Trump third party - Revision history

DavidB4-bot: /* Trump quotes about 3rd Party candidacy */HTTP --> HTTPS #3, replaced: http://www.businessinsider.com → https://www.businessinsider.com, http://insider.foxnews.com → https://insider.foxnews.com

2019-04-09T23:24:13Z

Trump quotes about 3rd Party candidacy: HTTP --> HTTPS #3, replaced: http://www.businessinsider.com → https://www.businessinsider.com, http://insider.foxnews.com → https://insider.foxnews.com

DavidB4-bot: /* Trump quotes about 3rd Party candidacy */HTTP --> HTTPS, replaced: http://www.washingtonexaminer.com → https://www.washingtonexaminer.com

2019-04-03T21:43:19Z

Trump quotes about 3rd Party candidacy: HTTP --> HTTPS, replaced: http://www.washingtonexaminer.com → https://www.washingtonexaminer.com

DavidB4: category cap. fix

2018-10-11T04:00:53Z

category cap. fix

DavidB4-bot: /* Trump quotes about 3rd Party candidacy */HTTP --> HTTPS [#1], replaced: http://www.breitbart.com → https://www.breitbart.com, http://thehill.com → https://thehill.com

2018-09-26T21:00:26Z

Trump quotes about 3rd Party candidacy: HTTP --> HTTPS [#1], replaced: http://www.breitbart.com → https://www.breitbart.com, http://thehill.com → https://thehill.com

DavidB4-bot: /* References */re-categorisation

2017-12-01T20:18:46Z

References: re-categorisation

1990'sguy at 01:18, May 13, 2017

2017-05-13T01:18:21Z

RobSmith: /* References */ wrong cat

2017-05-13T00:53:24Z

References: wrong cat

DavidB4-bot: clean up

2016-09-11T04:46:37Z

clean up

DavidB4-bot: /* References */clean up & uniformity

2016-07-13T20:50:08Z

References: clean up & uniformity

Aschlafly: category

2015-08-12T02:22:11Z

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 *Pressed on whether he would run as a third-party candidate if he fails to clinch the GOP nomination, Trump said that ''“so many people want me to, if I don’t win.” “I’ll have to see how I’m being treated by the Republicans,”'' Trump said. ''“Absolutely, if they’re [Republican National Committee] not fair , that would be a factor.”'' <ref>[https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/248910-exclusive-trump-threatens-third-party-run Exclusive: Trump threatens third-party run, TheHill, July 23, 2015]</ref>
-*''"If they don't treat me well, Sean, why should I make that pledge?" Trump asked. "At this moment, it's great leverage, and I might as well use it." "I just want to be treated well and treated with respect."'' <ref>[http://insider.foxnews.com/2015/08/07/donald-trump-possible-third-party-run-its-great-leverage-and-i-might-well-use-it Trump on Possible Third-Party Run: 'Great Leverage, Might as Well Use It', FoxNews, August 7,2015]</ref>
+*''"If they don't treat me well, Sean, why should I make that pledge?" Trump asked. "At this moment, it's great leverage, and I might as well use it." "I just want to be treated well and treated with respect."'' <ref>[https://insider.foxnews.com/2015/08/07/donald-trump-possible-third-party-run-its-great-leverage-and-i-might-well-use-it Trump on Possible Third-Party Run: 'Great Leverage, Might as Well Use It', FoxNews, August 7,2015]</ref>
 *''"I've had many, many people ask me about running as an independent," Trump told me in a telephone conversation. "My sole focus is to run as a Republican. I'm a conservative Republican."'' <ref>[https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/trump-im-not-thinking-third-party-for-now/article/2567803 Trump: I'm not thinking third party -- for now, WashingtonExaminer, July 7, 2015]</ref>
-*Trump has also blamed Perot's candidacy for Clinton's 1992 win, ''"I think every single vote that went to Ross Perot came from Bush," "Virtually every one of his 19 percentage points came from the Republicans. If Ross Perot didn't run, you have never heard of Bill Clinton."'' <ref>[http://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-third-party-run-2015-7#ixzz3iYSzVZVz Donald Trump threatens to make Republicans' worst nightmare come true, BusinessInsider, July 23, 2015]</ref>
+*Trump has also blamed Perot's candidacy for Clinton's 1992 win, ''"I think every single vote that went to Ross Perot came from Bush," "Virtually every one of his 19 percentage points came from the Republicans. If Ross Perot didn't run, you have never heard of Bill Clinton."'' <ref>[https://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-third-party-run-2015-7#ixzz3iYSzVZVz Donald Trump threatens to make Republicans' worst nightmare come true, BusinessInsider, July 23, 2015]</ref>
 *''"...I want to run as a Republican, not a third-party independent. I want to run as a Republican. As long as I’m treated fairly that is going to be a case. And fairly is an instinct. It’s an instinct. I know what fair is, you know what fair is. I know what it is, yeah, and I think that is happening. And by the way, win, lose or draw, I’m not just saying I have to win. Now I guarantee you this if I win the Republican nomination, I guarantee you all sitting there, I will not run the third party candidate, do you agree?”'' <ref>[https://www.breitbart.com/video/2015/08/11/trump-i-was-the-establishment-two-months-ago/ TRUMP: ‘I WAS THE ESTABLISHMENT’ TWO MONTHS AGO, August 11, 2015]</ref>

