User:Conservative/War in Ukraine

Issues:

1. Trump has a real estate person as a negotiator because he doesn't trust the neocons. But the real estate person does not understand the nuances, history and cultures of the countries involved.

2. The Duran and Mearsheimer understand the Russians sense of grievance (Minsk Accords), how Russians feel about NATO expansion and the Russians sense of wanting to be one of the big men on campus on the international school yard.

3. The Duran and Mearsheimer don't seem to understand economics and the Russian economy.

4. Trump loves to win and is very assertive, but he can be reasonable to. He also has the New York City attitude (The idea that with enough drive, hard work, and determination, anything is possible). Will Trump break the "emergency glass" of secondary sanctions. If Trump does break the emergency glass of secondary sanctions, will they work enough to pressure Russia into a peace plan and even if he did go along with them, to what extent would the EU participate? "By contrast, secondary tariffs are relatively untested as a phenomenon. Last week, Trump also imposed a 25 percent secondary tariff on US imports from any country buying oil and gas from Venezuela."[1]

The Chinese economy has a lot of problems so secondary sanctions might work against Russia. China may decide not to buy Russian oil and so may the Indians. That might really hurt the Russians and cause them to go to the peace table.