection. His policies of higher taxes and unionization of state employees earned him criticism from the business community, and his approval ratings fell to 45%.<ref>http://www.rockymountainnews.com/news/2008/jul/23/speakout-midway-in-first-term-ritter-struggles/</ref> Former Congressman [[Scott McInnis]] was favored to win the Republican nomination, however fell in the polls after a controversy regarding plagiarizing an article, and was defeated by businessman and political newcomer Dan Maes, who also received criticism for misrepresenting his law enforcement background in the 1980s. Meanwhile, former Congressman [[Tom Tancredo]] entered the race in the American Constitution Party, and surged towards the end of the campaign. The turmoil made is easier for Denver Mayor [[John Hickenlooper]] to hold the Governors office for the Democrats, and was elected 50% of the vote, to Tancredo's 37% and Maes 11%. *'''Illinois''' Democratic Governor Pat Quinn was installed as governor after the impeachment of [[Rod Blagojevich]], and announced he would seek a full term. Quinn narrowly won the Democratic nomination against State Comptroller Dan Hynes. State Senator Bill Brady won the Republican nomination, defeating State Senator Kirk Dillard, and former State GOP chair Andrew McKenna. In the general election, Quinn pulled somewhat of an upset, winning reelection by a 47%-46% margin.  *'''Maryland'''
Democrat Governor [[John Baldacci]] is Martin O'Malley will likely run for a second term-limited by state lawin 2010. Republicans see this as an opportunity O'Malley's approval ratings fell to gain the governorship. Candidates include Matt Jacobson, President 33% after a series of Maine & Company, mayor of Waterville Paul LePage, State Senator Peter Mills, and Les Otten, former co-owner of the [[Boston Red Sox]]tax increases. Democrat candidates include State Senate President Elizabeth Mitchell, The race was expected to be competitive with former Maine Attorney General Steven RoweGovernor Robert Ehrlich seeking a rematch, State Representative Dawn Hill, and Biddeford Mayor Donna Dionhowever O'Malley was reelected by 14 percentage points.
*'''Massachusetts'''
Governor [[Deval Patrick]], although a Democratic Governor from a blue state, will likely face faced a difficult reelection after a disappointing performance as governor. The Republican candidates include nominee was health care executive Charlie Baker . Patrick was reelected with a 48% plurality, with Baker receiving 42% and businessman Christy Mihos. Polls show Deval trailing both of his Republican opponents. <ref>http://www.boston.com/news/local/massachusetts/specials/072609_poll/</ref> <ref>http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/massachusetts/election_2010_massachusetts_governor</ref> <ref>http://www.rasmussenreportsIndependent Paul Loscocco 8%.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_state_toplines/massachusetts/toplines_election_2010_massachusettes_governor_august_10_2009/</ref>
*'''MichiganNew York'''
After Democratic Governor [[Jennifer GranholmEliot Spitzer]] has suffered resigned in her job disgrace when it was revealed that he was involved in a prostitution ring, Lieutenant Governor [[David Paterson]] took office. Governor Paterson's approval ratings as plummeted to 21% <ref>http://cityroom.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/09/16/no-recovery-in-patersons-poll-numbers/?hp</ref> after his handling of the Michigan economystate budget crisis, heavily dependent his mismanagement of filling in the auto industryappointment of [[Hillary Clinton]]'s vacant Senate seat, continues to falter. She is legally barred from seeking a third-term under state law. The Republican nominee is former President and COO a proposed number of Gateway, Inctax increases. Rick Snyder while the Democrats nominated Lansing Former New York City Mayor Virgil Bernero[[Rudy Giuliani]] declined to seek the governorship and endorsed former Congressman [[Rick Lazio]].
*'''Minnesota'''President Barack Obama in Sept. 2009 contacted Paterson, asking him not to seek reelection in 2010 in that he cannot recover from his dismal political standing. Democrats nominated a stronger candidate, State Attorney General [[Andrew Cuomo]]. Republicans nominated Tea Party favorite and real estate developer Carl Paladino. Polls originally showed a tightening race, however a series of missteps resulted in Cuomo being handedly elected with over 60-percent of the vote.