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 *''"If they don't treat me well, Sean, why should I make that pledge?" Trump asked. "At this moment, it's great leverage, and I might as well use it." "I just want to be treated well and treated with respect."'' <ref>[http://insider.foxnews.com/2015/08/07/donald-trump-possible-third-party-run-its-great-leverage-and-i-might-well-use-it Trump on Possible Third-Party Run: 'Great Leverage, Might as Well Use It', FoxNews, August 7,2015]</ref>
-*''"I've had many, many people ask me about running as an independent," Trump told me in a telephone conversation. "My sole focus is to run as a Republican. I'm a conservative Republican."'' <ref>[http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/trump-im-not-thinking-third-party-for-now/article/2567803 Trump: I'm not thinking third party -- for now, WashingtonExaminer, July 7, 2015]</ref>
+*''"I've had many, many people ask me about running as an independent," Trump told me in a telephone conversation. "My sole focus is to run as a Republican. I'm a conservative Republican."'' <ref>[https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/trump-im-not-thinking-third-party-for-now/article/2567803 Trump: I'm not thinking third party -- for now, WashingtonExaminer, July 7, 2015]</ref>
 *Trump has also blamed Perot's candidacy for Clinton's 1992 win, ''"I think every single vote that went to Ross Perot came from Bush," "Virtually every one of his 19 percentage points came from the Republicans. If Ross Perot didn't run, you have never heard of Bill Clinton."'' <ref>[http://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-third-party-run-2015-7#ixzz3iYSzVZVz Donald Trump threatens to make Republicans' worst nightmare come true, BusinessInsider, July 23, 2015]</ref>

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 [[Category:2016 Presidential Election]]
-[[Category:2016 presidential debates]]
+[[Category:2016 Presidential Debates]]
 [[Category:Donald Trump]]

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 == Trump quotes about 3rd Party candidacy ==
-*Pressed on whether he would run as a third-party candidate if he fails to clinch the GOP nomination, Trump said that ''“so many people want me to, if I don’t win.” “I’ll have to see how I’m being treated by the Republicans,”'' Trump said. ''“Absolutely, if they’re [Republican National Committee] not fair , that would be a factor.”'' <ref>[http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/248910-exclusive-trump-threatens-third-party-run Exclusive: Trump threatens third-party run, TheHill, July 23, 2015]</ref>
+*Pressed on whether he would run as a third-party candidate if he fails to clinch the GOP nomination, Trump said that ''“so many people want me to, if I don’t win.” “I’ll have to see how I’m being treated by the Republicans,”'' Trump said. ''“Absolutely, if they’re [Republican National Committee] not fair , that would be a factor.”'' <ref>[https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/248910-exclusive-trump-threatens-third-party-run Exclusive: Trump threatens third-party run, TheHill, July 23, 2015]</ref>
 *''"If they don't treat me well, Sean, why should I make that pledge?" Trump asked. "At this moment, it's great leverage, and I might as well use it." "I just want to be treated well and treated with respect."'' <ref>[http://insider.foxnews.com/2015/08/07/donald-trump-possible-third-party-run-its-great-leverage-and-i-might-well-use-it Trump on Possible Third-Party Run: 'Great Leverage, Might as Well Use It', FoxNews, August 7,2015]</ref>
@@ Line 28: / Line 28: @@
 *Trump has also blamed Perot's candidacy for Clinton's 1992 win, ''"I think every single vote that went to Ross Perot came from Bush," "Virtually every one of his 19 percentage points came from the Republicans. If Ross Perot didn't run, you have never heard of Bill Clinton."'' <ref>[http://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-third-party-run-2015-7#ixzz3iYSzVZVz Donald Trump threatens to make Republicans' worst nightmare come true, BusinessInsider, July 23, 2015]</ref>
-*''"...I want to run as a Republican, not a third-party independent. I want to run as a Republican. As long as I’m treated fairly that is going to be a case. And fairly is an instinct. It’s an instinct. I know what fair is, you know what fair is. I know what it is, yeah, and I think that is happening. And by the way, win, lose or draw, I’m not just saying I have to win. Now I guarantee you this if I win the Republican nomination, I guarantee you all sitting there, I will not run the third party candidate, do you agree?”'' <ref>[http://www.breitbart.com/video/2015/08/11/trump-i-was-the-establishment-two-months-ago/ TRUMP: ‘I WAS THE ESTABLISHMENT’ TWO MONTHS AGO, August 11, 2015]</ref>
+*''"...I want to run as a Republican, not a third-party independent. I want to run as a Republican. As long as I’m treated fairly that is going to be a case. And fairly is an instinct. It’s an instinct. I know what fair is, you know what fair is. I know what it is, yeah, and I think that is happening. And by the way, win, lose or draw, I’m not just saying I have to win. Now I guarantee you this if I win the Republican nomination, I guarantee you all sitting there, I will not run the third party candidate, do you agree?”'' <ref>[https://www.breitbart.com/video/2015/08/11/trump-i-was-the-establishment-two-months-ago/ TRUMP: ‘I WAS THE ESTABLISHMENT’ TWO MONTHS AGO, August 11, 2015]</ref>
 == References ==

