United States presidential election, 2024
The 2024 United States presidential election, the 60th quadrennial presidential election, will be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024. Heir of the Kennedy legacy Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. and incumbent Joe Biden are competing for the Democrat nomination. President Donald Trump has a significant edge over the undeclared candidacy of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, whom many speculate may announce a bid in the primaries.
Contents
Candidates
Republican Party
- See also: Republican presidential candidates 2024
Former President Donald Trump is considered a likely candidate to reclaim his office. Notwithstanding "polling data" to the contrary, he maintains a high popularity level among Republican voters who identify as conservative or very conservative. However, only one time has a former President ever reclaimed the office, that being Grover Cleveland who lost to, then defeated, Benjamin Harrison.
If former President Trump fails to secure the nomination, two current Governors -- Greg Abbott of Texas and Ron DeSantis of Florida -- have had their names floated as possible candidates. Both lead conservative states with fast-growing populations -- Texas is the second-largest state, Florida the third -- and each state is expected to gain at least one seat in the Electoral College once official Census numbers are announced. Both Abbott and DeSantis would be in the middle of their second terms in office in 2024. DeSantis is term-limited under Florida law, and furthermore Florida law would have to change to allow him to keep his office while seeking the Presidency; Abbott is not term-limited and could run for President while keeping his seat, not having to resign until and unless elected (as did his predecessor George W. Bush in 2000, who remained in the Governor's office until the contentious election was finally settled, then resigned prior to the beginning of the Texas Legislature's session), as Texas law has neither of the Florida law's restrictions.
Democratic Party
- See also: Democratic presidential candidates 2024
As it is highly unusual for an incumbent President who is eligible for a second term in office not to seek such[3], Joe Biden announced his candidacy for re-election in April 2023. As the incumbent he should have an advantage over a primary challenger for the nomination, however no incumbent in recent memory with a primary challenger has won re-election in the general election.
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., heir of the Kennedy mantle who espouses much of his father and uncle's ideas, and Marianne Williamson were the first to announce challenges to Biden's leadership.
On Election Day Biden would be 15 days shy of his 82nd birthday, which would make him by far the oldest candidate ever.[4] With questions raised about his mental fitness (as well as physical fitness), it is possible voters may seek an alternative, or that he may decide to step down from office prior to completing his term.
If so, then it is likely that current Vice President Kamala Harris will run, either as the incumbent VP or the incumbent President. Her electability has also been called into question, but as an incumbent (either as VP or POTUS) she is supposed to have an advantage. Former mayor over the systemically racist South Bend police department, Trans Sec. Pete Buttigieg has been named as a possible replacement.[5] The Pelosi acolyte presiding over the catastrophe that has become California, Gavin Newsom is being considered by party machine regulars, insiders and donors.
Third-Party Candidates
Both the Libertarian Party and the Green Party will almost likely run candidates of their own, being the two largest of the "third parties" with ballot status in all 50 United States.[6] In Europe where the Green Party originated, because the modern Russian Federation has rejected Soviet communism and adopted Orthodox Christianity, the Green party has abandoned its traditional anti-war positions and has become a leading War Party in support of globalism, the Great Reset, and the military industrial complex. It has yet to be seen what the future of the American Green party is.
Other minor parties and non-affiliated candidates are expected to run as well. The last such candidate to have any effect on the overall outcome was Ross Perot in his two attempts, both times gaining enough votes to allow Bill Clinton to win states by a plurality instead of a majority (votes that likely would have gone to the Republican candidate in both cases). West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin, affiliated with the "No Label" movement,[7] has also been mentioned as a rebuke to the far left craziness which dominates the DNC voter base in 2024.[8]
See also
- United States presidential election, 2008
- United States presidential election, 2012
- United States presidential election, 2016
- United States presidential election, 2020
References
- ↑ https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/white-house-communications-director-says-biden-never-shies-away-from-taking-questions-one-day-after-he-refused-to-take-questions/ar-AANy5jz
- ↑ https://thefederalist.com/2021/08/24/biden-turns-his-back-on-question-about-evacuating-all-americans-from-afghanistan/
- ↑ Excluding candidates who served the remainder of a predecessor's term and then a full term of their own, only four Presidents -- James Polk, Franklin Pierce, James Buchanan, and Rutherford Hayes -- have declined to seek a second term after serving one full term. Lyndon Johnson who was eligible for a second term, dropped out after being challenged by Robert Kennedy, Sr. during a period of economic and civil unrest at home, and an unpopular proxy war against Russia abroad.
- ↑ Like his friend and predecessor Strom Thurmond he thinks he can go on forever.
- ↑ https://freebeacon.com/columns/fight-night-kamala-v-pete/
- ↑ Some parties with ballot status in 36 states can attract nationwide attention.
- ↑ Joe Manchin Indicates Possibly Leaving Democrat Party Before 2024.
- ↑ https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/3982358-manchin-third-party-white-house-bid/