Two-term Governor [[Tim Pawlenty]] has announced he will not seek another term and has become a potential 2012 GOP presidential candidate. Upon his announcement, several Republicans jumped in the race, including State House Minority Leader Marty Seifert, former Minnesota State Auditor Patricia Anderson, State Representatives Paul Kohls and Tom Emmer, State Senator Mike Jungbauer, Minnesota Senate Minority Whip David Hann, and former State Representative Bill Haas. Announced [[Democratic-Farmer-Labor-Party]] (DFL) candidates include Speaker of the Minnesota House of Representatives Margaret Anderson Kelliher, former State House Minority Leader Matt Entenza, State Senators Tom Bakk and John Marty, and State Representatives Paul Thissen and Tom Rukavina. Former United States Senator Mark Dayton, who left office as one of the most unpopular Senators in the nation, is also seeking the Democratic nomination.*'''Oregon'''
*'''Nebraska'''Incumbent Governor [[Ted Kulongoski]] could not seek a third term. Democrats nominated John Kitzhaber, who served as governor from 1995 until 2003. He defeated former NBA player Chris Dudley in the general election by a 49%-48% margin.
===Republican Governor [[Dave Heineman]], who was easily reelected with 73% of the vote in 2006, is expected to easily win a another term.Holds===
*'''NevadaAlabama'''
Republican Governor [[Jim GibbonsBob Riley]] was defeated in the primary by former State Attorney General Brian Sandovalby. Gibbons was vulnerable for his reelection is term-limited after a series of scandals in his administrationtwo terms, a messy divorce and lawsuit, his failure to examine Yucca Mountain nuclear waste site, and his handling of the budget have brought his approval ratings downboth parties faced a competitive primary. Clark County State Agriculture Commissioner Rory Reid — son of Senate Majority Leader Ron Sparks trounced 7th district Congressman Artur Davis for the Democratic nomination, while State Representative and physician [[Harry ReidRobert Bentley]] defeated former State Senator Bradley Byrne in the Republican runoff. Bentley led in the polls by twenty points throughout the campaign, and was elected by a 58%- 42% margin. Republicans have won 6 out of the Democratic nominationlast 7 gubernatorial elections in Alabama, and John McCain won its 9 electoral votes by 60-percentage points.
*'''New MexicoAlaska'''
Democratic Governor [[Bill RichardsonSarah Palin]] was nominated by the President Obama to serve as Secretary of Commerce, however was forced to resign after it was exposed that his administration had a "payone-toterm Governor and former Vice-play" deal with a defense contractor. Richardson denies any wrong doingPresidential nominee, resigned on July 3, 2009 and as he is term-limited in 2010, Lieutenant Governor Diane Denish is seeking [[Sean Parnell]] inherited the Democratic Party nominationgovernorship. Albuquerque financial adviser Greg Zanetti and Although Democrats nominated a formidable challenger, former State Representative Janice ArnoldHouse Minority Leader Ethan Berkowitz, Parnell was elected to a full term by a 59%-Jones have announced their candidacy for the Republican Party nomination. Possible candidates include former state GOP chair Allen Weh, former U.S. Representative Heather Wilson and Bernalillo County Sheriff Darren White38% margin.
*'''New YorkArizona'''
After Democratic Governor [[Eliot SpitzerJanet Napolitano]] resigned in disgrace when was revealed he was involved in a prostitution ringnominated by President Obama to serve as Secretary of Homeland Security, Lieutenant Governor Arizona Secretary of State [[David PatersonJanice K. Brewer]] took office, a Republican, succeeded her. She announced that she would seek a full term. Governor Paterson's approval ratings have plummeted to 21% <ref>[http://cityroomphoenix.blogs.nytimesbizjournals.com/phoenix/stories/2009/0911/1602/no-recovery-in-patersons-poll-numbers/?hpdaily52.html]</ref> after his handling of In the state budget crisis, his mismanagement beginning of filling in the appointment of [[Hillary Clinton]]'s vacant Senate seat2010, and a proposed number Brewer was considered to be one of tax increases. Former New York City Mayor [[Rudy Giuliani]] has declined to seek the governorship and has endorsed former Congressman [[Rick Lazio]]most vulnerable Republican Governors up for reelection. President [[Barack Obama]] in Sept. 2009 contacted PatersonHowever, asking him not to seek reelection in 2010 in that he cannot recover from his dismal political standing. Democrats hope that her popularity rose after signing a stronger candidatecontroversial illegal immigration law, such as State and was reelected against state Attorney General [[Andrew Cuomo]] runsTerry Goddard by a 55%-42% margin.
