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User:Conservative/Economics

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/* Books */
[[File:Dow1925-2009.jpg|400px|thumb|Dow Jones index since 1925, in constant 2009 dollars; it covers 30 industrials on the New York Stock Exchange]]== Forecasting ==
A '''stock market''' is a list of *[[stock]]s, or jointly held and publicly traded shares of a [[corporation]]s.<ref>{{cite web|url=httpUser:Conservative//www.nasdaq.com/investing/glossary/s/stock-marketForecasting|title=Stock Market|last=Harvey|first=Campbell R.|year=2011|work=Financial Glossary|publisher=[[NASDAQForecasting]]|accessdate=30 October 2014}}</ref> The stocks usually bear some relation to each other: for example, in [[America]], the [[Dow Jones Industrial Average]] is a list of longtime successful American companies (despite its name very few of the current companies are actually industrial), whereas the [[Nasdaq]] consists mostly of technology-based stocks. Other major cities in industrailized countries have stock exchanges, including "London, Paris, Milan, Hong Kong, Toronto and Tokyo."<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.stockexchangesecrets.com/stock-exchange.html|title=What Is A Stock Exchange And What Does It Do?|year=2014|publisher=SES|accessdate=30 October 2014|quote=Most of the world’s industrialized nations have one or more stock exchanges. Among the largest are those in London, Paris, Milan, Hong Kong, Toronto and Tokyo.}}</ref>
[[Market capitalization]] is the amount a company is worth in its publicly trade stock, and a ranking of the companies having the highest capitalization is easily accessible.<ref>https://companiesmarketcap.com/</ref> The total market capitalization of all the publicly traded stocks in the [[United States]], including the [[New York Stock Exchange]] and [[NASDAQ]], was about $41 trillion as of December 31, 2022. That total stock market value is not much larger than the national debt, which was nearly $32 trillion as of March 10, 2023.<ref>https://www.usdebtclock.org/</ref> == Economics discussions ==
Stocks trade as *[[futures]] after the markets close, which can be indicative of how they will open the following morning.<ref>https://www.marketwatchyoutube.com/<@MercatusCenter/ref>videos Mercatus Center] - The Mercatus Center is a university-based research center that focuses on how markets solve problems & improve our lives.
== Value investing Economics and business news: Economics, business and liberty related YouTube channels ==
According to Investopedia: "Value investing is an investment strategy that involves picking stocks that appear to be trading for less than their intrinsic or book value. Value investors actively ferret out stocks they think the stock market is underestimating."<ref>*[https://www.investopediavisualcapitalist.com/termsVisual Capitalist] - Website*[https:/v/valueinvestingwww.asp#:~:text=Value%20investing%20is%20an%20investment,the%20stock%20market%20is%20underestimatingyoutube. Value Investing Definition, How It Works, Strategies, Risks]<com/ref><br @visualcap/>[[File:Benjamin Graham (1894videos Visual capitalist] -1976) portrait on 23 March 1950.jpg|200px|center|thumbnail|Benajmin Graham was the father of value investing.]]{{Clear}}YouTube
*[https://www.wsj.com/ Wall Street Journal]*[https://www.barrons.com/ Barons]*[https://www.forbes.com/?sh== Books on stock investing ==9ffcb1c2254c Forbes]*[https://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics MarketWatch]*[https://www.economist.com/ The Economist]*[https://www.ft.com/us-economy Financial Times]*[https://www.cnbc.com/economy/ CNBC- Economy]*[https://www.entrepreneur.com/ Entrepreneur]*[https://www.bloomberg.com/ Bloomberg News]*[https://www.investors.com/ Investors Business Daily]*[https://freakonomics.com/ Freakonomics]
''See also'Stock investing:'' [[Books on stock investing]]'
Below *[https://www.youtube.com/@WeStudyBillionaires/videos We Study Billionaires - YouTube]. We Study Billionaires is the world's largest stock investing podcast show with 150,000,000+ downloads.  Austrian economics: *[https://austrian-institute.org/en/blog/ Austrian Institute blog]*[https://mises.org/ Mises Institute]*[https://austriancenter.com/ Austrian Economics Center]   Economics: *[https://www.youtube.com/@economicsonyourtips/videos Economics on your tips] - educational *[https://www.youtube.com/@MarginalRevolutionUniversity/videos Marginal Revolution University] - educational  *[https://www.youtube.com/@ReviewEcon Review economics] - Educational *[https://www.youtube.com/@OneMinuteEconomics/videos One minute economics] - educational *[https://www.youtube.com/@UMassEconomics/videos UMAssEconomics], Educational, Probably leans liberal *[https://www.youtube.com/@ThinkEcon/videos Think Econ], Canadian, probably leans liberal *[https://www.youtube.com/@EconJohnTutor/videos Econ HJohn], Educational, Intermediate and advanced economics, Toronto, probably leans liberal *[https://www.youtube.com/@siminstitute/videos Sim Institute], Economics and business topics *[https://www.youtube.com/@EconomicsDesign/videos Economics Design], '''Interesting Singaporean channel''' *[https://www.youtube.com/@EconplusDal/videos EconplusDal], British educational, but leans liberal *[https://www.youtube.com/@EconomicsinManyLessons/videos Economics in many lessons] *[https://www.youtube.com/@misesmedia/videos Mises Media], free market *[https://www.youtube.com/@EconomicNinja/videos Economic Ninja], appears to lean free market *[https://www.youtube.com/@UneducatedEconomist/videos Uneducated economist] - Working class view of economics *[https://www.youtube.com/@EconomicsExplained/videos Economics explained] - YouTube channel, leans neo-Keynesian *[https://www.youtube.com/@visualeconomiken/videos VisualEconomik EN], Neoliberalism bent *[https://www.youtube.com/@TheEconomist/videos The Economist], Neoliberalism bent  Economics, business, politics: *[https://www.youtube.com/@VALUETAINMENT/videos Valuetainment], Free market *[https://www.youtube.com/@LearnLiberty/videos Learn Liberty], free market == Different schools of economic thought == *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tJwQej0el5s Economics is a developing field that improves mankind - just like physical sciences and technology] *[https://www.amazon.com/Debunking-Economics-Revised-Expanded-Dethroned/dp/1848139926 Debunking Economics - Revised and Expanded Edition: The Naked Emperor Dethroned?] *[https://www.investopedia.com/articles/economics/09/why-economists-do-not-agree.asp#:~:text=There%20are%20two%20major%20schools,or%20laissez%2Dfaire%2C%20economics. Why Can't Economists Agree?], Free market economist vs. Keynesian economists *7 schools of economic thought: These are: the Keynesian school of macroeconomics; the monetarist school; the New Classical school; the New-Keynesian school; supply side macroeconomics, and `non-monetary' models of macroeconomics - the real business cycle theory and the 'structuralist school' which views changes in unemployment as the outcome of shifts in the structural characteristics of the economy.[https://www.amazon.com/Seven-Schools-Macroeconomic-Thought-Memorial/dp/0198283334#:~:text=These%20are%3A%20the%20Keynesian%20school,unemployment%20as%20the%20outcome%20of] *[https://www.economicsonline.co.uk/definitions/economic_schools.html/ Schools of economic thought], broad schools *[https://www.hetwebsite.net/het/thought.htm Schools of economic thought], Heterodox website (fairly large schools of economic thought) *[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Schools_of_economic_thought Schools of economic thought], Lots of schools of economic thoughts *[https://www.amazon.com/Austrian-Perspective-History-Economic-Thought/dp/B09LPXSHFV/ref=sr_1_1?crid=1NOS9V15VN2M5&keywords=Economic+Thought+Before+Adam+Smith+%28Large+Print+Edition%29%3A+An+Austrian+Perspective+on+the+History+of+Economic+Thought%2C+Volume+2&qid=1701767392&s=books&sprefix=economic+thought+before+adam+smith+large+print+edition+an+austrian+perspective+on+the+history+of+economic+thought%2C+volume+2%2Cstripbooks%2C89&sr=1-1 An Austrian Perspective on the History of Economic Thought] *[https://www.amazon.com/Classical-Economics-Austrian-Perspective-Economic-ebook/dp/B003H4R8N8/ref=sr_1_2?crid=1NOS9V15VN2M5&keywords=Economic+Thought+Before+Adam+Smith+%28Large+Print+Edition%29%3A+An+Austrian+Perspective+on+the+History+of+Economic+Thought%2C+Volume+2&qid=1701767392&s=books&sprefix=economic+thought+before+adam+smith+large+print+edition+an+austrian+perspective+on+the+history+of+economic+thought%2C+volume+2%2Cstripbooks%2C89&sr=1-2 Classical Economics (LvMI) (An Austrian Perspective on the History of Economic Thought Book 2)] === Austrian school === *[https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/austrian_school.asp Austrian school of economics] *[https://www.investopedia.com/articles/economics/09/austrian-school-of-economics.asp Austrian School of Economics: Founders, Key Ideas, and Insights] === Steve Hanke (Likes Milton Friedman) ===[[Image:Trw6543.jpg|right|thumb|200px|[[Milton Friedman]] ]]See: [[Milton Friedman]] Steve Hanke: Economist, Academic. Steve H. Hanke is a professor of applied economics and founder and codirector of the [Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise] at the Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore. *[https://www.cato.org/people/steve-h-hanke Steve - Hanke] - Cato *[https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=+Steve+Hanke Steve Hanke] - YouTube *[https://www.google.com/search?sca_esv=2f9b2497dff3458c&sxsrf=ACQVn09BuU6E6WXC6nlMh2X9r9HTDvqYUw:1713701634749&q=steve+hanke&tbm=nws&source=lnms&prmd=nivsmbtz&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwi1r8KJpNOFAxUc5ckDHYX1DF4Q0pQJegQIDRAB&biw=1920&bih=927&dpr=1 Steve Hanke] - Google News === Keynesian vs. neo-Keynesian === *[https://voxday.net/2011/07/06/keynesian-macroeconomics-do-not-work/ Keynesian macroeconomics do not work] * [https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/012615/what-difference-between-keynesian-and-neokeynesian-economics.asp#:~:text=Neo%2DKeynesian%20theory%20focuses%20on,market%20as%20not%20self%2Dregulating. Keynesian vs. Neo-Keynesian Economics: What's the Difference?] == What’s the relationship between the stock market and the economy? == * [https://www.rbcgam.com/en/ca/learn-plan/investment-basics/whats-the-relationship-between-the-stock-market-and-the-economy/detail What’s the relationship between the stock market and the economy?] - "There has never been a consistent relationship between the stock market and the economy. While the two tend to loosely move in the same direction, they often act in widely different ways – particularly over shorter time periods... The stock market is forward looking. The price you are willing to pay for a stock today is based on how well you and other investors expect the company to do in the future. By contrast, some economic data looks back at what has already happened."  * The stock market is not the economy and the economy is not the stock market.[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WU4cPNC_JFE]== Notable stock investment tools/sources/specialists == === Books === *[https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list =PLbjmSS6LZDGr0IfGEE-2T4cH0kdGxDMAL Charles Payne - Unbreakable Investor]*[[Books on stock investing]] === Online resources === *[https://www.wallstreetzen.com/blog/motley-fool-vs-zacks-vs-morningstar-vs-seeking-alpha/#:~:text=Zacks%20Premium%20vs%20Morningstar%20Premium%20(Zacks%20vs%20Morningstar)&text=Unless%20you're%20very%20fanatic,for%20many%20types%20of%20investors. Motley Fool, Zacks, Morningstar, Seeking Alpha – Which is the best investment service for you?][[Image:Wall Street..jpg|right|thumb|Wall Street|400px]] *[https://www.fool.com/ The Motley Fool] – Best Stock-Picking Service *[https://www.morningstar.com/ Morningstar] – Best Data-Driven Investment Research Platform (especially for mutual funds and ETFs) *[https://www.zacks.com/ Zacks] – Best Supplementary Rating System *[https://seekingalpha.com/ Seeking Alpha] – Best Investment Research Website for Experienced Investors '''Motley Fool:''' *[https://www.fool.com/ Motley Fool] *[https://www.fool.com/premium/stock-advisor/landing/ Motley Fool Stock Advisory service] *[https://www.fool.com/services/ Motly Fool premium services] '''We Study Billionaires:''' *[https://www.youtube.com/@WeStudyBillionaires/videos We Study Billionaires - YouTube]. We Study Billionaires is the world's largest stock investing podcast show with 150,000,000+ downloads. === Stock investing: Warren Buffett: You Only Need To Know These 7 Rules for investing in companies === *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=63oF8BOMMB8 Warren Buffett: You Only Need To Know These 7 Rules for investing in companies] === Stock investing: Good opportunities === '''MOAT:'''  *[https://seekingalpha.com/article/4618523-moat-nothing-better-than-a-sustainable-competitive-advantage MOAT: Nothing Better Than A Sustainable Competitive Advantage] (The VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF has outperformed the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF over the past 10 years.) '''Investing in blue chip art:''' *[https://www.masterworks.io/ Investing in blue-chip art], Priority processing at [https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbTB5S1hiUTViUjJQcU9ScEVXVDBkWmRNN2tzUXxBQ3Jtc0ttdnpBOGlVcVA0NmI5NnZmR21GZTgtZjZ3RFhGNEpZcm1yaUxKbE5EWk1OQVVHREdIRFB4TE82R2lha2QtWVotcmlDMkJXMlEwMjdQaWh1WWJNc1hCaDdGWXFKZTJnRkJDcWlQWnVpdnk4MUZTckE5Yw&q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.masterworks.art%2Fcaspian&v=A9m7EtNXipk Masterworks - Caspian Report] *[https://vimeo.com/579883769?embedded=true&source=vimeo_logo&owner=119993084 Masterworks on Mad Money with Jim Cramer] Books: *''Understanding Art'' by Lois Fichner-Rathus, Cengage Learning; 11th edition (January 1, 2016)*''How To Understand Art (Art Essentials)'' by Janetta Rebold Benton, Thames & Hudson (October 26, 2021)*Foundations of classic Art and Design by Lois Fichner-Rathus, Wadsworth Publishing; 1st edition (February 16, 2007)  '''Angel investing study - 27% return - Kaufman study:'''  *[https://web.archive.org/web/20131010025647/http://sites.kauffman.org/pdf/angel_groups_111207.pdf Angel investing Kaufman study]*[https://rightsidecapital.com/assets/documents/HistoricalAngelReturn.pdf Historical returns in angel markets] === Stock investing experts ===[[Image:NYSE-floor.jpg|right|thumb|Face-to-face trading on the [[New York Stock Exchange]]'s trading floor.]]==== Mark Lipias ==== Mark Lipacis: Out of more than 8,000 total analysts in the TipRanks database, Jefferies analyst Mark Lipacis is rated No. 1 based on his stock-picking track record over the past 10 years. Lipacis has an impressive 73% success rate on his stock ratings, and his 498 stock picks generated an average return of 30.3%.