Difference between revisions of "New Hampshire primary"
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| − | The New Hampshire presidential primary for the 2016 cycle will be held on February 9, 2016. | + | The New Hampshire presidential primary for the 2016 cycle will be held on February 9, 2016. When New Hampshire was more conservative and when the Northeast had more credibility in the South, this primary outcome nearly decided who the Republican Party nominee would be, as in 1980 when [[Ronald Reagan]] won this primary and then the nomination. But by 2000, [[George W. Bush]] lost this primary and yet still won the nomination. |
| − | Republican primary voters are not as socially [[conservative]] in New Hampshire as in the Midwest and the South, | + | Republican primary voters are not as socially [[conservative]] in New Hampshire as in the Midwest and the South, and New Hampshire has lost the enormous significance it once had in the Republican presidential nomination process. It does has a maverick streak, liking to reject a front-runner candidate in order to deliver an upset winner. [[John McCain]] won New Hampshire primary in both 2000 and 2008, reflecting the anti-tax, pro-veteran, independent leanings of the primary voters. |
Independents are allowed to vote in the Republican primary, which can yield a more moderate result than if it were Republicans only. | Independents are allowed to vote in the Republican primary, which can yield a more moderate result than if it were Republicans only. | ||
Revision as of 14:52, August 16, 2015
The New Hampshire presidential primary for the 2016 cycle will be held on February 9, 2016. When New Hampshire was more conservative and when the Northeast had more credibility in the South, this primary outcome nearly decided who the Republican Party nominee would be, as in 1980 when Ronald Reagan won this primary and then the nomination. But by 2000, George W. Bush lost this primary and yet still won the nomination.
Republican primary voters are not as socially conservative in New Hampshire as in the Midwest and the South, and New Hampshire has lost the enormous significance it once had in the Republican presidential nomination process. It does has a maverick streak, liking to reject a front-runner candidate in order to deliver an upset winner. John McCain won New Hampshire primary in both 2000 and 2008, reflecting the anti-tax, pro-veteran, independent leanings of the primary voters.
Independents are allowed to vote in the Republican primary, which can yield a more moderate result than if it were Republicans only.
This is a must-win state for Jeb Bush in 2016, given that he is unlikely to do well in the Iowa caucuses the week prior.
Polling
In a new poll released August 11, 2015, Donald Trump has a commanding lead with 18%. The runners-up, in this order, are Jeb Bush, John Kasich, Carly Fiorina, and Ted Cruz.[1]