*'''OklahomaGeorgia'''
Democratic Governor In 2002, [[Brad HenrySonny Perdue]] cannot run for reelection because became the first Republican elected Governor of Georgia since reconstruction, and was reelected in 2006. However, he was term limits-limited in 2010. Lieutenant With an open race, former Governor Jari Askins and Roy Barnes handedly defeated Attorney General Drew Edmondson are seeking Thurbert Baker in the Democratic nominationprimary, while Republicans are united behind Congresswoman Mary Fallin. A Public Policy Poll shows Fallin leading both Askins and Edmondson. <ref>http://www.publicpolicypollingnarrowly nominated Congressman Nathan Deal over Secretary of State Karen Handel.com/pdf/PPP_Release_OK_520Deal defeated Barnes by a 53%-43% margin+.pdf</ref>
*'''OhioGuam'''
Incumbent Democratic Guam Governor [[Ted Strickland]] may be vulnerable in his reelection as Ohio suffers from over 10% [[unemployment]]Felix P. Camacho, the 10th highest out of 50 states and crippling taxesa Republican, the 4th worst was term limited in the nation2010. [[John Kasich]], former Congressman from The Governors office stayed in Republican hands with the 12th district from 1983-2001 and host election of the Ohio-based talk television program Heartland with John Kasich, is seeking the Republican nomination. A December 2009 Rasmussen poll has Kasich leading by a 48%-39% margin. <ref>http://www.rasmussenreportsState Senator Eddie Calvo.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/ohio/election_2010_ohio_governor</ref>
*'''OregonIdaho'''
Democratic Governor [[Ted KulongoskiButch Otter]] cannot seek a third term. Former Governor John Kitzhaber is seeking the governorship again. Former Oregon Secretary , governor of State Bill Bradbury is also running. Republicans have lessor-known candidatesone of the most conservative states in the nation, including Businessman Allen Alley, State Senator Jason Atkinson, and former Oregon State Senator John Limwas reelected by a 59%-33% margin.
*'''PennsylvaniaNebraska'''
Democratic Republican Governor [[Ed RendellDave Heineman]] is term limited in 2010. Announced Republican candidates include Attorney General Tom Corbett. Democrat Auditor General Jack Wagner is running. A December 2009 Quinnipiac poll showed Corbett leading Wagner by a 43%-33% margin. <ref>http://www.pollster.com/blogs/pa_2010_gov_quinnipiac_12814.php</ref> 6th district Congressman Jim Gerlach was a Republican candidate, however dropped out who was easily reelected with 73% of the vote in January and is seeking reelection instead2006, was easily won another term with 74% of the vote.
*'''Rhode IslandNevada'''
Although Democrats have dominated Rhode Island politics, they have voted Republican for 7 of the last 9 gubernatorial elections. As Rhode Island has been hit hard by the national recession, Republican Governor [[Donald CarcieriJim Gibbons]] has suffered was defeated in the pollsprimary by former State Attorney General Brian Sandovalby. Gibbons was vulnerable for his reelection after a series of scandals in his administration, however is barred from seeking a third term because messy divorce and lawsuit, his failure to examine the Yucca Mountain nuclear waste site, and his handling of term-limitsthe budget, brought his approval ratings down. Clark County Commissioner Rory Reid — son of Senate Majority Leader [[Lincoln ChafeeHarry Reid]], former Senator who was known as - won the most liberal Republican in [[Congress]], is running for Governor as an Independent, and is a formidable candidate because of his name recognition. Possible Democratic candidates include state Attorney General Patrick Lynch and state General Treasurer Frank Caprionomination. State Representative Joseph Trillo will seek In the Republican nominationgeneral election, while former state Attorney General Arlene Violet, the first woman ever elected Attorney General, may also run. <ref>http://www.projo.com/news/efitzpatrick/edward_fitzpatrick_0820_08Sandovalby defeated Reid by a 53%-20-09_BGFE6HF_v26.3987b7242% margin.html</ref>
*'''South Carolina'''
Republican Governor [[Mark Sanford]]'s possible presidential ambitions in for 2012 ended after it was exposed he was having an extramarital affair with a woman from [[Argentine]]. Sanford will would not resign, however is was barred from seeking a third term because of term limits. Both parties have prepared for an open race. State Representative [[Nikki Haley]] defeated Congressman Gresham Barrett in the Republican primary. State Senator Vincent Sheheen won the Democratic nomination. Haley defeated Sheheen bu a 51%-47% margin, becoming the first woman elected Governor of South Carolina, and the second Indian-American elected Governor, next to [[Bobby Jindal]] of [[Louisiana]].
*'''South Dakota'''
Two-term Republican Governor [[Mike Rounds]] cannot could not run for a third-term because of term limits. Republican candidates include Republicans nominated Lieutenant Governor Dennis Daugaard and State Senate Majority Leader Dave Knudson. For the Democrats State nominated state Senate Minority Leader Scott Heidepriem is running. A December 2009 Public Policy Polling survey showed both Daugaard and Knudson leading defeated Heidepriem by double digit margins. <ref>http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_SD_1217.pdf</ref>  *'''Tennessee''' Democratic Governor [[Phil Bredesen]] is term limited and unable to seek reelection. Tennessee, a Republican62%-leaning state, will likely have a competitive contest. Announced Republican candidates are 3rd district Congressman Zach Wamp, Knoxville Mayor Bill Haslam, and Lieutenant Governor Ron Ramsey. Democrats include Tennessee Senate Minority Leader Jim Kyle, former State House Majority Leader Kim McMillan, State Senator Roy Herron, and former attorney Mike McWherter38% margin.