[https://money.usnews.com/investing/stock-market-news/slideshows/stock-picks-from-top-rated-wall-street-analysts#:~:text=Out%20of%20more%20than%208%2C000,an%20average%20return%20of%2030.3%25.] *[https://www.wallstreetzen.com/analysts/mark-lipacis Mark Lipacis's Stock Forecasts] *[https://bestbioinvestors.com/analysts/analyst/mark-lipacis Mark Lipias - Stocks] *[https://www.tipranks.com/experts/analysts/mark-lipacis Mark Lipias] *[https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-stock-ratings/analyst/585939c3ee7bf600010fe950/mark-lipacis Mark Lipias] ==== Eric Fry ==== *[https://investorplace.com/author/ericfry/ Eric Fry]*[https://investorplace.com/smartmoney/2023/02/the-latest-megatrend-might-be-in-your-backyard/ Eric Fry - Global trends] === Tech stocks === *[http://www.fool.com/video-alert/rule-breakers/shark-tank-yahoo/?utm_campaign=sharktankvsl&campaign=the-motley-fool&utm_term=theblaze&utm_source=taboola&source=erbtabimu0860050&utm_medium=contentmarketing&testId=shark-tank-video&aid=8766&cellId=1 Internet of things investing - Motley Fool]*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RobVkqbohTI The future of the Internet of Things]*[http://www.forbes.com/sites/louiscolumbus/2015/12/27/roundup-of-internet-of-things-forecasts-and-market-estimates-2015/ Roundup Of Internet of Things Forecasts and Market Estimates, 2015]*[http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2015/12/26/the-best -internet-of-things-stocks-of-2015.aspx The Best Internet of Things Stocks of 2015] === CAN SLIM investing === Pro: *[http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CAN_SLIM Can Slim investing] - Wikipedia*[http://www.investors.com William O'Neil's Investors Business Daily. News, tutorials, commentary]*[http://www.reuters.com/article/pressRelease/idUS194304+31-Jan-2008+BW20080131 IBD's CAN SLIM(R) Investing System Outperforms: +1521.7 vs. S&P 500 +54.92] - Reuters press release*[http://www.canslim.net/ CANSLIM.net offerring FREE and paid resources for CAN SLIM(R) investors since 1996]*[http://www.canslim.com/ CANSLIM.com - Offers an opt-in mailing list for a daily breakouts report] Pros/cons: *[https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/canslim.asp Can Slim Investing] - Investopedia === Reviews === *[https://www.nerdwallet.com/blog/investing/zackstrade-review/ Zacks review] === How long to hold a stock === *[https://www.investors.com/how-to-invest/investors-corner/how-to-sit-tight-in-great-stocks-how-long-should-you-hold-your-winners/ How long should you hold your winners] *[https://www.fool.ca/2018/06/24/is-buy-and-hold-still-a-good-investing-strategy/ Is Buy and Hold Still a Good Investing Strategy?] *[https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/100215/statistical-proof-buyandhold-investing-pays.asp Proof That Buy-and-Hold Investing Works] === Value stocks === *[https://www.investorschronicle.co.uk/ideas/2022/02/09/lower-risk-market-beating-value-stocks/ Lower-risk, market-beating value stocks]  *[https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/02/18/the-smartest-stocks-to-buy-if-stock-market-plunges/ The Smartest Stocks to Buy if the Stock Market Plunges] *[https://www.osfunds.com/Funds/Market-Leaders-Value-Fund O'Shaughnessy Market Leaders Value Fund] *[https://www.franklintempleton.com/press-releases/2021/franklin-templeton-completes-acquisition-of-oshaughnessy-asset-management-a-leading-custom-indexing-provider-through-its-canvas-platform Franklin Templeton Completes Acquisition of O’Shaughnessy Asset Management, a Leading Custom Indexing Provider through its Canvas® Platform] === Market direction indicators === === Employment, Inflation, Consumer Activity and investor activity === *[http://www.investopedia.com/articles/fundamental-analysis/10/indicators-that-move-the-market.asp 4 Key Indicators That Move The Markets] === St. Louis Federal Reserve's Financial Stress Index and Chicago Federal Reserve's National Activity Index === *[http://www.marketwatch.com/story/two-indicators-on-market-direction-2012-03-30 Two indicators on market direction ] *[https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/STLFSI St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index] *[https://www.chicagofed.org/research/data/cfnai/current-data Chicago Federal Reserve's National Activity Index (CFNAI} - Current Data] *[https://www.chicagofed.org/publications/cfnai/index Chicago Federal Reserve's National Activity Index] === VIX === *The Volatility Index, or VIX, measures volatility in the stock market. When the VIX is low, volatility is low. When the VIX is high volatility is high, which is usually accompanied by market fear. The Chicago Board of Options Exchange (CBOE) creates and tracks an index know as the Volatility Index (VIX), which is based on the implied volatility of S&P 500 Index options. *[https://www.investopedia.com/articles/optioninvestor/09/implied-volatility-contrary-indicator.asp#:~:text=Key%20Takeaways,usually%20accompanied%20by%20market%20fear. The Vix Index - Investopedia] - The VIX is used as a contrary market indicator, how institutional sentiment can be measured by VIX, and why an understanding of the VIX tends to favor long and short puts. '''KEY TAKEAWAYs''' *The Volatility Index, or VIX, measures volatility in the stock market.*When the VIX is low, volatility is low. When the VIX is high volatility is high, which is usually accompanied by market fear.*Buying when the VIX is high and selling books when it is low is a strategy, but one that needs to be considered against other factors and indicators. *[http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=^VIX+Interactive#{%22allowChartStacking%22:true} VIX Chart] *[http://www.investopedia.com/articles/optioninvestor/03/091003.asp Determining market direction with VIX]=== Meltdown on Main street - NewsMax - High dividend stock strategy and other strategies === *[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rCwPzoo3Vo0 Meltdown on Main Street] - YouTube*[http://www.moneynews.com/StreetTalk/meltdown-on-main-street/2011/11/30/id/419522 Meldown on Main Street]*[https://www.newsmaxstore.com/newsletters/hif/meltdown49.cfm?promo_code=F030-1 Fortified income strategies] "Bob Wiedemer, co-author with Tom Hutchinson of America's Bubble Economy and the New York Times best-selling book "Aftershock", discussed the topic, "Meltdown on Main Street on a program aired by Newsmax. He discussed the rapid extinction of the American middle class — a social and economic catastrophe that has impacted people's ability to achieve prosperity. He is offering a program called The Middle-Class Survival Package, and it includes a brand-new, full-feature DVD presentation, Fortified Income Strategies, and Tom's new book, Powerful Secrets to Achieve Superior Returns."[http://ja-jp.facebook.com/OperationUpturn/posts/284302758279304] === Dogs of the Dow strategy making resurgence === *[http://www.smartmoney.com/invest/stocks/an-oldschool-investing-strategy-gets-its-bite-back-1344961010209/ Dogs of the Dow strategy is making a resurgence] === MOAT Strategy - Warren Buffet - Value Investing - morningstar ===[[File:Gripsholm Castle Mariefred Sweden.jpg|thumb|280px|right|Gripsholm Castle.]]*[http://www.investmentu.com/2012/August/buffett-strategy.html MOAT strategy - Buffet]*[https://seekingalpha.com/article/4618523-moat-nothing-better-than-a-sustainable-competitive-advantage MOAT: Nothing Better Than A Sustainable Competitive Advantage] (The VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF has outperformed the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF over the past 10 years.)*[http://online.barrons.com/article/SB50001424053111904239304577573172588569002.html How big is your moat - Barrons]*[http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304199804577477012223693628.html Moat companies - WSJ]*[http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2016.1170938?journalCode=raec20 Sustainable competitive advantage and stock performance: the case for wide moat stocks by Srinidhi Kanuri & Robert W. McLeod] ([https://www.researchgate.net/publication/303093783_Sustainable_competitive_advantage_and_stock_performance_the_case_for_wide_moat_stocks Full text at researchgate]) ==== 20 stocks for the long term ==== *[http://www.businessinsider.com/morgan-stanley-20-stocks-for-2016-2013-3 20 stocks for the long terms] ==== Quantitative investing ==== *[http://lipperalpha.financial.thomsonreuters.com/2016/09/are-quant-funds-worth-another-look/ Are Quant Funds Worth Another Look?], 2016 *[http://investingforaliving.us/2013/06/12/quantitative-investing-utilities-strategy/ Quantitative Investing – Utilities Strategy] - 16% compound returns with low risk, 2013 published*[http://www.forbes.com/sites/nathanvardi/2016/01/13/top-quant-hedge-funds-stand-out-with-good-2015/#62fcccd4558e Top Quant Hedge Funds Stand Out With Good 2015] *[https://www.ft.com/content/4b2a4a0a-2ef7-11e6-bf8d-26294ad519fc Investors pile into quant funds] Cornerstone Growth strategy - O'Shaunessty funds: *[https://www.cxoadvisory.com/2713/fundamental-valuation/out-of-sample-test-of-what-works-on-wall-street-oshaughnessys-cornerstone-strategies/ Out-of-Sample Test of What Works on Wall Street (O’Shaughnessy’s Cornerstone Strategies)]=== James O'Shaughnessy === *[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_O%27Shaughnessy James O'Shaughnessy - bio] *[http://www.forbes.com/2009/02/23/oshaughnessy-investors-strategy-personal-finance_oshaughnessy.html O'Shaughnessy's Keep-It-Simple Stocks] *[http://www.oldschoolvalue.com/blog/book-reviews/what-works-on-wall-street/ The Mechanical Strategy that Works on Wall Street] *[http://www.investingdaily.com/16052/the-holy-grail-of-investing-combining-value-and-momentum/ The Holy Grail of Investing: Combining Value and Momentum]=== Other notable stock investing specialists/sources === '''Growth investor:'''  Louis Navellier: *[https://www.thestockdork.com/growth-investor-review/ Louis Navellier - review] *[https://navellier.com/ Louis Navellier website] *[https://investorplace.com/author/louis-navellier/ Louis Navellier - Investor place] '''Tech investors:'''  *Produced in partnership with TrueBridge Capital Partners, [https://www.forbes.com/lists/midas/?sh=6defcb295922 the Midas List] has long tracked venture capital’s ebbs and flows as the definitive ranking of the top 100 tech investors."- Forbes, 2023[https://www.forbes.com/lists/midas/?sh=6defcb295922] *[https://www.forbes.com/lists/midas/?sh=6defcb295922 The Midas list] *[https://www.brownstoneresearch.com/ Brownstone Research] and [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k8fBlpidk_c Investing Legend Jeff Brown Reveals Revolutionary "G.T.E." Technology] and [https://www.businessandleadership.com/investment/item/jeff-brown-investor-independent-review/ Jeff Brown - review] '''Quants: What They Do and How They've Evolved''' *[https://www.investopedia.com/articles/active-trading/111214/quants-what-they-do-and-how-theyve-evolved.asp#:~:text=Key%20Takeaways-,Quantitative%20trading%20(also%20called%20quant%20trading)%20involves%20the%20use%20of,aim%20to%20identify%20profit%20opportunities. Quants: What They Do and How They've Evolved] === Books on stock investing ===
*''The Little Book of Common Sense Investing: The Only Way to Guarantee Your Fair Share of Stock Market Returns'' (Little Books, Big Profits) by John C. Bogle. Wiley; 10th Anniversary, Revised, Updated ed. edition (October 16, 2017)
*''Lies Your Broker Tells You: What to Watch for and Still Achieve Financial Security'' by Thomas D. Saler. Walker & Co; First Edition (January 1, 1989)
== See also Economic forecasts ==[[ImageFile:Wall Street.Dow1925-2009.jpg|right400px|thumb|Wall Street|200pxDow Jones index since 1925, in constant 2009 dollars]]*[[free market]]*[[Wall Street]]*[[Chinese stock markets]https://blog.itreconomics.com/blog ITR economics blog]- Unbiased and not political
Analytic services relating to stock investing*[https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLbjmSS6LZDGpNG0EmZRFXgkWg5JaPUlX- Philip Tetlock on forecasting and expert opinions]
*See also: [[MorningstarUser:Conservative/Forecasting|Forecasting]]
==Further reading==* Fraser, Steve. ''Wall Street: America's Dream Palace'' (2009) [https://www.amazonmarketwatch.com/Walleconomy-Street-Americas-Palace-Americapolitics/dpcalendars/0300151438/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1250658068&sr=1-1 excerpt and text searcheconomic Economic calendar]
== References =={{reflist}}*[https://www.grossoutput.com/ Gross output]
{{Economic preparedness topics}}=== Yield curve ===
*[https://www.doughroller.net/investing/what-you-need-to-know-about-the-inverted-yield-curve/ What You Need to Know About the Inverted Yield Curve] *[Categoryhttps://www.gurufocus.com/yield_curve.php US Treasury yield curve] *[https://www.google.com/search?q=yield+curve&rlz=1C1CHBF_enUS771US771&source=lnms&tbm=nws&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwjc36uEjNjeAhUl8YMKHUOkBMoQ_AUIDigB&biw=1024&bih=626 Yield curve - Google search] *[https://www.google.com/search?q=inverted+yield+curve&rlz=1C1CHBF_enUS771US771&source=lnms&tbm=nws&sa=X&sqi=2&ved=0ahUKEwjk-73WjNjeAhVIyxoKHb7MAVgQ_AUIDigB&biw=1024&bih=626 Inverted yield curve - Google search] === List of Austrian school of economists (Austrian school economists have track record of calling recession before other schools of economists) === *[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Austrian_School_economists List of Austrian school economists] *[https://www.stockinvestor.com/35057/austrian-indicator-predicting-now/ The Austrian indictor] === American middle class shrinking. Many jobs are low wage === *[https://www.infowars.com/63-percent-of-all-u-s-jobs-created-since-1990-have-been-low-wage-jobs/ Since 1990, the U.S. economy has produced nearly two-thirds of new jobs being low wage jobs] === The difficulty of long term economic forecasting for various companies/sectors/countries === *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XNV1F5RapB4 Most People Have No Idea What Is Coming] - Warren Buffett==== Difficulty of short term economic forecasting due to various factors ==== *[https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-07-17/niall-ferguson-how-long-will-inflation-last-it-s-complex#:~:text=Nobody%20Knows%20How%20Long%20Inflation,on%20the%20edge%20of%20chaos.%E2%80%9D Nobody Knows How Long Inflation Will Last. That’s Life.] === Size of a working age population in a country and its correlation with national GNP in advanced economies === *[[Size of a working age population in a country and its correlation with national GNP in advanced economies]] (High correction between the size of the working population of a country and its national GNP) ==== Videos: Finance, politics, society ==== *[https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCKWDscRjYFTD1KHsmow4-bQ/videos Digital Finance Analytics] == YouTube channels on investing == *[https://www.youtube.com/c/MarkTilbury/videos Mark Tlbury] === YouTube Real estate investing === *[https://www.youtube.com/c/REInvestorTV/videos Kris Krohn] == Basic investing/buying == *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_NAgAUpN0pQ HOW TO INVEST $100 IN 2022 (THE 5 BEST WAYS)] *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lg2gnQhbEPs 10 Things You Should Buy] *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bJx7_1rWC6U How To Buy Your First Rental Property (Step by Step)] == Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order by Ray Dalio == *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xguam0TKMw8 Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order by Ray Dalio] == Inflation and high national debt investing == *[https://wealthion.com/ Weathion] - The new era of higher inflation & interest rates plus $trillions in annual deficits has changed the rules of investing. *[https://www.youtube.com/@Wealthion/videos Wealthion] - YouTube channel *[https://www.businessinsider.com/wealthion-adam-taggart-financial-advice-investing-strategy-youtube-channel-success-2023-3 Adam Taggart's financial advice YouTube channel Wealthion has exploded to a monthly viewership in the millions in under 2 years. He explains why he's had such quick success — and what's next for the brand.] == How big is the US National debt == *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EPjrFjAxwlw Prof. Antony Davies: 10 Myths About Government Debt]<br />[[File:US National Debt as a percentage of GDP.png|thumbnail|center|1201px|Historical graph of the U.S. national debt as a percentage of GDP.]]