United States Senate elections, 2022

Failing to attain a majority of the U.S. Senate in the elections of 2020 despite having an enormous monetary advantage, Democrats place their hopes on trying to attain a net gain of at least 2 seats in the 2022 United States Senate elections. As of January 2021 the Senate is expected to be 52–48 Republican, assuming that both seats in Georgia remain Republican-held.

The vulnerable Republican Senate seats up for election in 2022 are in the states of:

• North Carolina: incumbent Deep stater RINO Richard Burr is retiring; anti-establishment Republican representative Mark Walker and liberal Democrat state senator Erica D. Smith are running
• Pennsylvania: incumbent Pat Toomey announced on Oct. 5, 2020, that he would not run for reelection, after serving three terms in the House and then two terms in the Senate; he was narrowly re-elected in 2016 on the coattails of Trump, won won more votes.^[1]
• Wisconsin: incumbent Ron Johnson may term-limit himself to the two full terms he will have served, although his popularity and effectiveness suggest that he may run again with Trump's strong support.

In addition, Republican incumbents are retiring in Alabama, Missouri, and Ohio. Republican Sen. Chuck Grassley of Iowa seems poised to run for reelection, but has not declared yet.

The vulnerable Democrat-held Senate seats up for election in 2022 are in the states of:

• New Hampshire; incumbent Maggie Hassan may face a tough re-election fight, as she only won in 2016 over Kelly Ayotte by 0.1% of the votes cast^[2]
• Nevada; the state may become a tossup in future election cycles; incumbent Catherine Cortez Masto won in 2016 in part because RINO Joe Heck flip-flopped on Trump, voicing opposition to him that likely cost some support from conservatives^[3]
• Arizona, where the Democrat Mark Kelly won a special election in 2020 but will face a more difficult political climate in 2022
• Georgia, where the Democrat Raphael Warnock won a special election in 2021 and, as in Arizona, the Democrats will face an uphill climb in 2022

In addition to the above, other states that considered in play are Ohio (the Republican incumbent Rob Portman is retiring) and Missouri (the Republican incumbent Roy Blunt is retiring), although both seats are likely to remain in Republican hands.^[4]

Incumbent moderate liberal Republican Lisa Murkowski is running for re-election to another Senate term.^[5] A noted RINO, she has made numerous votes against her party throughout her tenure, including in the Trump era where she only voted with the president 59% of the time in the 116th Congress.^[6] Despite having voted to confirm some of Trump's more pro-life judicial nominees^[7] including Amy Coney Barrett,^[8] she has opposed key pro-life legislation that would ban late-term abortions.^[9][10]

AK Republican primary

Former Governor of Alaska Sarah Palin, a noted movement conservative who was John McCain's running mate in the 2008 United States Presidential Election, has hinted at a primary challenge against Sen. Murkowski.^[11][12] While President Trump has called for the state's senior senator to be defeated in the primary, Senate RINO Backers including establishmentarian John Thune defended Murkowski despite her RINO voting record.^[13]

• Kelly Tshibaka, an America First Candidate is currently the most likely candidate to win the primary.

Incumbent Richard Shelby is retiring. America First Patriot, Mo Brooks is running for the nomination and is likely going to be a slam dunk win.

Democrat Incumbent Mark Kelly is running for re-election. America First Republican Andy Biggs is currently the favorite potential Republican Candidate but as of May 2021, Bigg has not announced whether he would run or not. If Biggs runs it is highly likely that the seat will flip.

Establishment Republican incumbent, John Boozman is running for re-election.^[14]

Kamala Harris resigned to become Vice President. Gavin Newsom appointed Alex Padilla. Padilla will almost certainly have a slam dunk win for re-election.

Democrat incumbent Michael Bennet will run for re-election. This seat will be competitive but it will likely be held by him.

Democrat incumbent Richard Blumenthal is running for re-election and is almost guaranteed to win.

Establishment Republican Marco Rubio is running for re-election and is unlikely to lose.

Democrat Incumbent Raphael Warnock is running for re-election to serve a full term. Republican favorite to run against him is former athlete Herschel Walker. If Walker runs, this seat will likely flip.

Democrat incumbent Brian Schatz is running for re-election. He will likely win.

Establishment Republican Mike Crapo is running for re-election.