*'''Texas'''
Former Lieutenant Governor under [[George W. Bush]] and now Governor, [[Rick Perry]] is running was elected for an unprecedented third consecutive term. Perry has alienated some citizens with his support of the Trans-Texas Corridor and social conservatives with an executive order mandating vaccine for school girls. Still, he defeated Senior Senator [[Kay Bailey Hutchison]] for the Republican nomination, aftering after attacking her as a Washington insider and big spender. The Democratic nominee is was former Houston Mayor [[Bill White]].
*'''Utah'''
Lieutenant Governor [[Gary Herbert]], Republican, inherited the governorship after Governor [[Jon Huntsman, Jr.]] resigned to serve as U.S Ambassador to [[China]]. In a state that has not elected a Democrat Governor since 1980, Herbert is favored was elected to win a full term.
*== 2010 Midterm elections and wave of anti-abortion laws due to the red wave election ==[[File:Red-wave-election.jpg|right|thumbnail|300px|In the United States, a red wave election is an election where there is a surge of voters supporting Republican candidates which results in an unusually high number being elected to office. <br /><br />In the United States, the Republican Party is associated with the color red.<ref>[https://idioms.thefreedictionary.com/red+wave Red wave], thefreedictionary.com</ref>]]The ''[[New York Times]]'Vermont'in a news article about [[Roe vs. Wade]] entitled ''How Did Roe Fall: Before a Decisive Ruling, A Powerful [[Red wave|Red Wave]]'' stated:{{Cquote|The beginning of the end of Roe v. Wade arrived on election night in November 2010.
Although a solidly Democratic state (Barack Obama won it by over 67% That night, control of state houses across the vote) country flipped from Democrat to Republican , almost to the number: Democrats had controlled 27 state legislatures going in and ended up with 16; Republicans started with 14 and ended up controlling 25. Republicans swept not only the South but Democratic strongholds in the Midwest, picking up more seats nationwide than either party had in four decades. By the time the votes had been counted, they held their biggest margin since the [[Jim DouglasGreat Depression]] was elected governor . There had been a time, in 2002 and reelected in 2004the 15 years after Roe, 2006when Republicans were as likely as Democrats to support an absolute right to legal abortion, and 2008sometimes even more so. Douglas has announced he will not run for another termBut 2010 swept in a different breed of Republican, and Republicans are hoping for Lieutenant Governor powered by [[Brian DubieTea Party]] supporters, that locked in a new conservatism. While Tea Party-backed candidates had campaigned on fiscal discipline and promised indifference to enter the racesocial issues, once in office they found it difficult to cut state budgets. Randy BrockAnd a well-established network was waiting with model anti-abortion laws. In legislative sessions starting the following January, an AfricanRepublican-American conservative who served led states passed a record number of restrictions: 92, or nearly three times as State Auditor and many as the previous high, set in 2005.The three years following the 2010 elections would result in 205 anti-abortion laws across the Vermont Senatecountry, may also runmore than in the entire previous decade. Democrat candidates include Doug Racine “A watershed year in the defense of life, Lieutenant Governor under [[Howard Dean]]” Charmaine Yoest, as well as Vermont Secretary at the time president of State Deborah Markowitzthe anti-abortion group Americans United for Life, proclaimed when the sessions were over, noting that 70 of the laws — restrictions on abortion pills and hurdles for women getting abortions and clinics providing them — had adopted the group’s model legislation.“And that is just the beginning.”<ref>[https://archive.ph/DKB2b#selection-377.0-553.33 ''How Did Roe Fall: Before a Decisive Ruling, A Powerful Red Wave''] by Kate Zernike, New York Times, June 25, 2022</ref>}}
==Further reading==
* Michael Barone, ''The Almanac of American Politics: 2010'' (2009) 1726pp; in-depth covereage of every seat in Congress.
 
====references====
<references/>
== See also ==
 
*[[Liberals Who Refuse To Debate]]
*[[Jobsgate]]
 
====References====
<references/>
[[categoryCategory:Politics]][[categoryCategory:Obama Presidency]][[categoryCategory:Republican Party]][[categoryCategory:Democratic Party]][[Category: 111th United States Congress]]
[[Category:2010 Midterm Elections]]
[[Category:Featured articles]]