{{Clear}} == Economics == [[Image:Sigentha.jpg|right|thumb|200px|[[Adam Smith]] ]]=== General economic trend forecasting related info === Sources: *[http://dailyreckoning.com/ Daily Reckoning] *[http://online.barrons.com/this_week?mod=BOL_Nav_MAG_other Barron's online] *[https://moneymaven.io/mishtalk/ Mishtalk] *[http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/ Global economic analysis] *[http://seekingalpha.com/ Seeking Alpha] *[http://seekingalpha.com/dashboard/macro_view Seeking Alpha - Macro View] *[http://www.jimrogers.info/ Jim Rogers blog] *[https://www.google.com/search?hl=en&gl=us&tbm=nws&q=bill+mcbride+calculated+risk&oq=bill+mcbride+calculated+risk&gs_l=news-cc.12..43j43i400.4027.4027.0.5751.1.1.0.0.0.0.356.356.3-1.1.0...0.0...1ac.2.NcaEtiWMgJo Bill McBride - Calculated Risk - Google News] *[http://www.businessinsider.com/moneygame Business Insider] *[http://www.businesscycle.com/ecri-reports-indexes/reports Economic PreparednessCycle Research Institute - reports*[http://consultingbyrpm.com/blog Free advice - Robert Murphy blog*[http://www.youtube.com/user/misesmedia/videos Mises Media - YouTube] == How the economy works == *[Categoryhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PHe0bXAIuk0 How the economy works] by Ray Dalio == Grant Cardone on wealth creation == *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=taPfaW_2jqQ Grant Cardone's 10 Rules to get your Money Right]*[https://www.freshworks.com/crm/resources/grant-cardone-10x-rule-blog/#Grant-Cardone-Success How Grant Cardone Built a $750 Million Empire] == General principles of investing ==[[File:Benjamin Graham (1894-1976) portrait on 23 March 1950.jpg|200px|thumbnail|Benajmin Graham was the father of value investing.]] Personal Principles: *[https://www.financialsamurai.com/ Financial Samarai] *[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G8bF1pWKaOE Jim Rogers on investing] *[http://www.thedailybell.com/852/Jim-Rogers-China-Opportunities-Gold-Standard-Free-Markets.html Jim Rogers interview - text] *[http://www.fool.ca/2014/03/26/how-to-invest-like-billionaire-investor-jim-rogers/ How to invest like Jim Rogers] *[http://www.growthstockwire.com/3620/the-best-thing-jim-rogers-ever-said Jim Rogers on waiting until the odds are heavily stacked in your favor] *[https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/01/4-investing-tips-that-are-so-simple-theyre-like-ma/ 4 Investing Tips That Are So Simple, They're Like Magic] *[http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article43700.html Jim Rogers On “Buying Panic” And InvestmentsNobody Is Talking About*[http://etfdailynews.com/2012/08/13/a-buffett-strategy-that-stands-the-test-of-time-moat/ Warren Buffett's MOAT strategy*[http://dailyreckoning.com/how-to-evaluate-companies-for-home-run-investments/ Evaluating a companies management team - Daily Reckoning] From Invest in Yourself by Mark Eisenson, Gerri Detweiler, and Nancy Castleman: "According to Gerald Celente, Director of the Trends Research Institute and author of Trends 2000, the key to tracking trends is to read two newspapers every day with a purpose — either The Wall Street Journal or The Financial Times, plus The New York Times or USA Today. Look for stories with social, economic, and political significance, be it about the difficulties older suburbs face or the current currency crisis. (You’ll know by the headline or the first paragraph.) Skip the stories that are purely human interest or that are about something that hasn’t happened yet (for example, a jury resuming deliberation on a sensational trial). When a crisis does occur, tune in to the extra in-depth analyses that you’ll find in accompanying background pieces probably in more than one of the newspapers. Read them as though you’re a “political atheist,” Celente recommends — not for what you want or hope, but for what is really going on, not only in your own profession or industry, but for trends that may directly or indirectly shape the future.[Categoryhttp:Individual Retirement Accounts//books.google.com/books?id=mHD-kpVlHP4C&pg=PA125&dq=gerald+celente+trends+2000#v=onepage&q=gerald%20celente%20trends%202000&f=false]  '''Rather than searching for decent jobs that are very hard to find, some Americans are deciding to become self-employed.'''[http://bx.businessweek.com/layoffs/view?url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.e2ecoaching.com%2F2009%2F03%2F14%2Fhere-come-the-forced-entrepreneurs%2F] Robert P. Murphy, an economist at the Mises Institute, recommends that one of the best measures to protect against a future economic depression is to develop multiple streams of income rather than risk depending on one or two income sources which may disappear in a depression.[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jWLWg2r7dYw] Americans are using creative ways to launch a wide variety of low cost businesses.[http://www.amazon.com/Recession-Busting-Guide-Making-Money-Online/dp/0982061625/ref=sr_1_15?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1252205532&sr=8-15][http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204456604574202171891667550.html][http://www.geekpreneur.com/selling-freelance-services-in-a-recession][http://www.amazon.com/Businesses-Start-Less-Thousand-Dollars/dp/0910627886/ref=pd_cp_b_1]  Market volatility strategies: *[http://www.financial-planning.com/fp_issues/40_11/cracking-the-code-2669410-1.html Investing and volatility- strategy] Investor psychological traps: *[Categoryhttp:Finance//www.businessinsider.com/cfa-level-3-behavioral-finance-2013-5?op=1 Common investor behaviors related to subpar investingTech investing: *[http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2012/05/the-golden-age-of-silicon-valley-is-over-and-were-dancing-on-its-grave/257401/ Silicon valley - traditional technology investment vs. quick payback social media investment=== Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) === *[http://www.investopedia.com/university/releases/napm.asp Purchase managers index - Investopedia]*[Categoryhttp://internationalinvest.about.com/od/gettingstarted/a/What-Is-The-Purchasing-Managers-Index-Pmi.htm What is the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)- Discover the PMI and How It Helps Investors] === Diversification and asset classes === *[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mfs7mPrhdfk Did Diversification Fail in 2008? - Morningstar Video] *[http://www.investorsfriend.com/Time%20In%20The%20Market.htm Real rates of return for the asset classes of corporate stocks/bonds, gold and T-bills from 1926 to June of 2013] *[https://institutional.vanguard.com/iam/pdf/diversificationletusdown.pdf Vanguard - 2008 and diversification]*[http://www.forwardfunds.com/pdfs/market_insights/Forward_What_Every_Investor_Should_Know_About_Commodities.pdf Commodity investing basics and increasing diversification through commodities] "Diversification and globalization are the keys to the future." - [http://www.referenceforbusiness.com/biography/M-R/Mitarai-Fujio-1935.html#b, Fujio Mitarai] === Jim Rogers === *[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eBOj7CcPwYs#t=522 Jim Rogers talks with fans] - Jan 17, 2014 === Mitigating risks === *[https://www.amazon.com/Most-Important-Thing-Illuminated-Thoughtful/dp/0231162847/ref=tmm_hrd_swatch_0?_encoding=UTF8&qid=&sr= The Most Important Thing Illuminated: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor] by Howard Marks *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L_HWRwIOcg4 Banca March y Howard Marks: The Truth about Investing] *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6WroiiaVhGo The most important thing - Howard Marks] *[https://www.oaktreecapital.com/about About Oaktree Capital] == Real estate investing ==[[File:Historical chart of USA house prices.png|thumbnail|500px|right|Historical chart of USA home prices.<ref>[https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/single-family-home-prices United States Single Family Home Prices], Trading Economics website</ref>]] See: [[Real estate]] *[https://www.fool.com/investing/stock-market/market-sectors/real-estate-investing/basics/how-much-real-estate-investors-make/ How Much Do Real Estate Investors Really Make?] === Rentals for passive income === *[https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/zero-to-40000-year-passive-income-in-a-few-years How One 30-Year-Old Built $40,000/Year Passive Income in a Few Years] *[https://www.landlordology.com/make-40k-in-real-estate-on-the-side/ How to Make $40,000 in Real Estate without Quitting Your Job] *[https://www.daveramsey.com/blog/passive-income-real-estate How to Earn Passive Income From Real Estate] *[https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/how-much-cash-flow-should-rentals-make How much cash flow should rentals make?] === Commercial real estate === *[https://commercialacademy.com/ Commercial Real Estate Academy] === Reducing taxes via real estate investing === *[https://www.fool.com/millionacres/taxes/real-estate-tax-deductions/how-real-estate-investing-can-reduce-your-tax-bracket/ How Real Estate Investing Can Reduce Your Tax Bracket] === Baby boomers and real estate === *[https://www.strongtowns.org/journal/2023/2/9/seniors-large-suburban-houses-sell Seniors Have Large Suburban Houses To Sell. Does Anyone Want Them?] === Medical office building investing === *[https://finance.yahoo.com/news/commercial-real-estate-melting-down-180504836.html 'Commercial Real Estate Is Melting Down Fast': Elon Musk Warns Home Prices Will Be The Next To Crash — Yet One Property Type Could Prove Resilient]=== Grant Cardone on real estate === *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vrl6WYIjaP8 THE BIGGEST REAL ESTATE OPPORTUNITY OF OUR LIFETIME!] *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1Cvt3aqaLUk How I Turned $3,000 into $2.2 BILLION - Grant Cardone]=== Real estate investing additional sources === *[https://sites.google.com/site/bestplacestolive4638746/ Best real estate markets] ==== Best real estate investments ==== *[http://www.businessinsider.com/gary-shillings-2013-investment-themes-2013-1#selected-health-care-providers-and-medical-office-buildings-are-still-attractive-because-of-americas-aging-population-6 Medical office buildings] *[http://www.businessinsider.com/gary-shillings-2013-investment-themes-2013-1#rental-apartments-benefit-as-couples-no-longer-see-homes-as-a-good-investment-7 Rental apartment buildings] ==== Best international real estate investments ==== *[http://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/the-global-farmland-boom-4766/ Global farmland] *[http://internationalliving.com/2012/03/the-worlds-best-real-estate-markets-in-2012/ World's best real estate investments] ==== Realty Mogul ==== *[https://www.financialsamurai.com/how-realtymogul-performs-due-diligence-on-their-investments/ How RealtyMogul Performs Due Diligence On Their Investments] *[https://www.realtymogul.com/ Realty Mogul] ==== Real estate investing ==== Realty investing:  *[http://www.larrygoins.com/ Real estate investing - Larry Goins] Cash is king: *[http://www.biggerpockets.com/renewsblog/2011/02/17/in-real-estate-and-life-cash-is-king/ In real estate and life - cash in king] *[http://www.realtytrac.com/content/news-and-opinion/real-estate-investing-why-cash-flow-is-now-king-6853 Why cash flow is now king] ==== Real estate selling, landlording and mortgage loan origination ====  Realtor incomes:  *[http://www.thetruthaboutmortgage.com/how-much-does-a-real-estate-agent-make/ Realtor incomes] *[http://www.streetdirectory.com/travel_guide/67754/real_estate/how_a_realtor_increase_her_income_in_bad_times.html Streams of realtor income in bad times] *[http://agbeat.com/real-estate-news-events/realtors-new-to-the-business-earn-less-than-minimum-wage/ New realtor income - typical]  Real estate sales, lead generation:  [http://realestate.imforza.com/ Online lead generation]  Mortgage loan officer brokers, income:  *[http://www.indeed.com/salary/Mortgage-Loan-Officer.html Mortgage loan officer - Indeed] *[http://qna.mortgagenewsdaily.com/questions/average-income-for-mortgage-brokers Mortgage loan brokers - income 2007] Landlording: [http://www.amazon.com/Landlording-Handymanual-Scrupulous-Landladies-Themselves/dp/0932956335/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1338398977&sr=1-1 Landlording] (classic book) ==== Conforming Mortgage Loans ==== Debt to income ratio and other criteria: *[http://www.realestateabc.com/loanguide/afford.htm Debt to income ratio] Private lenders: *[http://www.bankrate.com/finance/financial-literacy/finding-the-best-mortgage-lender-1.aspx Conforming loan rates - shopping portal] Non-profit, NACA: *[http://wiki.answers.com/Q/Is_naca_a_scam NACA - loan criteria] *[http://naca.pissedconsumer.com/naca-horrible-scam-20100819194601.html NACA - cheaper but more hassle] == Globalization of trade == *[https://www.cato.org/publications/globalization-isnt-going-anywhere Globalization of Trade Isn’t Going Anywhere. World trade in goods may have plateaued but did so at historically high levels], Meanwhile, other indicia of globalization—trade in services, digital trade, cross‐​border investment and migration, and cultural exchange—continue to increase. CATO, 2023 == Asia and investing == === Asian century === *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UtPXQ-ab9Sg Asian Century] === China vs. India and investing === *[https://wealthinasia.com/wisdom/china-vs-india-country-invest/ China Vs. India: Which Country Should You Invest In?] ==== Debate: Has China peaked? Pro/con arguments ==== *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oToGOk7sHdQ Has China’s Power Peaked? Debate with Ian Bremmer and Michael Beckley] (Pro and con arguments) *[https://www.gzeromedia.com/by-ian-bremmer/has-chinas-power-peaked Has China’s power peaked?] (Argues that China has not peaked and has another decade of growth) *[https://asiasociety.org/switzerland/oxford-debate-say-china-has-reached-its-peak-both-unwise-and-risky Oxford Debate: 'To Say China Has Reached Its Peak Is Both Unwise and Risky'], ZURICH, NOVEMBER 30, 2022 *[https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/BPEA_Spring2023_EM-Panel_Prasad_unembargoed.pdf Has China’s Growth Gone from Miracle to Malady?], Brookings Institution, March 30-31, 2023 *[https://archive.md/oTSxz#selection-853.0-853.31 Is Chinese power about to peak?], ''The Economist'', 2023 == Angel investing study - 27% return - Kaufman study == '''Angel investor, Kaufman study:'''  *[https://web.archive.org/web/20131010025647/http://sites.kauffman.org/pdf/angel_groups_111207.pdf Angel investing Kaufman study]*[https://rightsidecapital.com/assets/documents/HistoricalAngelReturn.pdf Historical returns in angel markets] '''Key principles of angel investing:'''  *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rJe6DOqQeoU The Difference Between the Worst and Best Investors] *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bM-SVvkg6gc Daymond John Exclusive: “I’m Investing $100K in This” - America's Comeback Summit] *[https://thealphacut.com/mmp_americas_comeback/lp2_dt/?step=vsl&email=kenjohnson3737%40gmail.com&subid=&affid=&ls=1c&utm_source=Google&utm_medium=Youtube&utm_term=35desktop&utm_content=lp2d&utm_campaign=agnDaymond John Exclusive: “I’m Investing $100K in This” - America's Comeback Summit] *[https://thealphacut.com/ The Alpha Cut] *[https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/092815/how-become-accredited-investor.asp How to Become an Accredited Investor] '''Angel investor groups:''' *[https://sites.google.com/site/angelinvestorgroups/ Angel investor groups] '''Websites:'''  *[https://angelsandentrepreneurs.com/ Angels and entrepeneurs] '''Entrepreneur view:'''  *[http://www.angelcapitalassociation.org/data/Documents/Press%20Center/What%20Ents%20Should%20Know%20About%20Angels%202009.pdf Important Things for Entrepreneurs to Know about Angel Investors] '''Accredited investor criteria:''' *[http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accredited_investor Accredited investor criteria] '''Cool companies:''' *[http://www.joelonsoftware.com/items/2014/07/24.html Trello] == Interesting investment gurus == === Paul Mampilly === *[https://banyanhill.com/expert/paul-mampilly/ Paul Mampilly - Banyanhill Publishing] *[https://pro.banyanhill.com/p/PRLPRA/PPRLSB15/?h=true Paul Mampilly -Internet of Things video] == Internet of Things investments == *[https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/256922/how-to-invest-in-the-internet-of-things How to Invest in the "Internet of Things"] *[https://www.fool.com/investing/2016/12/12/our-3-favorite-stocks-to-invest-in-the-internet-of.aspx Our 3 Favorite Stocks to Invest in the Internet of Things] - Motley Fool - December of 2016 === Stock tracking === *[https://finance.yahoo.com/chart/AMZN#eyJtdWx0aUNvbG9yTGluZSI6ZmFsc2UsImJvbGxpbmdlclVwcGVyQ29sb3IiOiIjZTIwMDgxIiwiYm9sbGluZ2VyTG93ZXJDb2xvciI6IiM5NTUyZmYiLCJtZmlMaW5lQ29sb3IiOiIjNDVlM2ZmIiwibWFjZERpdmVyZ2VuY2VDb2xvciI6IiNmZjdiMTIiLCJtYWNkTWFjZENvbG9yIjoiIzc4N2Q4MiIsIm1hY2RTaWduYWxDb2xvciI6IiMwMDAwMDAiLCJyc2lMaW5lQ29sb3IiOiIjZmZiNzAwIiwic3RvY2hLTGluZUNvbG9yIjoiI2ZmYjcwMCIsInN0b2NoRExpbmVDb2xvciI6IiM0NWUzZmYiLCJyYW5nZSI6Inl0ZCJ9 Amazon - Yahoo charts]*[https://finance.yahoo.com/chart/CSCO#eyJtdWx0aUNvbG9yTGluZSI6ZmFsc2UsImJvbGxpbmdlclVwcGVyQ29sb3IiOiIjZTIwMDgxIiwiYm9sbGluZ2VyTG93ZXJDb2xvciI6IiM5NTUyZmYiLCJtZmlMaW5lQ29sb3IiOiIjNDVlM2ZmIiwibWFjZERpdmVyZ2VuY2VDb2xvciI6IiNmZjdiMTIiLCJtYWNkTWFjZENvbG9yIjoiIzc4N2Q4MiIsIm1hY2RTaWduYWxDb2xvciI6IiMwMDAwMDAiLCJyc2lMaW5lQ29sb3IiOiIjZmZiNzAwIiwic3RvY2hLTGluZUNvbG9yIjoiI2ZmYjcwMCIsInN0b2NoRExpbmVDb2xvciI6IiM0NWUzZmYiLCJyYW5nZSI6Inl0ZCJ9 Cisco - Yahoo stock chart] == Entrepeneurial economy/crowdfunding vs. Corporate welfare and FIRE economy == "Businesses that make up the FIRE economy include banks and credit unions, credit card companies, insurance agencies, mortgage brokers, investment brokerages, real estate agencies, hedge funds and more."