Incumbent Democrat Tammy Duckworth who is notorious for her bigoted attitude of declining Biden nominees if they are not POC or LGBT, is likely going to win re-election. It is possible for her to lose, but not extremely likely.

Establishment Republican Todd Young is running for re-election.

This state is likely safe republican. Incumbent Chuck Grassley has filed paperwork.^[15]. However, Grassley is 87, and will be around 93 by the time his term ends so if he runs is not known yet.

Incumbent globalist Republican Jerry Moran is up for re-election in 2022, and has not yet announced whether he would run for another Senate term. The state has notably changed politically during the Trump era, with the rural areas becoming more solidly Republican while Riley County, Shawnee County, and Johnson County have trended towards the Democrats despite previously being strongholds for the Republican Party.^[16][17] For the first time since a century, a majority of voters in mostly urban/suburban Johnson County voted Democrat in the 2020 U.S. presidential election.^[18]

The state generally favors establishment Republicans; Moran outperformed Trump in 2016 by ten percentage points, particularly in Johnson County.^[16] The third congressional district, which contains the latter as well as Wyandotte County and part of Miami County, has significantly trended towards the Democrats, with then-incumbent Koch puppet Kevin Yoder losing re-election in the 2018 Midterms by a wide margin despite previously being heavily favored there.^[19] In the same election cycle, anti-establishment conservative Republican Kris Kobach lost the gubernatorial race by a narrow margin after being opposed by the GOP establishment, failing to ground enough support in much of the state. However, Roger Marshall did reveal himself to be on the side of the America First Agenda.

Rand Paul is running for re-election. He will likely win.

Incumbent John Neely Kennedy has not announced that he will run again but will likely run again. He was among those who objected to the results.

Democrat incumbent Chris Van Hollen is running for re-election and will likely win.

Incumbent Roy Blunt is retiring. Eric Greitens has been the favored successor by Conservatives.

Democrat Incumbent Catherine Cortez Masto is running for re-election. This will be one of the most competitive races.

Democrat Incumbent Maggie Hassan is running for re-Election. Republican's favored Candidate is Chris Sununu. While a little iffy on some social issues, it is impossible to get a better conservative in New Hampshire and if he does run, Hassan will likely lose.

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer is running for re-election. It is not likely for him to lose.

Never Trumper, Richard Burr is retiring. Mark Walker who is endorsed by Madison Cawthorn and Paul Ryan is running. Anti Establishment, America First, Ted Budd is also running.

Establishment Republican, John Hoeven is running for re-election.

Establishment Republican, Rob Portman is retiring.

James Lankford is running for re-election.

Democrat Incumbent Ron Wyden is running for re-election.

Never Trumper, Pat Toomey will be retiring. This race will be by far the most competitive.

Tim Scott is running for re-election. he is likely to win.

Establishment Republican John Thune will run for re-election. Trump has vowed to campaign against Thune.

Incumbent Mike Lee is running for re-election.

Democrat Incumbent Patrick Leahy has filed paperwork to run for another term. Being at a similar age to Chuck Grassley, he might decide to not run again. Even if he doesn't, this seat is a safe Democrat hold.

Mostly conservative Republican senator Ron Johnson, who was elected in the 2010 Midterm Elections and re-elected in 2016 in an upset, may retire as he previously pledged.^[20] However, Trump has endorsed him and wants him to run for another term.

WI Democrat primary

Democrat Tom Nelson, the executive of Outagamie County, announced in late October 2020 his run for the Senate seat.^[21]

20 Republicans, 12 Democrats:

Republicans

Roy Blunt MO, John Boozman AR, Richard Burr NC, Michael Crapo ID, Charles Grassley, IA, John Hoeven ND, Ron Johnson WI, John Kennedy LA, James Lankford OK, Mike Lee UT, Jerry Moran KS, Lisa Murkowski AK, Rand Paul KY, Rob Portman OH (retiring, seat will be open), Marco Rubio FL, Tim Scott SC, Richard Shelby AL (elderly). John Thune SD, Patrick Toomey PA (prematurely retiring at merely age 59), and Todd Young IN.

Democrats

Michael Bennet CO, Richard Blumenthal CT, Catherine Cortez Masto NV, Tammy Duckworth IL, Padilla appointed replacement in CA, Maggie Hassan NH, Patrick Leahy VT, Patty Murray WA, Brian Schatz HI, Chuck Schumer NY, Chris Van Hollen MD, and Ron Wyden OR.