[http://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/fire-economy.asp] *[http://www.kauffman.org/what-we-do/research/firm-formation-and-growth-series/financialization-and-its-entrepreneurial-consequences Financialization and Its Entrepreneurial Consequences] *[http://www.signallake.com/innovation/financialization032311.pdf Financialization vs. entrepreneurial economy] *[http://www.cato.org/publications/congressional-testimony/corporate-welfare-spending-vs-entrepreneurial-economy Corporate Welfare Spending vs. the Entrepreneurial Economy] === Crowdfunding === *[http://www.tennessean.com/story/money/2015/05/04/learn-harness-power-crowdfunding/26699443/ Learn how to harness the power of crowdfunding] *[http://www.forbes.com/sites/chancebarnett/2015/03/26/infographic-sec-democratizes-equity-crowdfunding-with-jobs-act-title-iv/ SEC Democratizes Equity Crowdfunding With JOBS Act Title IV] *[http://reidhoffman.org/worlds-bank-crowdfunding-disrupting-banking/ The World’s Bank: How Crowdfunding is Disrupting Old Banking] == List of countries by by GDP (nominal) per capita == *[http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_%28nominal%29_per_capita List of countries by by GDP (nominal) per capita] == Resilient Israelis == *[http://video.foxnews.com/v/3723727924001/israelis-surviving-and-thriving-despite-constant-hostility/#sp=show-clips Israelis surviving and thriving despite constant hostility] *[http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Start-up_Nation Start-up nation] *[http://startupnationbook.com/ Start-up nation book's website] *[http://www.thetower.org/0838-ipos-investments-thrive-despite-war/ IPOs, Investments Thrive Despite War] == Investor and trader psychological profiles == *[http://tests.marketpsych.com/personality_test.php Investor and trader psychological profiles and business person profiles also] *[http://www.marketwatch.com/story/stress-test-for-traders-do-you-need-a-new-job-2012-06-14?pagenumber=1 Stress test for traders - humorous] *[http://www.marketwatch.com/story/12-warnings-show-how-a-volatile-2014-could-cost-you-2014-02-26?pagenumber=2 Most people are terrible traders and most day traders are just adrenaline junkies] == Emerging markets ==[[File:Flag of India svg.png|thumb|right|200px|Flag of [[India]]]]  *[http://emergingmoney.com/ Emerging money] === Asia === *[http://www.bostonglobe.com/business/2014/09/02/asia/9ZOSNRDfSuJ4pIlTXgREXJ/story.html For exporters, Asia is now top market] == CIVETS == [http://www.businesswithoutborders.com/industries/others-industries/the-decade-of-the-civets/ The decade of the CIVETS] - Colombia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Egypt, Turkey and South Africa == Philippines == *[http://www.benzinga.com/markets/bonds/12/12/3175050/can-the-philippines-etf-keep-up-its-torrid-pace-in-2013 Can The Philippines ETF Keep up Its Torrid Pace in 2013?] *[http://www.tempo.com.ph/2013/04/philippines-is-asias-rising-star/#.UXyqnUp49Lt Philippines - Asia's rising star - construction and business process outsourcing key sectors] == Africa == *[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ITqj5W5lDaQ Economists debate Africa's rise] and [http://www.mercatornet.com/harambee/view/12136 Is Africa's rise a false dawn?]*[http://www.southafrica.info/africa/us-300613.htm#.UdehCaywVqU Africa second highest growing region after Asia]*[http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/economic_studies/whats_driving_africas_growth What's driving Africa's growth - 2010 McKinsey Report]*[http://online.barrons.com/article/SB50001424053111903747504579185800700741812.html?mod=BOL_twm_ls New forms of African aid] == Conservation investing == *[http://www.businessinsider.com/water-could-be-the-worlds-next-biggest-market-2013-1 Water] == David Rosenburg == *[http://www.businessinsider.com/david-rosenberg-sirp-2012-10 David Rosenburg presentation on the current economy and recommendations] *[https://www.google.com/search?q=david+rosenburg&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8&aq=t&rls=org.mozilla:en-US:official&client=firefox-a#hl=en&safe=off&client=firefox-a&hs=5oF&rls=org.mozilla:en-US%3Aofficial&tbm=nws&sclient=psy-ab&q=david+rosenberg+gluskin+sheff+&oq=david+rosenberg+gluskin+sheff+&gs_l=serp.3...4690.5924.3.6680.7.7.0.0.0.0.173.937.0j7.7.0.cesh..0.0...1.1.nHpk29W-_lk&psj=1&bav=on.2,or.r_gc.r_pw.r_qf.&fp=e7f321dcae2bae23&bpcl=35277026&biw=1024&bih=580 David Rosenberg - Google news] == Tech boom == *[http://wallstreetpit.com/94867-why-the-tech-boom-has-not-yet-entered-bubble-land Why the tech boom is not yet in bubble land]*[http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/damianthompson/100167217/the-spoilt-luvvies-of-silicon-roundabout/ British tech and poor allocation of capital due to patronage]*[http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/damianthompson/100176109/the-magic-drains-away-from-social-media/ Social media funding going into other tech sectors given poor social media monetizing of traffic and superfast broadband and wireless access growing] == Making money in the next downturn == *[https://www.financialsamurai.com/how-to-make-lots-of-money-during-the-next-downturn/ How To Make Lots Of Money During The Next Downturn] === US housing bubbble === *[https://wolfstreet.com/category/all/housing/ US Housing bubble] === Debt bomb under Trump === *[http://economiccollapsenews.com/2017/01/27/peter-schiff-warns-debt-bomb-will-explode-under-donald-trump/ Peter Schiff warns ‘debt bomb’ will ‘explode’ under Donald Trump] *[http://economiccollapsenews.com/2017/01/20/peter-schiff-warns-republicans-trump-deficits-will-be-huge/ Peter Schiff warns Republicans ‘Trump deficits will be huge’] *[http://economiccollapsenews.com/2017/02/13/will-donald-trump-spend-more-than-obama-bush-and-reagan/ Will Donald Trump spend more than Obama, Bush and Reagan?] === Decline/collapse of the dollar === Decline vs. collapse: *[https://dailyreckoning.com/two-ways-to-collapse/ Two Ways to Collapse Suddenly or Slowly - 2016: One of the preconditions for the dollar collapse began - China strengthening its position for yuan being world reserve currency] === Conditions needed for collapse === *[https://www.thebalance.com/when-will-the-u-s-dollar-collapse-3305691 Conditions needed for dollar to collapse] === Arguments against === *[http://etfdailynews.com/2016/10/18/dollar-continues-gains-against-yuan-despite-predictions-to-the-contrary/ Dollar Continues Gains Against Yuan, Despite Predictions to the Contrary] === Yuan vs. Dollar chart === *[http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=CNY&to=USD&view=5Y Yuan vs. dollar chart] == Economic depression / Economic collapse ==[[File:Soupkitchen.jpg|300px|right|thumb|Soup kitchen during [[FDR]] presidency]]See also: [[Great Depression]] === Nouriel Roubini === ==== Videos/articles ==== *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SZE-8bVrfoo Nouriel Roubini details the 10 biggest threats to the global economy] *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ADh6QTp8798 “We are in a debt trap” - Nouriel Roubini on 10 ‘megathreats’ to our world and how to stop them] *[https://pledgetimes.com/nouriel-roubini-lists-10-mega-threats-to-humanity/ Nouriel Roubini lists 10 “mega-threats” to humanity] ===== Recession/depression proof businesses/jobs ===== *[https://web.archive.org/web/20140701133920/https://survivalblog.com/depression_proof_jobs_for_a_20_1/ Recession/depression proof busineses/jobs] *[http://money.usnews.com/money/careers/articles/2008/10/27/15-hot-jobs-in-a-gulp-depression 15 Hot Jobs in a (Gulp!) Depression] *[http://content.time.com/time/business/article/0,8599,1858773,00.html 150 most recession proof jobs - Time magazine] ===== Summary ===== "When the recession comes, it will not be short and shallow but long and severe. Not only are we facing persistent short- and medium-term negative supply shocks, but we are also heading into the mother of all debt crises, owing to soaring private and public debt ratios over the last few decades. Low debt ratios spared us from that outcome in the 1970s. And though we certainly had debt crises following the 2008 crash – the result of excessive household, bank, and government debt – we also had deflation. It was a demand shock and a credit crunch that could be met with massive monetary, fiscal, and credit easing. Today, we are experiencing the worst elements of both the 1970s and 2008. Multiple, persistent negative supply shocks have coincided with debt ratios that are even higher than they were during the global financial crisis. These inflationary pressures are forcing central banks to tighten monetary policy even though we are heading into a recession. That makes the current situation fundamentally different from both the global financial crisis and the COVID-19 crisis. Everyone should be preparing for what may come to be remembered as the Great Stagflationary Debt Crisis. While central banks have been at pains to sound more hawkish, we should be skeptical of their professed willingness to fight inflation at any cost. Once they find themselves in a debt trap, they will have to blink. With debt ratios so high, fighting inflation will cause an economic and financial crash that will be deemed politically unacceptable. Major central banks will feel as though they have no choice but to backpedal, and inflation, the debasement of fiat currencies, boom-bust cycles, and financial crises will become even more severe and frequent. The inevitability of central banks wimping out was recently on display in the United Kingdom. Faced with the market reaction to the Truss government’s reckless fiscal stimulus, the BOE had to launch an emergency quantitative-easing (QE) program to buy up government bonds. That sad episode confirmed that in the UK, as in many other countries, monetary policy is increasingly subject to fiscal capture. Recall that a similar turnaround occurred in 2019, when the Fed, after previously signaling continued rate hikes and quantitative-tightening, stopped its QT program and started pursuing a mix of backdoor QE and policy-rate cuts at the first sign of mild financial pressures and a growth slowdown. Central banks will talk tough; but, in a world of excessive debt and risks of an economic and financial crash, there is good reason to doubt their willingness to do “whatever it takes” to return inflation to its target rate. With governments unable to reduce high debts and deficits by spending less or raising revenues, those that can borrow in their own currency will increasingly resort to the “inflation tax”: relying on unexpected price growth to wipe out long-term nominal liabilities at fixed interest rates. How will financial markets and prices of equities and bonds perform in the face of rising inflation and the return of stagflation? It is likely that, as in the stagflation of the 1970s, both components of any traditional asset portfolio will suffer, potentially incurring massive losses. Inflation is bad for bond portfolios, which will take losses as yields increase and prices fall, as well as for equities, whose valuations are hurt by rising interest rates. For the first time in decades, a 60/40 portfolio of equities and bonds suffered massive losses in 2022, because bond yields have surged while equities have gone into a bear market. By 1982, at the peak of the stagflation decade, the average S&P 500 firm’s price-to-earnings ratio was down to eight; today, it is closer to 20, which suggests that the bear market could end up being even more protracted and severe. Investors will need to find assets to hedge against inflation, political and geopolitical risks, and environmental damage: these include short-term government bonds and inflation-indexed bonds, gold and other precious metals, and real estate that is resilient to environmental damage."[https://www.project-syndicate.org/onpoint/age-of-megathreats-war-climate-debt-inflation-technology-by-nouriel-roubini-2022-11] BOE and QE: *[https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/why-is-bank-england-selling-government-bonds-2022-11-01/ Explainer: Why is the Bank of England selling government bonds?] "Critics say QE played a major role in pushing up house prices and stock markets for more than a decade, worsening inequality. The BoE has said that without QE, consumer price inflation would have undershot its 2% target during the 2010s, and that unemployment would have been much higher at points."[https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/why-is-bank-england-selling-government-bonds-2022-11-01/] *[https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/bank-england-review-may-raise-bar-future-qe-2022-08-12/ Column: Bank of England review may raise bar for future QE] ==== Books ==== *[https://www.amazon.com/MegaThreats-Dangerous-Trends-Imperil-Survive/dp/031628405X/ref=sr_1_1?Adv-Srch-Books-Submit.x=21&Adv-Srch-Books-Submit.y=12&qid=1671961269&refinements=p_27%3ANouriel+Roubini&s=books&sr=1-1&unfiltered=1 MegaThreats: Ten Dangerous Trends That Imperil Our Future, And How to Survive Them ] by Nouriel Roubini ==== ITR Economics ==== Intro: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TFL8jB4o0VA The Coming Great Depression of the 2030s] *[https://itreconomics.com/depression 2030s Great Depression] *[https://itreconomics.com/great-depression-demographics Countries that will rebound from economic depression faster] - Developed countries like the United States (Borders young Mexico) and other developed countries with comparatively younger demographics than other developed countries are better positioned to rebound (see: [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_median_age List of countries by median age]).  *[https://itreconomics.com/ ITR Economics] *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IcI1_udwPc8 Leading Forecaster Predicts 2030 Global Depression Dr. Alan Beaulieu] Causes: *[https://blog.itreconomics.com/blog/top-5-causes-2030s-great-depression Top 5 Causes of the 2030s Great Depression] *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XzLkmnrIQh8 The Great Depression & Demographics with Brian Beaulieu] Book: *[https://www.amazon.com/Prosperity-in-Age-of-Decline-audiobook/dp/B014GBFG20/ref=sr_1_1?crid=24W0WHTN356V1&keywords=Alan+Beaulieu+Prosperity+in+the+Age+of+Decline%3A+How+to+Lead+Your+Business+and+Preserve+Wealth+Through+the+Coming+Business+Cycles&qid=1658042674&s=audible&sprefix=alan+beaulieu+prosperity+in+the+age+of+decline+how+to+lead+your+business+and+preserve+wealth+through+the+coming+business+cycles+%2Caudible%2C130&sr=1-1 Prosperity in the Age of Decline: How to Lead Your Business and Preserve Wealth Through the Coming Business Cycles] by Alan Beaulieu ==== Ray Dahlio ==== *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tw0wtyzW6nA Ray Dalio Explains Why America is Entering A Horrific Financial Crisis] *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0-tLenP5NA4 "Most People Have No Idea What Is Coming" - Ray Dalio] ==== Jamie Dimon ==== *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=shBwNBNHcso Jamie Dimon: "Get Ready For An Economic HURRICANE"] ==== Others ==== *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cuecFrdFkLc Coming relatively soon: The Great Depression] *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d0MgED27cyo Why the stock market could crash - Warren Buffett on our current experiment] *[https://www.youtube.com/c/MHFIN/search?query=depression Economic depression videos] ==== Prepper/frugality ==== *[https://mypatriotsupply.com/blogs/scout/20-things-to-do-today-to-prepare-for-the-greater-depression 20 Things to Do Today to Prepare for the Greater Depression] *[https://www.cityprepping.com/2020/06/30/10-items-to-buy-before-the-next-great-depression/ 10 Items To Buy Before The Next Great Depression] *[https://www.lovetofrugal.com/how-to-prepare-for-another-great-depression/ How to prepare for another great depression] === Other resources === *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WDcrhv7j9oc Vox Day on the economy] *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pMQ4Wy6yPzo The Return Of The Great Depression] - Vox Day and Sean Hannity Resources on how to prepare: *America 2020: The Survival Blueprint, Updated Edition[https://www.google.com/search?q=america+2020+abe%27s+books&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8][http://www.amazon.com/America-2020-Survival-Blueprint-Updated/dp/0990947238][http://www.ebay.com/itm/America-2020-The-Survival-Blueprint-Stansberry-E-Books-Reports-10-TOTAL/291719674078?_trksid=p2047675.c100005.m1851&_trkparms=aid%3D222007%26algo%3DSIC.MBE%26ao%3D1%26asc%3D36331%26meid%3D0a12da2f2dc74f43ad5669b86efc4598%26pid%3D100005%26rk%3D1%26rkt%3D6%26sd%3D291722833798&rt=nc] *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r1lWylBPrbg Ron Paul Last WARNING for America !]  *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zHNfPK0fQw4 Ron Paul's warning] Hard core survivalist material: *[http://www.amazon.com/How-Survive-End-World-Know/dp/0452295831?ie=UTF8&keywords=how%20to%20survive%20the%20end%20of%20the%20world%20as%20we%20know%20it&qid=1459906145&ref_=sr_1_1&s=books&sr=1-1 How to Survive the End of the World as We Know It: Tactics, Techniques, and Technologies for Uncertain Times] *[http://www.amazon.com/Preppers-Guide-Surviving-World-Know/dp/1523408650?ie=UTF8&*Version*=1&*entries*=0 The Prepper's Guide to Surviving the End of the World, as We Know It: Gear, Skills, and Related Know-How] Other info: *[https://sites.google.com/site/economiccollapse937937/ News related to an economic collapse predicted by various Austrian economists and investors/economists who have Austrian economics leanings] *[http://www.incrementum.li/en/austrian-school-of-economics/correct-predictions-by-austrian-economists/ Correct Predictions by the Austrian Economists]  *[http://wiki.mises.org/wiki/Austrian_predictions Austrian predictions].  *[http://www.amazon.com/How-Survive-End-World-Know-ebook/dp/B002R2048M/ref=sr_1_1?s=digital-text&ie=UTF8&qid=1453515572&sr=1-1&keywords=How+to+Survive+the+End+of+The+World+as+We+Know+It How to Survive the End of the World as We Know It: Tactics, Techniques, and Technologies for Uncertain Times] by James Wesley Rawles Vox Day indicates that debt fueled GDP growth will ultimately lead to a [[Great Depression]] 2.0 that will last for a decade or more.[http://www.wnd.com/2011/06/315789/][http://barelyablog.com/great-depression-2-0-an-interview-with-vox-day/]  Vox Day predicts an economic collapse in 2033.[http://voxday.blogspot.com/2015/06/prediction-collapse-by-2040.html] Vox Day was one of the few that predicted the 2007 financial crisis. [[Gerald Celente]] argues that debt and a reduced productive capacity will also lead to a severe economic depression. Austrian economists are generally better at predicting recessions/depressions due to financial bubbles bursting which are the result of governmental policies or other factors.[http://mises.org/daily/6533/Only-Austrian-Theory-Can-Explain-and-Expose-Booms-and-Bubbles] Predicting when the Great Depression 2.0 in the short term is very difficult due to the band aids the central banks are putting on the Western economies. Jim Rogers is an excellent investor but lousy trader and often financial analysts have problems predicting the short term.  Historical guide of when a big downturn will hit by Jeremy Grantham: "We do think the market is going to go higher because the Fed hasn't ended its game, and it won't stop playing until we are in old-fashioned bubble territory and it bursts, which usually happens at two standard deviations from the market's mean. That would take us to 2,350 on the S&P 500, or roughly 25% from where we are now."[http://finance.fortune.cnn.com/2014/03/24/jeremy-grantham-federal-reserve/?iid=HP_LN] Grantham predicts 7 years of negative returns for the stock market once the bubble burst.[http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2014/03/jeremy-grantham-1999-jeremy-grantham.html] *[http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/feb/24/recovery-bubble-crash-uk-us-investors This is a bubble and it will burst] - No underlying value being created and it is just quantitative easing distortion of the market *[http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=^gspc+interactive S&P 500 chart] If stock market gets out of its current stall, based on recent anemic growth of S&P 500, an economic crash could happen in the first/second quarter of 2015. Americans are dispirited though and ObamaCare isn't going to make things any better so downturn could happen in 2014 (Even Soros is betting against the S&P 500 and is exercising put options.[http://www.marketwatch.com/story/crash-of-2014-like-1929-youll-never-hear-it-coming-2014-02-19][http://blogs.marketwatch.com/thetell/2014/02/17/soros-doubles-a-bearish-bet-on-the-sp-500-to-the-tune-of-1-3-billion/?link=instory]).  Predicting a market crash by the consensus opinion is foolhardy and you will never see it coming. [http://www.marketwatch.com/story/crash-of-2014-like-1929-youll-never-hear-it-coming-2014-02-19] 2014 will see a lot of volatility.[http://www.marketwatch.com/story/12-warnings-show-how-a-volatile-2014-could-cost-you-2014-02-26]  Hedging your bets in case of a stock market crash.[http://moneymorning.com/2014/02/18/protect-stock-market-crash-2014/] === When countries go bankrupt === *[http://www.wfs.org/blogs/thomas-frey/when-countries-go-bankrupt When countries go bankrupt] ==== Is the USA bankrupt and postponing the inevitable? ==== *[http://www.forbes.com/sites/mikepatton/2012/07/23/is-america-bankrupt/ Is American bankrupt?] ==== U.S. Debt crisis ==== *[http://dailyreckoning.com/the-us-debt-crisis-that-will-never-happen/ The US debt crisis that will never happen] ==== The problem with over printing money ==== *[http://www.economicshelp.org/blog/634/economics/the-problem-with-printing-money/ The problem with over printing money] === Economic effects of war === *[http://www.joshuagoldstein.com/jgeconhi.htm Economic effects of war] === Economic collapse and related === *[http://www.naturalnews.com/038291_megatrends_2030_report.html US government intelligence agencies see possible economic collapse, resource wars, the potential fall of America by 2030] US federal govt debt as a percentage of GDP: http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/federal_debt_chart.html *[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7e8GMfjgE58 America will Collapse - Jim Rogers,Gerald Celente,Max Wolf,David Walker,David Vickers,Jack Cafferty] *Expected Congressional gridlock and Federal Reserve Quantitative Easing policy will not work and stock market could take an abrupt downturn in about 6 months or less.[http://www.cnbc.com/id/39798855/What_GOP_Win_in_November_Would_Mean_for_Investors][http://blogs.wsj.com/source/2010/10/26/worried-about-qe-join-the-queue/][http://www.businessspectator.com.au/bs.nsf/Article/Waiting-for-the-market-to-flip-pd20101025-AJRTT?opendocument&src=rss] Effects of global financial collapse: *[http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article44016.html The greatest financial collapse in history] *[http://www.businessinsider.com/trade-off-financial-system-supply-chain-cross-contagion-a-study-in-global-systemic-collapse-2012-8#the-number-of-connections-in-the-global-economy-is-skyrocketing-1 Expert Explains In Detail How The Next Shock Will Shatter The Global Economy] *[http://cluborlov.blogspot.com Club Orlav] *[http://cluborlov.blogspot.com/2010/12/peak-empire.html Peak empire] *[http://consultingbyrpm.com/blog Free advice] - economist Robert Murphy's blog *[http://cluborlov.blogspot.com/2008/02/five-stages-of-collapse.html The 5 stages of collapse] *[http://cluborlov.blogspot.com/2011/10/stages-of-collapse-revised-joined-at.html Stages of collapse revised] *[http://cluborlov.blogspot.com/2011/07/black-hole-of-debt.html A black hole of debt] *[http://www.csemag.com/industry-news/more-top-stories/single-article/us-commercial-property-recovery-spares-economy/887a38d861.html U.S. commercial property recovery spares economy] *[http://www.benzinga.com/11/02/871766/are-the-wild-teacher-protests-in-wisconsin-a-prelude-to-the-economic-riots-that-are-com Are The Wild Teacher Protests In Wisconsin A Prelude To The Economic Riots That Are Coming Soon To America?] Potential economic collapse, Patrick Bet-David: *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fCZi2vk6zJk America Collapsing Like Rome?- Upcoming Recession, WW3, Trump, China & Joe Rogan | Patrick Bet David] *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=urEAgeeTq4k Will The U.S. Dollar Collapse As a Reserve Currency? - History of World Currency Explained] Potential economic collapse: *[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UseYKxDLnOw Aftershock survival summit - video] *[https://www.newsmaxstore.com/nm_mag/aftershock_2_47b.cfm?PROMO_CODE=CA07-1#order Aftershock survival summit - order] *[http://theelevationgroup.net/ Elevation Group] *[http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/12-economic-collapse-scenarios-that-we-could-potentially-see-in-2011 Some 2011 Economic collapse scenarios] *[http://video.foxnews.com/v/4586961/beck-economic-dominoes Beck: Economic dominoes] *[http://dailybeckblog.com/2011/03/14/glenn-beck-show-research-3-14-11/ Beck: Mr. Doom and Gloom] *[http://www.businessinsider.com/depressing-facts-about-us-economy-2011-4 27 facts about the US economy]*50 facts every American should know about the U.S. economy heading in a downward spiral.[http://www.businessinsider.com/collapse-of-the-economy-2011-5] *20 questions to ask someone who believes the U.S. financial crises is over.[http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/20-questions-to-ask-anyone-foolish-enough-to-believe-the-economic-crisis-is-over]*[http://money.usnews.com/money/blogs/flowchart/2010/10/15/how-the-middle-class-is-shrinking How the middle class is shrinking]*[http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/34-pieces-of-evidence-that-prove-that-the-middle-class-in-america-is-rapidly-shrinking Shrinking middle class in America] === Comparison of current crises to the 17 century economic problems and other crisis === Some prior periods of mankind's history like 1347 to 1351 (Black Death) and 1918-1945 (Spanish flu, WWI, Great Depression and WWII). *[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_economic_crises List of economic crises]  '''The leading investment expert Harry Schultz writes:''' “Roughly speaking, the mess we are in is the worst since 17th century financial collapse. Comparisons with the 1930’s are ludicrous. We’ve gone far beyond that. And, alas, the courage & political will to recognize the mess & act wisely to reverse gears, is absent in U.S. leadership, where the problems were hatched & where the rot is by far the deepest.”[http://www.marketwatch.com/story/harry-schultz-last-investment-testament-2011-01-10]  Some articles on the 17th century "General Crises" can be read [http://teachingcompany.12.forumer.com/viewtopic.php?t=1167 HERE] and [http://premodeconhist.wordpress.com/2008/03/23/goldstone-ja-1988-east-and-west-in-the17th-century/ HERE] and [http://past.oxfordjournals.org/content/5/1/33.full.pdf HERE] *[https://www.britannica.com/list/5-of-the-worlds-most-devastating-financial-crises 5 of the World’s Most Devastating Financial Crises] === Recessions after fiscal crises take much longer to recover historically === *[http://mediamatters.org/research/2012/06/18/fox-gets-it-wrong-recessions-following-financia/155847 Recessions after fiscal crises take much longer to recover historically - Keynesian economics source] *[http://johnhcochrane.blogspot.com/2012/05/slow-recoveries-after-financial-crises.html Recessions after fiscal crises - Free markets source] === Eurocrises === *[http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Europe/2011/1202/The-eurozone-crisis-explained-in-5-simple-graphs/Debt-as-a-percentage-of-GDP The eurozone crisis explained in 5 simple graphs]*[http://gnawingcriticismofthemice.blogspot.com/2013/09/germany-and-birth-rate-problem.html Germany and the birthrate problem]*[http://www.forbes.com/sites/joelkotkin/2012/05/30/whats-really-behind-europes-decline-its-the-birth-rates-stupid/ What's really behind Europe's decline? It's the birthrates - Forbes] === Oil === *[http://www.csmonitor.com/Innovation/Tech/2011/1007/Post-oil-Glimpses-of-life-after-fossil-fuel Post oil - CSM] == Survivalism Recommended books == *''How to Survive the End of the World as We Know It: Tactics, Techniques, and Technologies for Uncertain Times'' by [[James Wesley Rawles]]  *''The Prepper's Guide to Surviving the End of the World, as We Know It: Gear, Skills, and Related Know-How'' by [[M.D. Creekmore]] == The weaknesses/woes of categorizing economists as optimists or pessimists ==[[File:Glass Half Full bw 1.jpeg|thumbnail|right|250px|The half a glass of water helps illustrates of two different mental [[attitude]]s, optimism (half full) and pessimism (half empty)]]See also: [[Optimism]] *[https://web.archive.org/web/20220603175109/https://www.epw.in/journal/2022/23/alternative-standpoint/economists-optimists%C2%A0or-pessimists.html The Woes of Categorising Economists as Optimists or Pessimists] - Economic and Political Weekly, June 2022 === Economic/financial responsible realists that should not be ignored === *[https://archive.md/0TV5a#selection-389.301-389.316 4 Economic Doomsayers You Can’t Afford to Ignore], Fortune magazine, 2016 1. Nouriel Roubini: [https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=Nouriel+Roubini&sp=EgIQAQ%253D%253D Nouriel Roubini - YouTube] or [https://www.google.com/search?q=Nouriel+Roubini+&biw=1920&bih=900&tbm=nws&sxsrf=ALiCzsYc-eXMU4lAgpeV4sQYfXfnI6qKcA%3A1672886335050&ei=Pzi2Y4vXAvDMytMPls-m4A8&ved=0ahUKEwjL8v-ds6_8AhVwpnIEHZanCfwQ4dUDCA0&uact=5&oq=Nouriel+Roubini+&gs_lcp=Cgxnd3Mtd2l6LW5ld3MQAzIFCAAQgAQyCwgAEIAEELEDEIMBMgUIABCABDIFCAAQgAQyBQgAEIAEMgUIABCABDIFCAAQgAQyBQgAEIAEMgUIABCABDIFCAAQgAQ6BAgAEEM6BggAEBYQHjoICAAQgAQQsQNQrAtYtDtghD5oAnAAeAOAAc0CiAHjCpIBBzAuOS4wLjGYAQCgAQGgAQKwAQDAAQE&sclient=gws-wiz-news Nouriel Roubini - Google News] 2. Jim Rogers: [https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=Jim+Rogers Jim Rogers - YouTube] and [https://www.google.com/search?q=Jim+Rogers&biw=1920&bih=900&tbm=nws&ei=YjS2Y-S-DM-sytMPhcqLiAU&ved=0ahUKEwjk973Gr6_8AhVPlnIEHQXlAlEQ4dUDCA0&uact=5&oq=Jim+Rogers&gs_lcp=Cgxnd3Mtd2l6LW5ld3MQAzILCAAQgAQQsQMQgwEyBQgAEIAEMgUIABCABDIFCAAQgAQyBQgAEIAEMgUIABCABDIFCAAQgAQyBQgAEIAEMgUIABCABDIFCAAQgAQ6BwgAELEDEEM6BAgAEEM6CAgAELEDEIMBOgQIABADOggIABCABBCxAzoKCAAQsQMQgwEQCjoFCAAQkQI6CwgAELEDEIMBEJECOgoIABCxAxCDARBDUJcMWPotYLkwaABwAHgAgAF4iAHECZIBBDAuMTGYAQCgAQGwAQDAAQE&sclient=gws-wiz-news Jim Rogers - Google News] Jim Rogers blogs: [https://jimroger.blogspot.com/ Jim Rogers - blogspot] and [https://jimtalksmarkets.blogspot.com/ Jim Rogers talks markets]  Jim Rogers - books: [https://www.amazon.com/stores/Jim-Rogers/author/B000APBT14?ref=ap_rdr&store_ref=ap_rdr&isDramIntegrated=true&shoppingPortalEnabled=true Jim Rogers - Amazon page] 3. Bill Goss - [https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=+Bill+Gross Bill Goss - YouTube] and [https://www.google.com/search?q=Bill+goss+bonds&biw=1920&bih=900&tbm=nws&ei=czW2Y-u6BPmHytMP1eulqA8&ved=0ahUKEwirwMzIsK_8AhX5g3IEHdV1CfUQ4dUDCA0&uact=5&oq=Bill+goss+bonds&gs_lcp=Cgxnd3Mtd2l6LW5ld3MQAzoFCAAQgAQ6BAgAEEM6BQgAEJECOgcIABCABBAKOgYIABAWEB46BQgAEIYDOgUIIRCgAToFCCEQqwI6BwgAEIAEEA06BggAEB4QDVDwBljCDmC8IWgAcAB4AIABogGIAYgHkgEDMC43mAEAoAEBwAEB&sclient=gws-wiz-news Bill goss bonds - Google news] 4. Vikram Mansharamani: *[https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLUvJPdHqYYiEBrQ5kozyyyL7zGzNI_2I1 Vikram Mansharamani - Playist] *[https://www.youtube.com/@VikramMansharamani/videos Vikram Mansharamani - YouTube channel] *[https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=+Vikram+Mansharamani+ Vikram Mansharamani - YouTube search] *[https://www.google.com/search?q=Vikram+Mansharamani&biw=1920&bih=900&tbm=nws&sxsrf=ALiCzsa8Ef6Ff3Qeq-n8YW7t5_sa1Fq7TA%3A1672886320868&ei=MDi2Y7bNNMCFytMP44Cb6A8&ved=0ahUKEwi2pZ6Xs6_8AhXAgnIEHWPABv04ChDh1QMIDQ&uact=5&oq=Vikram+Mansharamani&gs_lcp=Cgxnd3Mtd2l6LW5ld3MQAzIECAAQQzIFCAAQgAQyBQgAEIAEMgUIABCABDIFCAAQgAQyBQgAEIAEMgUIABCABDIFCAAQgAQyBggAEBYQHjIGCAAQFhAeUABYAGDjB2gAcAB4AIABe4gBe5IBAzAuMZgBAMABAQ&sclient=gws-wiz-news Vikram Mansharamani - Google news] Book: [https://www.amazon.com/Boombustology-Spotting-Financial-Bubbles-Before/dp/1119575605/ref=tmm_hrd_swatch_0?_encoding=UTF8&qid=1672890354&sr=1-1 Boombustology: Spotting Financial Bubbles Before They Burst] by Vikram Mansharamani, 2019 === Best (most credible) economic doomsayers === *[https://www.businessinsider.com/doomsayers-2010-2009-12 Meet The Doomsayers Who Just Won't Give Up], 2009 1. [https://www.youtube.com/@SachsRealty/videos Sachs Realty] - YouTube channel 2. Niall Ferguson:  Niall Ferguson is more of an economic historial than pure economist, but his writing and warnings about debt have earned him a prominent place in the US media, and prompted fights with the likes of Paul Krugman.  [https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=Niall+Ferguson Niall Ferguson - YouTube] and [https://www.google.com/search?q=Niall+Ferguson&biw=1920&bih=900&tbm=nws&sxsrf=ALiCzsY7tj0TqlI7M2xBMuhrzXia-v8MpQ%3A1672886618723&ei=Wjm2Y7PpK-SKytMP9rWDkA8&ved=0ahUKEwiz_qGltK_8AhVkhXIEHfbaAPIQ4dUDCA0&uact=5&oq=Niall+Ferguson&gs_lcp=Cgxnd3Mtd2l6LW5ld3MQAzILCAAQsQMQgwEQkQIyBQgAEJECMgsIABCxAxCDARCRAjILCAAQsQMQgwEQkQIyBwgAEIAEEAoyBwgAEIAEEAoyBwgAEIAEEAoyBQgAEJECMgcIABCABBAKMgcIABCABBAKOgYIABAHEB46BAgAEB5QAFi6T2CXYWgBcAB4AIABygOIAcYGkgEHMC4zLjQtMZgBAKABAaABArABAMABAQ&sclient=gws-wiz-news Niall Ferguson - Google News] 3. Marc Faber: *[https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=Marc+Faber Marc Faber - YouTube] and [https://www.google.com/search?q=Marc+Faber&biw=1920&bih=900&tbm=nws&sxsrf=ALiCzsYttUjA2fay4NtUQZhQ3BfA4GHXAQ%3A1672886958641&ei=rjq2Y8fjJuSFytMPmMuByA4&ved=0ahUKEwjH8qzHta_8AhXkgnIEHZhlAOkQ4dUDCA0&uact=5&oq=Marc+Faber&gs_lcp=Cgxnd3Mtd2l6LW5ld3MQAzIICAAQsQMQkQIyBQgAEIAEMgUIABCABDIFCAAQgAQyBQgAEIAEMgUIABCABDIFCAAQgAQyBQgAEIAEMgUIABCABDIFCAAQgAQ6CwgAEIAEELEDEIMBOggIABCABBCxAzoECAAQQzoICAAQsQMQgwE6BQgAEJECOgcIABCxAxBDOgsIABCxAxCDARCRAjoNCAAQgAQQsQMQgwEQCjoKCAAQgAQQsQMQClAAWLMTYJkYaABwAHgBgAGiA4gB0g2SAQkwLjcuMi4wLjGYAQCgAQHAAQE&sclient=gws-wiz-news Marc Faber - Google news] 4. Dmitry Orlov: *[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dmitry_Orlov_(writer) Dmitry Orlov] - Wikipedia article*[https://twitter.com/TheDmitryOrlov Dmitry Orlov] Twitter/X*[https://boosty.to/cluborlov Dmity Orlov] - Boosty*[https://www.amazon.com/stores/Dmitry-Orlov/author/B001JSB23G?ref=sr_ntt_srch_lnk_1&qid=1709639797&sr=1-1&isDramIntegrated=true&shoppingPortalEnabled=true Dmitry Orlov], books (AMAZON) *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kySDKESt3_M Social Collapse Best Practices | Dmitry Orlov] Dmitry Orlov sees similarities between the US and the collapse of Russia in the late 80s. His theory is based on the 5 stages of collapse, starting with the financial system, followed by commerce, then the political system, then social and finally, cultural collapse. Bibliography: *Orlov, Dmitry (2008). Reinventing Collapse: The Soviet Example and American Prospects. New Society Publishers. p. 208. ISBN 978-0-86571-685-8.*Orlov, Dmitry (2012). [https://www.amazon.com/Absolutely-Positive-Essays-Dmitry-Orlov/dp/1505813026/ref=sr_1_1?crid=1UVCS21SPXOXU&keywords=Absolutely+Positive.+Dmitry+Orlov.&qid=1672891865&s=books&sprefix=absolutely+positive.+dmitry+orlov.%2Cstripbooks%2C160&sr=1-1 Absolutely Positive]. Dmitry Orlov. p. 138. ASIN B008047OTS*Orlov, Dmitry (2013). [https://www.amazon.com/Five-Stages-Collapse-Survivors-Toolkit/dp/0865717362/ref=sr_1_1?crid=1D1Q4BX3EJLVO&keywords=five+stages+of+collapse&qid=1672891821&s=books&sprefix=five+stages+of+collapse%2Cstripbooks%2C111&sr=1-1 The Five Stages of Collapse]: Survivors' Toolkit. New Society Publishers. p. 288. ISBN 978-0-86571-736-7.*[https://www.amazon.com/Communities-that-Abide-Dmitry-Orlov/dp/1500742929/ref=tmm_pap_swatch_0?_encoding=UTF8&qid=&sr= Communities that Abide] Paperback – August 4, 2014 by Dmitry Orlov (Author), Albert Bates (Author), Ray Jason (Author), James Truong (Author), Peter Kropotkin (Author),*Orlov, Dmitry (2016). Shrinking the Technosphere: Getting a Grip on Technologies That Limit Our Autonomy, Self-Sufficiency and Freedom. New Society Publishers. p. 256. ISBN 978-0-86571-838-8. Blogs: *[https://cluborlov.blogspot.com/ Club Orlav] -Old location *[https://cluborlov.wordpress.com/ Club Orlav] - New location == Harry Dent and his track record and what you can glean from him == *[https://pro.dentresearch.com/ Dent research] *[https://www.reviewopedia.com/harry-s-dent-reviews?page=2 Harry Dent - Reviewapedia] *[https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-you-should-listen-to-harry-dent-even-if-you-dont-believe-a-word-2016-10-08 Why you should listen to Harry Dent even if you don’t believe a word] *[https://www.amazon.com/Zero-Hour-Political-Financial-Advantage/dp/B075QNTVL5/ref=sr_1_1?qid=1560605670&refinements=p_27%3AHarry+S.+Dent+Jr.&s=books&sr=1-1&text=Harry+S.+Dent+Jr. Zero Hour: Turn the Greatest Political and Financial Upheaval in Modern History to Your Advantage] == America's affluent == *[http://www.thomasjstanley.com/ Thomas J. Stanley website] *[http://www.thomasjstanley.com/blog.php Thomas J. Stanley blog] == Miscellaneous general financial and business websites == *[http://www.inc.com/ Inc. Magazine]*[http://www.successmagazine.com/ Success Magazine]*[http://www.kiplinger.com/ Kiplinger's]*[http://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortune/ Fortune]*[http://money.cnn.com/ Money Magazine] == Other economic and business sources == *[http://reason.com/ Reason.com Reason.com] - libertarian, secular*[http://captaincapitalism.blogspot.com/ Captain Capitalism] - libertarian, anti-feminist, secular ('''Pretty insighful''' - [https://captaincapitalism.blogspot.com/2023/05/why-do-we-put-education-behind-pay-wall.html Saw how crazy commuting was before the pandemic]) also [https://captaincapitalism.blogspot.com/2023/05/why-do-we-put-education-behind-pay-wall.html Why Do We Put Education Behind a Pay Wall? (aka - How to Make Free Education a Right]*[http://www.cato.org/ Cato Institute] - libertarian, secular*[http://www.merkfunds.com/merk-perspective/ Merk Insights] Establishment financial: *[http://online.wsj.com/home-page Wall Street Journal] *[http://www.ft.com/home/uk Financial Times] Austrian and other financial:  *[https://www.google.com/search?q=austrian+economics&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8&aq=t&rls=org.mozilla:en-US:official&client=firefox-a#hl=en&gs_nf=1&ds=n&pq=austrian%20economics&cp=1&gs_id=bn&xhr=t&q=%22austrian+economics%22&pf=p&client=firefox-a&hs=XrU&rls=org.mozilla:en-US%3Aofficial&tbm=nws&sclient=psy-ab&oq=%22austrian+economics%22&gs_l=&pbx=1&bav=on.2,or.r_gc.r_pw.r_qf.&fp=a4a6e439b5560e89&biw=1024&bih=580 Austrian Economics - Google search] *[https://www.google.com/search?q=stubborness&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8&aq=t&rls=org.mozilla:en-US:official&client=firefox-a#q=nouriel+roubini&hl=en&client=firefox-a&rls=org.mozilla:en-US:official&prmd=imvnsol&source=lnms&tbm=nws&sa=X&ei=i4QWUMqnL8Xw0gGM_YHICA&sqi=2&ved=0CEkQ_AUoBA&bav=on.2,or.r_gc.r_pw.r_qf.&fp=a4a6e439b5560e89&biw=1024&bih=580 Nouriel Roubini - Google news] *[http://jimrogers1.blogspot.com/ Jim Rogers blog] *[http://www.youtube.com/user/PeterSchiffChannel Peter Schiff and Austrian economics - YouTube] *[http://www.youtube.com/user/DoomBoomGloom Marc Faber YouTube channel] *[http://marcfaberblog.blogspot.com/ Marc Faber blog] *[http://maxkeiser.com/ Max Keiser] *[http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/ The Economic Collapse blog] *[http://www.europac.net/research_analysis EuroPacific Capital - research analysis] *[http://www.youtube.com/user/NourielRoubiniChanne Nouriel Roubini - YouTube] *[http://nourielroubini.blogspot.com/ Nouriel Roubini Blog] *[http://www.trendsresearch.com/index.php Trends Research Institute] ECRI videos: *[http://www.google.com/search?q=ecri&tbo=p&tbm=vid&source=vgc&hl=en&aq=f ECRI videos- Google search] *[http://www.youtube.com/results?q=ecri&hl=en&um=1&ie=UTF-8&sa=N&tab=v1 ECRI videos - YouTube videos] == Other investing and stock trading resources == 1. [http://www.amazon.com/The-Intelligent-Investor-Definitive-Investing/dp/0060555661 Intelligent investor] - classic book on value investing 2. [http://www.amazon.com/Lies-Your-Broker-Tells-You/dp/0802710751 Lies your broker tells you] - gives advice on investing including reputable mutual funds == Investment strategies - Google news == *[http://www.google.com/#q=investment+strategies&hl=en&prmd=imvnsb&source=lnms&tbm=nws&sa=X&ei=c4UqUJ71L8qT6wGPqIDICg&sqi=2&ved=0CAsQ_AUoBA&bav=on.2,or.r_gc.r_pw.r_qf.&fp=70087ebf6a043957&biw=1024&bih=550 Investment strategies] == Absolute return strategies and economic climates == *[http://www.forbes.com/sites/feeonlyplanner/2012/08/09/should-you-invest-like-yale-university/ Should you invest like Yale University] Yale University uses an absolute return strategy which is responsive to economic climates. Has achieved consistent returns. Austrian school economists have had superior predicting of downturns as of late compared to Keynesian economists. == Stock trading == 1. Stockinvesting.net (trading not long term investing) *[http://www.stockcourse.net/ Stockcourse.net] Stockcourse.net - (expensive, but keeps promises)*[http://www.aussiestockforums.com/forums/showthread.php?t=15989&page=1 Forum commenting on course] 2. [http://www.leadingtrader.com/10/best-trading-books-5-books-that-will-transform-your-trading/ 5 books which will transform your trading] 3. Martin D. Weiss  *[http://www.amazon.com/Martin-D.-Weiss/e/B001HD09WS Martin D. Weiss - Amazon]*[http://answers.yahoo.com/question/index?qid=20080323085438AAe3rJO Review] === Short trading === *[http://www.leadingtrader.com/09/recession-how-to-make-money-in-a-recession-part-1/ How to profit during a recession]*[http://www.leadingtrader.com/10/recession-how-to-profit-from-a-stock-market-crash-by-selling-short-part-2/ Shorting the market during an economic crash]*[http://www.leadingtrader.com/12/open-interest-a-sneaky-way-to-measure-market-sentiment/ Measuring market sentiment] Banning of short selling in a crisis: *[http://www.zerohedge.com/news/big-reset-2012-and-2013-will-usher-end-scariest-presentation-ever Banning of short selling in a crisis and 2012/2013 prediction of economic collapse from a leading hedge fund manager] === Elliot wave theorists - speculative and subjective - at odds with efficient market hypothesis=== *[http://www.elliottwave.com/introduction/elliott_wave_principle.aspx?code=ftv&articleid=0 What is the Elliot Wave principle]  *[http://www.elliottwave.com Elliot Wave International] *[http://www.robertprechter.com/ Robert Prechter] (Technical analysis only goes so far and studying the fundamentals and value investing have yielding excellent results) == Plutonomy stocks == *[http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/ec801e34-9189-11e2-b839-00144feabdc0.html#axzz2OG9Ux5tP Plutonomy economy and counter balancing forces] *[http://theformofmoney-mammon.blogspot.com/2011/11/plutonomy-basket.html Plutonomy basket of stocks] == Commodity investing == *[https://www.google.com/search?q=commodity+investing&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8&aq=t&rls=org.mozilla:en-US:official&client=firefox-a#q=commodity+investing&hl=en&client=firefox-a&hs=Ety&rls=org.mozilla:en-US:official&prmd=imvns&source=lnms&tbm=nws&sa=X&ei=7zwvUKvaFoLF6wHauYHQCA&ved=0CA4Q_AUoBA&bav=on.2,or.r_gc.r_pw.r_qf.&fp=c08de25ad6c9a29&biw=1024&bih=550 Commodity investing - Google news] === General advice === *[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KLL9YdR2y2g Jim Rogers : Missing out on Commodities?] *[http://www.forwardfunds.com/pdfs/market_insights/Forward_What_Every_Investor_Should_Know_About_Commodities.pdf Commodity investing basics and increasing diversification through commodities] *[http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204792404577225002243866134.html Commodities - new products] *[http://www.businessinsider.com/morgan-stanleys-commodities-outlook-2013-1?op=1 Projections - Commodity prices for 2013-2014] === Agriculture and food investing === Government money printing strengthens commodities which includes food commodities, world population expected to grow to 9 billion by 2050, stability - in a down economy people still have to eat - ag and food stocks will quickly rebound from a down market or market panic, opposition to science/evidence based increases in crop yields will likely wither when push comes to shove and people need to be fed and second green revolution will happen. Science based initiatives to increase crop yields will see increased advocacy - especially in developing countries which are increasing in their influence such as India.[[File:De Jonge Farm View Villiersdorp Cape.jpg|thumb|De Jonge, Farm View, Villiersdorp, Western Cape, [[South Africa]].]]Good food stock investments: *[http://www.investorplace.com/2012/03/food-stocks-a-simple-yet-smart-investment/ Food stocks - simple yet smart investment - stock suggestions]*[http://www.thestreet.com/topic/21481/top-rated-equity-food-products.html Best food stocks -2012]*[http://seekingalpha.com/article/180696-agri-food-beverage-stocks-offer-investment-opportunities-amidst-global-food-shortage Food stocks - 2010] Specific ag and food companies: *[http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?show=&insttype=Stock&symb=MON&time=20&startdate=1%2F4%2F1999&enddate=6%2F13%2F2012&freq=1&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comptemptext=&comp=none&ma=0&maval=9&uf=0&lf=1&lf2=0&lf3=0&type=2&style=320&size=2&x=43&y=9&timeFrameToggle=false&compareToToggle=false&indicatorsToggle=false&chartStyleToggle=false&state=8 Monsanto]*[http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?show=&insttype=Stock&symb=adm&time=20&startdate=1%2F4%2F1999&enddate=6%2F13%2F2012&freq=1&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comptemptext=&comp=none&ma=0&maval=9&uf=0&lf=1&lf2=0&lf3=0&type=2&style=320&size=2&x=71&y=4&timeFrameToggle=false&compareToToggle=false&indicatorsToggle=false&chartStyleToggle=false&state=8 Archer Daniels Midland]*[http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?show=&insttype=Stock&symb=cag&time=20&startdate=1%2F4%2F1999&enddate=6%2F22%2F2012&freq=1&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comptemptext=&comp=none&ma=0&maval=9&uf=0&lf=1&lf2=0&lf3=0&type=2&style=320&size=2&x=57&y=6&timeFrameToggle=false&compareToToggle=false&indicatorsToggle=false&chartStyleToggle=false&state=8 Conagra Foods]*[http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?show=&insttype=&symb=gis&x=43&y=15&time=20&startdate=1%2F4%2F1999&enddate=6%2F13%2F2012&freq=1&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comptemptext=&comp=none&ma=0&maval=9&uf=0&lf=1&lf2=0&lf3=0&type=2&style=320&size=2&timeFrameToggle=false&compareToToggle=false&indicatorsToggle=false&chartStyleToggle=false&state=8 General Mills]*[http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=KRFT Kraft Foods] Ag eqpt: *[http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?show=&insttype=Stock&symb=agco&time=20&startdate=1%2F4%2F1999&enddate=6%2F13%2F2012&freq=1&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comptemptext=&comp=none&ma=0&maval=9&uf=0&lf=1&lf2=0&lf3=0&type=2&style=320&size=2&x=20&y=6&timeFrameToggle=false&compareToToggle=false&indicatorsToggle=false&chartStyleToggle=false&state=8 AGCO] (International plus India investments in ag - [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TAFE_Tractors TAFE Tractors])*[http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?show=&insttype=Stock&symb=de&time=20&startdate=1%2F4%2F1999&enddate=6%2F13%2F2012&freq=1&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comptemptext=&comp=none&ma=0&maval=9&uf=0&lf=1&lf2=0&lf3=0&type=2&style=320&size=2&x=75&y=11&timeFrameToggle=false&compareToToggle=false&indicatorsToggle=false&chartStyleToggle=false&state=8 Deer and company] (own areas outside of ag eqpt too] Food distributors: *[http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?show=&insttype=&symb=syy&x=2&y=6&time=20&startdate=1%2F4%2F1999&enddate=6%2F13%2F2012&freq=1&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comptemptext=&comp=none&ma=0&maval=9&uf=0&lf=1&lf2=0&lf3=0&type=2&style=320&size=2&timeFrameToggle=false&compareToToggle=false&indicatorsToggle=false&chartStyleToggle=false&state=8 Sysco] Miscellaneous: *[http://www.trueblueplants.com/investor/blueberry-investor.html Blueberry farms] == Discount Retail investing == *[http://www.fool.com/quote/nyse/dollar-general/dg Dollar General] *[https://www.motifinvesting.com/motifs/discount-nation Invest in discount nation] == Utility stock investing == *[https://www.google.com/search?q=utility+stock+investiing&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8 Utility stocks] == Gold and silver investing == The purpose of gold as an investment (Pros and cons): *[https://www.investopedia.com/articles/basics/08/invest-in-gold.asp Gold - Investopedia] *[https://www.investopedia.com/articles/basics/08/reasons-to-own-gold.asp 8 reasons to buy gold - Investopedia] *[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gold_as_an_investment Gold as an investment] *[https://www.bankrate.com/finance/investing/pros-cons-investing-gold-1.aspx Pros and cons of investing in gold] *[https://goldsilver.com/blog/why-i-won-my-gold-bet-with-harry-dent/ Why I Won My Gold Bet With Harry Dent] *[https://www.fool.com/investing/2018/04/18/is-gold-a-safe-investment.aspx Is gold a safe investment - Motley Fool] Cons of investing in gold: *[https://money.usnews.com/investing/articles/2018-07-10/5-reasons-not-to-invest-in-gold 5 reasons not to invest in gold] *[https://seekingalpha.com/article/4116975-gold-investment Gold does not generate an income stream and is a horrible investment for long-term investors.] - Seeking Alpha  *[https://www.forbes.com/sites/johnwasik/2016/11/18/four-reasons-why-gold-is-a-bad-investment/#15e130c73a03 4 reasons why gold is a bad investment] - Forbes Bear markets and gold: *[http://news.goldseek.com/GoldSeek/1586468467.php The Secret History Of A 70% MarketLoss - What A Secular Bear Market In The 2020s Could Look Like== Gold analysts ==[[File:Gold1.jpg|right|300px]]See: [[Gold]] *[http://danielamerman.com/ Daniel Amerman] === Gold resources and articles === *[http://gold-silver-market.blogspot.com/ Gold and silver market]*[http://goldbasics.blogspot.com/ Gold and silver blog]*[http://silver-shortage.blogspot.com/ Silver shortage blog] Contemporary and yearly gold/silver charts: *[https://www.bullionvault.com/gold-price-chart.do Contemporary and yearly gold/silver charts] Historic price of gold/silver adjusted for inflation: 100 years: *[http://www.macrotrends.net/1333/historical-gold-prices-100-year-chart Historic price of gold adjusted for inflation: 100 years]*[http://www.macrotrends.net/1470/historical-silver-prices-100-year-chart Historic price of gold adjusted for inflation: 100 years] Other: *[http://wallstcheatsheet.com/stocks/are-gold-bugs-pessimists-or-realists.html/ Are gold bugs pessimistic or realistic?]*[http://video.ft.com/v/1135911356001/Gold-remains-world-s-most-powerful-trend Charlie Morris, head of absolute return at HSBC Global Asset Management, says gold remains the most powerful trend in the world and his team's forecast of $2,600 an ounce still looks realistic] Gold:  *[http://www.lewrockwell.com/faber/faber59.1.html Marc Faber/physical gold]*[http://seekingalpha.com/article/5314-which-to-buy-gold-etfs-or-gold-mining-stocks-etfs-cef-gld-iau-stocks-abx-fcx-nem-nto-rgld Physical gold, gold stocks, ETFs]*[http://seekingalpha.com/article/132476-why-physical-gold-is-superior-to-mining-stocks-for-long-term-investors Physical gold vs. gold stocks]*[http://inflation.us/reviews/ Gold and silver sellers]*[http://www.bullionvault.com/ Bullionvault]*[http://goldmoney.com/ Goldmoney]*[http://www.eaglewing.com/compare.html Gold Mutual funds]*[http://theelevationgroup.net/ Elevation Group] == Farmland investing == *[http://moneymorning.com/2012/07/12/why-jim-rogers-is-investing-in-farmland/ Why Jim Rogers is investing in farmland] *[https://tillable.com/blog/why-farmland-is-a-great-investment/#:~:text=Farmland%20investment%20is%20a%20long,as%20well%20as%20higher%20rents. Why Farmland is a Great Investment] *[https://www.google.com/search?q=farmland+investing&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8&aq=t&rls=org.mozilla:en-US:official&client=firefox-a#q=farmland+investing&hl=en&client=firefox-a&hs=7cJ&rls=org.mozilla:en-US:official&prmd=imvns&source=lnms&tbm=nws&sa=X&ei=Bj4vUM7EA4b96gH3h4GgCg&ved=0CA4Q_AUoBA&bav=on.2,or.r_gc.r_pw.r_qf.&fp=c08de25ad6c9a29&biw=1024&bih=550 Farmland investing - Google news] == Fertilizer == *[http://www.businessinsider.com/why-we-need-phosporus-to-grow-food-2013-3 Here's Why Jeremy Grantham Thinks Billions Of People Are Going To Starve To Death] === Organic fertilizers === *[http://www.organicgardening.com/learn-and-grow/organic-fertilizers Benefits of organic fertilizers] *[http://www.texpotrade.com/?page_id=196 New type of organic fertilizer] === Fertilizer investments === *[http://beta.fool.com/ruperthargreav/2013/03/04/fertilizer/25558/ 2013 Best fertilizer investments] == Tech investing == *[http://cultivationcapital.com/ Cultivation Capital] ([http://whatsnext.blogs.cnn.com/2013/01/04/linos-lesson/ Jim McKelvey]) === The decline/death of cash === *[http://tech.fortune.cnn.com/2012/07/09/dorsey-square-death-cash/ The death of cash and Fortune Magazine] == Miscellaneous stocks in a online economy, global economy and/or rebounding economy == *[http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?show=&insttype=Stock&symb=UPS&time=20&startdate=1%2F4%2F1999&enddate=6%2F14%2F2012&freq=1&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comptemptext=&comp=none&ma=0&maval=9&uf=0&lf=1&lf2=0&lf3=0&type=2&style=320&size=2&x=36&y=9&timeFrameToggle=false&compareToToggle=false&indicatorsToggle=false&chartStyleToggle=false&state=8 UPS] - online shopping and international package delivery*[http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?show=&insttype=Stock&symb=fdx&time=20&startdate=1%2F4%2F1999&enddate=6%2F14%2F2012&freq=1&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comptemptext=&comp=none&ma=0&maval=9&uf=0&lf=1&lf2=0&lf3=0&type=2&style=320&size=2&x=33&y=12&timeFrameToggle=false&compareToToggle=false&indicatorsToggle=false&chartStyleToggle=false&state=8 Fed Ex] - online related shopping and international related shipping == Major economies and total debt to GDP == *[http://www.gfmag.com/tools/global-database/economic-data/11855-total-debt-to-gdp.html#axzz23XoivmPY Major economies and total debt to GDP - 2011] *[http://247wallst.com/2012/02/14/the-tencountries-deepest-in-debt/ 10 countries deepest in debt 2/12] == Trends, Predictions and stats ==[[File:Up arrow.jpg|300px|right]] *[http://www.dni.gov/files/documents/GlobalTrends_2030.pdf Global trends 2030] *[http://www.businessinsider.com/megatrends-the-6-gamechangers-that-will-change-the-world-in-the-next-decades-2012-12 6 megatrends which will affect world for decades] People who predicted 2008 crisis: *[http://investorhome.com/predicted.htm List of people who predicted the 2008 financial crisis] Trends: *[http://www.mckinsey.com/insights Mckinsey and Company insights] *[http://lewrockwell.com/celente/celente90.1.html Gerald Celente's top 12 trends for 2012] '''Predictions and stats:'''  *[http://www.csmonitor.com/Business/Stefan-Karlsson/2012/0116/Can-an-economy-still-grow-with-serious-debt Can an economy still grow with serious debt?] *[http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Europe/2011/1202/The-eurozone-crisis-explained-in-5-simple-graphs/Debt-as-a-percentage-of-GDP The Eurozone explained via 5 simple grafts] *[http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2012/01/premature-dollar-obituaries-and.html Premature US dollar obituaries] Stats: *[http://www.businessinsider.com/maps-that-explain-the-world-2013-2#tax-payback-red-indicates-states-that-get-more-than-a-dollar-back-for-every-dollar-of-taxes-paid-1 36 maps that help explain world]=== Major trends === *[http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2012/08/whats-the-single-best-explanation-for-middle-class-decline/261355/ Explanation for middle class decline] Robotics: *[http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2012/08/robots-to-rule-world-taking-all-jobs.html Robots rule the world - part I]*[http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2012/08/part-ii-robots-to-rule-world-taking-all.html Robots rule the world - part II] === Localism movement === *[https://sites.google.com/site/localeconomicdevelopment8383/ Local economic development] == The rise and decline of nations by Mancur Olson == [http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0300030797?ie=UTF8&camp=1789&creativeASIN=0300030797&linkCode=xm2&tag=washpost-opinions-20 The rise and decline of nations] by [http://www.economist.com/node/115687 Mancur Olson] == Wealth distribution == *[[Wealth distribution]] *[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_wealth_per_adult List of countries by wealth per adult] *[https://www.businessinsider.com.au/australia-top-global-household-wealth-2018-10?nojs=1 Wealth distribution in the developed world] == East and economics == *[http://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/asia2050-executive-summary.pdf Asia 2050 - Asian Century] === Michael Spence - Interview re: his book The Next Convergence ===  *[http://www.humanevents.com/article.php?id=44636 Uncommon Knowledge w/ Michael Spence global economy part I]*[http://www.humanevents.com/article.php?id=44657 Uncommon Knowledge w/ Michael Spence innovation - governance and global economy part 2]*[http://www.humanevents.com/article.php?id=44665 Uncommon Knowledge w/ Michael Spence India - part 3]*[http://www.humanevents.com/article.php?id=44665 Uncommon Knowledge w/ Michael Spence India part 4]*[http://www.humanevents.com/article.php?id=44695 Uncommon Knowledge w/ Michael Spence - China + India future influence on the West and the global economy] === India and investing === *[http://www.amansacapital.com/ Amansa Capital]*[http://www.business-standard.com/india/opinion/Individual.php?id=78 Akash Prakash - Business Standard]*[http://www.google.com/#q=%22akash+prakash%22&hl=en&safe=off&prmd=imvnso&source=lnms&tbm=nws&ei=DcqbT_fJBYGo8AStkaiiDw&sa=X&oi=mode_link&ct=mode&cd=5&ved=0CBgQ_AUoBA&bav=on.2,or.r_gc.r_pw.r_qf.,cf.osb&fp=808e5b9893deb36b&biw=1024&bih=527 Akash Prakash - Google news]*[http://business-standard.com/india/news/mihir-s-sharma-xenophobindia/472807/ India and foreign capital] === China === *[http://www.truthdig.com/report/item/the_china_superpower_hoax_20100923/ The China Superpower Hoax] === China vs. India economies - Which has the best prospects? === *[http://www.fool.co.uk/news/investing/2011/07/06/transcript-india-vs-china.aspx China vs. India economies - Which has the best prospects?] == Demographic winter/Aging Population and economics == [[File:Elon Musk Demographic Crisis is real.jpg|thumbnail|350px|right|“One of the biggest risks to civilization is the low birth rate and rapidly declining birthrate.” - Elon Musk<ref>[https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2021/dec/14/demographic-winter-the-plague-of-the-century/ Demographic winter: The plague of the century], Washington Times, 2021</ref>]] American echo boomers assisting economy: *[http://www.businessinsider.com/echo-boomers-will-save-the-us-economy-2013-2?op=1 Millenials/Echo boomers helping the USA economy]  Birth rate: *[http://www.americanthinker.com/2012/12/the_demographic_cliff.html America's falling birth rate and economic impact]*[http://www.humanevents.com/article.php?id=25723 Demographic winter - Human Events]*[http://www.firstthings.com/onthesquare/2008/03/the-demographic-winter-and-the Demographic winter and the barren left]*[http://www.christiannewswire.com/news/895569654.html Demographic winter - Christian newswire]*[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lZeyYIsGdAA Demographic Winter - full movie] Demographic winter may not be as bad as first thought: *[https://c.na3.content.force.com/servlet/servlet.ImageServer?id=01550000000s7FIAAY&oid=00D300000000M2BEAU Rising fertility rates in Europe] *[http://www.mindfulmoney.co.uk/11596/economic-impact/china-s-demographics-disaster.html China's demographic disaster] Religious vs. secular birthrates: [http://www.sneps.net/RD/uploads/1-Shall%20the%20Religious%20Inherit%20the%20Earth.pdf Early paper - Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?: Demography and Politics in the Twenty-First Century by Eric Kaufmann, Belfer Center, Harvard University/Birkbeck College, University of London] Dent Method of investing: *[http://www.hsdent.com/ Dent method of investing]*[http://seekingalpha.com/article/223886-harry-dent-s-outlook-on-demographics-debt-and-deflation Harry Dent's outlook on demographics, debt and deflation] - Seeking Alpha, 9/2010*[http://www.maxfunds.com/?q=node/319 Harry Dent Jr.'s poor predictions]  India, economics and fertility statistics: *[http://www.business-standard.com/india/news/akash-prakash-a-deepening-sensegloom/472710/ India, economics and fertility]*[http://www.prb.org/Publications/Datasheets/2011/world-population-data-sheet/india.aspx India - fertility statistics] World population, to 2050 - UN forecast: *[http://www.populationmedia.org/2010/01/19/ignore-the-bluster-of-demographic-winter-alarmists/ World Population to 2050 - UN forecast] U.S. Hispanics and economics: *[http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/04/18/future-of-the-us-economy-depend-on-hispanic-market-_n_1432109.html U.S Hispanics and economics] Other: *[http://www.economist.com/node/14743589 Economist - fertility and economic data] - has some raw data that is useful and some poor opinions and poor conclusions === Labor shortages, low fertility rates and immigration in developed countries === *[http://www.europeanceo.com/business-and-management/2013/11/skills-shortage-to-hit-eu-by-2025/ Skills shortage to hit European Union by 2025] “Unless fertility rates dramatically improve,” Turnbull cautioned, “societies with birth rates substantially below replacement level will either dwindle into an ­insignificant fraction of their current ­numbers or be swamped by larger and larger waves of immigration.”[http://www.afr.com/f/free/national/why_australia_needs_to_get_real_7hEC3IX0RZWitSkELPcJEI]=== Demography/fertility resources === *[https://www.mercatornet.com/demography Demography - Mercatornet] *[[Essay: The coming demographic winter]] == US financial position and national deficit == *[http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_position_of_the_United_States Financial position of the US]*[http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/10/06/AR2010100605241.html US National deficit - George Will - Many Americans are ideologically conservative and operationally liberal]*[http://zfacts.com/p/1195.html US National debt as percentage of GDP by presidential administrations graph]*[http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_debt_by_U.S._presidential_terms US National debt as percentage of GDP by presidential administrations - chart]*[http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2011/jun/06/us-economy-decline-recovery-challenges Decline and fall of the American empire] === Sound advice from King Solomon === Proverbs 10:12: "If you are slack in the day of distress, Your strength is limited." Proverbs 21:5: "The plans of the diligent lead surely to advantage, But everyone who is hasty comes surely to poverty." === Financial collapse === Eurocrisis:  *[http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/business/Europes-debt-crisis-mirrors-collapse-of-1930s-160130635.html Europe's debt crises mirrors 1930s] General financial collapse: *[http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/ Financial collapse blog]*[http://cluborlov.blogspot.com/2009/02/social-collapse-best-practices.html Social collapse - best practices]*[http://cluborlov.blogspot.com/2008/02/five-stages-of-collapse.html The 5 stages of collapse]*[http://etfdailynews.com/2012/06/11/the-coming-economic-collapse-will-not-be-a-single-event-tza-faz-skf-tna-xlf/ Economic collapse will not be a single event - Eft daily news] ==== Morality and financial collapse ==== *[http://creation.com/global-meltdown-economic-woes-and-evolution Global meltdown, economic woes, and evolution] === National statistics === *[http://www.nationmaster.com/index.php National statistics] *[http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_external_debt List of countries by external debt] == Death spiral states and most atheistic cities == *[http://www.factcheck.org/2013/01/death-spiral-states/ Death Spriral states] *[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FFy-emTU7OI Death spiral states and most atheistic cities] == Most Business friendly states in the United States - 2012 == *[http://chiefexecutive.net/best-worst-states-for-business-2012 Most business friendly states in the United States- 2012] Texas:  *[http://www.texaswideopenforbusiness.com/business-climate/index.php Texas - wide open for business] Florida: *[http://www.eflorida.com/WhyFloridaSubpage.aspx?id=352#.ULnMsmewUsc Doing business in Florida]  == Taxes == *[https://sites.google.com/site/taxes49394793784/ Taxes]  == Car == *[http://www.edmunds.com/car-care/top-five-ways-to-make-your-car-run-forever.html?mktcat=maintenance-article&kw=top+five+ways+to+make+your+car+run+forever&mktid=ob61762855&msite=w Car longevity tips] == Income disparities == === Arguments for === *[http://www.nytimes.com/2014/03/02/opinion/sunday/the-downside-of-inciting-envy.html?ref=todayspaper&_r=0 The downside of inciting envy] *[http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/business/july-dec11/makingsense_10-26.html What is good about an economic system that results in income inequality?] *[http://www.academia.edu/298328/Milton_Friedman_on_Income_Inequality Milton Friedman on income inequality] *[http://www.stlouisfed.org/publications/itv/articles/?id=1920 U.S. Income Inequality: It’s Not So Bad] *[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=89USYVXyCiY The Power of Choice: The Life and Ideas of Milton Friedman]  === Arguments against === *[http://www2.ucsc.edu/whorulesamerica/power/wealth.html Wealth, Income, and Power] by G. William Domhoff *[http://www2.ucsc.edu/whorulesamerica/ Who rules America? - website] - G. William Domhoff *[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zYDzA9hKCNQ The Spirit Level: Why More Equal Societies Almost Always Do Better - Video] *[http://www.theguardian.com/books/2009/mar/13/the-spirit-level Review: The Spirit Level: Why More Equal Societies Almost Always Do Better - Guardian] *[http://www.pbs.org/now/shows/332/video.html Income inequality - PBS] *[http://www.pbs.org/newshour/extra/daily_videos/scientists-study-the-negative-effects-of-income-inequality/ Wealth inequality - PBS] Books: [http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1612052568/ref=as_li_tf_tl?ie=UTF8&tag=whorulesamerica-20&linkCode=as2&camp=1789&creative=9325&creativeASIN=1612052568 The Myth of Liberal Ascendancy: Corporate Dominance from the Great Depression to the Great Recession] === Some causes === *[http://cfed.org/blog/inclusiveeconomy/wealth_inequality_its_causes_and_cures/ Some causes of wealth inequality] === Other === *[http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2013/12/income-equality-ripple-effect-john-podesta-100891.html Income differences and effects on the economy] === Stats === *[http://www.dailyfinance.com/2013/07/29/rich-vs-poor-taxes-income-investing-benefits/ Where the various wealth brackets get their income from] *[http://www2.ucsc.edu/whorulesamerica/power/wealth.html Wealth and income in the USA] == Protestant work ethic == Academic research indicates that belief in [[hell]]/[[heaven]] and various religious heritages are associated with increased economic activity and lower corruption. <ref>[http://www.religionomics.com/old/cesr_web/papers/cesr_workshops/North%20-%20Rule%20of%20Law.pdf]</ref><ref>[http://myweb.fsu.edu/dserra/Sensitivity%20Analysis.pdf]</ref> The biblical [[creation]] affirming United States has a high [[GDP]] relative to many [[evolution]] believing countries. <ref>[http://www.calamitiesofnature.com/archive/?c=559]</ref> *[http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/05/12/s-koreans-put-in-most-hours/?_r=0 Average Hours worked per year by country - 2008] == Poverty of nations: A sustainable solution == *[http://www.christianpost.com/news/the-free-market-is-answer-to-world-poverty-says-theologian-110093/ The Free Market and biblical Christianity is Answer to Poverty, Says Theologian] *[http://www.amazon.com/Poverty-Nations-Sustainable-Solution/dp/143353911X/ref=la_B001H6O76E_1_3?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1386188286&sr=1-3 Poverty of Nations] by Barry Asmus and Wayne Grudem == Books - Economics ==[[File:Books-and-glasses.jpg|thumbnail|300x|right|33% of high school graduates never read another book the rest of their lives and 42% of college grads never read another book after college.<ref>[https://www.hogwartsprofessor.com/sobering-statistics-about-readers-today/ Sobering Statistics About Readers Today]</ref>]]See also: [[Books]] *[http://www.amazon.com/Economics-One-Lesson-50th-Anniversary/dp/0930073193/ref=sr_1_2?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1420181924&sr=1-2&keywords=economics+in+one+lesson+by+henry+hazlitt Economics in one lesson] by Henry Hazlitt  *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ROdsf6lVs1c&list=PLc2eSR_oncVjh0-HaDH0pp3Uhw4y38eE9 Economics in one lesson - narrated] by Henry Hazlitt  *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0uj2FZ7gKdI&list=PL-ama5rVMHxFmDf5QRdPbgyDeV60FnDZo Economics in one lesson by Henry Hazlitt] - narrated and drawn  *[https://www.google.com/search?q=economics+in+one+lesson+audio+book+free&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8 Economics in one lesson by Henry Hazlitt] - free audio books *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_pLQm8g8Qoo&list=PL8305A2109D1BE010 Video commentary by economists on Economics in one lesson by Henry Hazlitt]  *[http://www.amazon.com/Essay-Economic-Theory-Richard-Cantillon-ebook/dp/B00507HK10/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1420181512&sr=8-1&keywords=An+Essay+on+Economic+Theory%2C+Richard+Cantillon Essay on Economic Theory] by Richard Cantillon  *[http://www.amazon.com/F.-A.-Hayek/e/B000AQ6W60/ref=dp_byline_cont_book_1 F.A. Hayek books] *[http://www.amazon.com/Ludwig-von-Mises/e/B000APA2Y4/ref=sr_ntt_srch_lnk_1?qid=1420181832&sr=1-1 Ludwig von Mises books] == Forecasting - General == *[https://hbr.org/2015/02/what-research-tells-us-about-making-accurate-predictions What Research Tells Us About Making Accurate Predictions], Harvard Business Review === Experts and predictions === *[https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2019/06/how-to-predict-the-future/588040/ The Peculiar Blindness of Experts] *[https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/why-experts-are-almost-always-wrong-9997024/ Why Experts are Almost Always Wrong], Smithsonian Institute === Prediction markets === *[https://polymarket.com/ Polymarket] *[https://www.predictit.org/ Predictit] *[https://insightprediction.com/ Insight Prediction] *[https://www.prediki.com/ Prediki] ==== Election betting odds ==== *[https://electionbettingodds.com/ Election betting odds] - by Maxim Lott and John Stossel<br />[[File:Superforecasters.png|center|500px|thumbnail|[https://goodjudgment.com/ The Good Judgment Project] (started in 2011) indicates that well-chosen selected amateur forecasters who demonstrate their ability to accurately forecast are often more accurate than subject matter experts.<ref>"[https://www.economist.com/news/books-and-arts/21666098-forecasting-talent-luckily-it-can-be-learned-unclouded-vision Unclouded vision]". ''The Economist''. September 26, 2015. Retrieved September 26, 2015.</ref>]]{{Clear}} == Capitalism ==[[Image:Calvin Coolidge cph.3g10777.jpg|thumb|250px|right|"The [[business]] of America is business." - [[Calvin Coolidge]] ]]*[https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLbjmSS6LZDGounra1oTDTIHXlodKALZCb Capitalism works and is the best system] === How capitalism/economy works === *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PHe0bXAIuk0 How The Economic Machine Works by Ray Dalio] === Ease of doing business index by country (2020) === *[https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/ease-of-doing-business-index-by-country Ease of doing business index by country (2020)] == GNP by country per capita == *[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GNI_(PPP)_per_capita List of countries by GNI (PPP) per capita]*[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GNI_(nominal)_per_capita List of countries by GNI (nominal) per capita List of countries by GNI (nominal) per capita] == Most productive countries == *[https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/most-productive-countries Most productive countries], Updated annualy === List of countries by labor productivity (Ranked using purchasing power parity) === *[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_labour_productivity List of countries by labor productivity (Ranked using purchasing power parity)] In 2023, the USA was over 200% more productive in terms of labor productivity than Russia when measured using purchasing power parity.<ref>[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_labour_productivity List of countries by labor productivity (Ranked using purchasing power parity)]</ref> In 2023, the USA was over 400% more productive in terms of labor productivity than China when measured using purchasing power parity.<ref>[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_labour_productivity List of countries by labor productivity (Ranked using purchasing power parity)]</ref>  See also: [[Essay: The USA has one of the highest labor productivity rates in the world - significantly higher than both China and Russia]] == High-income economies ==[[File:United States flag in the wind.jpg|thumb|right|400px|The United States will likely be the strongest country for the foreseeable future and this is due to the strengths of the USA and partly due to the weaknesses of China and Russia.<br /><br />Please see: [[Essay: The United States will be the leading power in the world for the foreseeable future|The United States will be the leading power in the world for the foreseeable future]] ]]*[https://www.investopedia.com/insights/worlds-top-economies/ World's Top Economies], Investopedia *[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Bank_high-income_economy High income economies - World Bank measurement] *[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(PPP)_per_capita List of countries by GDP (PPP) per capita] === World Bank high-income economy === [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Bank_high-income_economy World Bank high-income economy] is defined by the World Bank as a country with a gross national income per capita of US$13,845 or more in 2022, calculated using the Atlas method. The [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atlas_method Atlas method], employed by the World Bank since 1993, is utilized to estimate the economic size of nations in terms of their gross national income (GNI) in U.S. dollars. To convert a country's GNI from its local currency into U.S. dollars, the Atlas conversion factor is employed. This factor incorporates a three-year average of exchange rates to mitigate the impact of temporary fluctuations in exchange rates. Additionally, it adjusts for the variance in inflation rates between the country in question (using its GDP deflator) and several developed nations (employing a weighted average of their GDP deflators in SDR terms). The resulting GNI in U.S. dollars is then divided by the country's midyear population to determine the GNI per capita [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Bank_high-income_economy#/media/File:High-income_economies_2019.png High income economies and former high-income countries] Time periods Russia was a high-income country: Russia (2012–14, 2022). [https://www.intellinews.com/moscow-blog-russia-is-stuck-in-the-middle-income-trap-134557/ MOSCOW BLOG: Russia is stuck in the middle income trap], 2017, IntelliNews === World economics and related information === ==== 2023 ==== *[https://www.visualcapitalist.com/visualizing-the-105-trillion-world-economy-in-one-chart/ Visualizing the $105 Trillion World Economy in One Chart], August 2023*[https://www.visualcapitalist.com/worlds-richest-countries-2023-gdp-per-capita/ Ranked: The World’s 25 Richest Countries by GDP per Capita], 2023 === The middle-income trap ===[[File:Latin America (orthographic projection).svg|thumbnail|200px|right|Many [[Latin America]]n middle-income countries haven't become high-income countries and have half the [[labor productivity]] of countries that are technological leaders.<ref>[https://www.brookings.edu/articles/is-economic-growth-in-middle-income-countries-different-from-low-income-countries/ Is economic growth in middle-income countries different from low-income countries?] by Barry Eichengreen, Donghyun Park, and Kwanho Shin, [[Brookings Institute]], September 25, 2017</ref><ref>[https://www.econ.cam.ac.uk/research-files/repec/cam/pdf/cwpe2267.pdf Is Southeast Asia falling into a Latin American style “middle-income trap”?], Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, CWPE 2267. Published 9 November 2022. Website www.econ.cam.ac.uk/cwpe</ref><br /><br />See also: [[Middle-income trap]] ]]*[[Middle-income trap]], Conservapedia *[[Middle-income countries]], Conservapedia *[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Middle_income_trap Middle income trap] *[https://www.brookings.edu/articles/is-economic-growth-in-middle-income-countries-different-from-low-income-countries/ Is economic growth in middle-income countries different from low-income countries?], Brookings Institution, 2017 Notes:  According to the The Economist basing on data from the World Bank, from 1960 to 2022, only 23 economies has been said to have escaped the middle income trap, most notably the Four Asian Tigers of Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, and Taiwan, Seychelles in Africa, Poland in Eastern Europe, as well as Saudi Arabia in the Middle East. Diversifying exports is also considered important to escape the middle income trap. "First coined by two World Bank experts in 2007, the middle-income trap phenomenon—the existence of which is disputed by some economists—describes how growth in developing countries tends to stagnate when gross national income (GNI) per capitarises above a certain level, as higher wages push up production costs. Countries can become “stuck in the middle” as they struggle to compete with low-income newcomers where labor costs are still low, and advanced high-income economies with strong innovation.  Although many countries in recent decades have emerged from poverty to enter the middle-income category, very few have made the additional leap to high-income status. In 2012, the World Bank found that only 15 out of 101 middle-incomeeconomies in 1960 had achieved developed status by 2010. Five were from East Asia—Hong Kong, Singapore, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan. And while escaping the middle-income category is difficult, it is also not impossible, with countries like Panama, Argentina and Croatia rising to join the ranks of high-income countries in 2018... Three factors that will determine China’s ability to avoid the middle-income trap: human capital, export structure, and productivity. ([https://english.ckgsb.edu.cn/knowledge/article/aiming-for-the-top-can-china-escape-the-middle-income-trap/ Aiming for the Top: Can China Escape the Middle Income Trap?], 2019). "According to Asian Development Bank, avoiding the middle-income trap requires identifying strategies to introduce new processes and find new markets to maintain export growth. It is also essential to increase domestic demand because an expanding middle class can use its increasing purchasing power to buy high-quality, innovative products and help drive growth. The biggest challenge is moving from resource-driven growth based on cheap labor and cheap capital to high productivity and innovation, which requires investments in infrastructure and education—building a high-quality education system that encourages creativity and supports breakthroughs in science and technology that can be applied back into the economy."[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Middle_income_trap] ==== China likely stuck in middle-income trap ==== *[https://archive.ph/AcvtG China Confronts the Middle-Income Trap] by Nouriel Roubini (economist), Project Syndicate, 2024 *[https://www.nippon.com/en/in-depth/d00922/ With “Xinomics” Caught in a Trap, China Will Not Join the Ranks of Advanced Economies], September 2023, Nippon.com === Is there an upper-income trap for a society? === *[https://www.ft.com/content/bc830276-c8d0-465a-88fc-e06eb83be90b Is the rich world stuck in an ‘upper-income trap’?], Financial Times, April 2024 === List of countries by Human Development Index === *[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_Human_Development_Index List of countries by Human Development Index] === List of countries by economic complexity === *[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_economic_complexity List of countries by economic complexity] == References ==<references/>