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 <references/>
-[[Category:2016 presidential election]]
+[[Category:2016 Presidential Election]]
 [[Category:2016 presidential debates]]
 [[Category:Donald Trump]]

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-'''Trump third party''' refers to the possibility that [[Donald Trump]] will run as a third-party candidate in the [[2016 presidential election]].
+'''Trump third party''' referred to the possibility that [[Donald Trump]] would run as a third-party candidate in the [[2016 presidential election]].
 The [[Fox News Channel]] opposes this and made it the first issue of the [[2016 presidential debate]].  But in 1980, it was a third-party candidacy by fellow [[Republican]] [[John Anderson]] which helped elect the [[conservative]] [[Ronald Reagan]].  Also, the third-party candidacies of [[Ralph Nader]] and [[Pat Buchanan]] helped elect [[George W. Bush]] in 2000, and the third-party candidacy of [[George Wallace]] in 1968 helped elect [[Richard Nixon]].  Indeed, the last 60 years suggest that is more likely for a non-incumbent Republican to win the presidency when there is a third-party candidacy, than when there is not.
 == Historical examples ==
 The example often cited by Republicans for a third-party candidate "spoiling" the chances of a Republican to win the presidency was Ross Perot's candidacy in 1992.  But an analysis of the polling data and Republican George H.W. Bush's approval rating (an unelectable 33%) demonstrates that the Ross Perot candidacy did not spoil Bush's chances of winning, and actually helped narrow the gap between him and Clinton.<ref>http://www.dailykos.com/story/2010/01/14/824800/-History-Perot-was-NOT-a-Spoiler-in-1992-or-1996#</ref>  More people who had voted for Ross Perot in 1992 drifted to Clinton in 1996, rather than to the Republican [[Bob Dole]], which reinforces the view that Ross Perot pulled at least as many voters away from Clinton in 1992 as from George H.W. Bush.
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 == Effect on the Media ==
 In 2008 and 2012, in the absence of third-party candidacies, the [[liberal media]] were able to tee off against the [[Republican Party]] candidate in an unrelenting style.  But when there is a significant third-party candidacy, as in 1968, 1980, and 2000, the media have a more difficult time being influential with its [[liberal bias]].
 == Effect on Debates ==
 The moderators and format for presidential debates tend to favor the [[Dems]].  As a result, Republicans tend to lose the presidential debates, with a few exceptions, dating back to 1960.  In 1968 and 1972, Richard Nixon wisely refused to participate in the debates.
@@ Line 20: / Line 17: @@
 == Effect on Swing States ==
+Historically, the swing states have been Florida, Ohio, Nevada, North Carolina, and Virginia.
 == Trump quotes about 3rd Party candidacy ==
 *Pressed on whether he would run as a third-party candidate if he fails to clinch the GOP nomination, Trump said that ''“so many people want me to, if I don’t win.” “I’ll have to see how I’m being treated by the Republicans,”'' Trump said. ''“Absolutely, if they’re [Republican National Committee] not fair , that would be a factor.”'' <ref>[http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/248910-exclusive-trump-threatens-third-party-run Exclusive: Trump threatens third-party run, TheHill, July 23, 2015]</ref>
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 [[Category:2016 presidential election]]
 [[Category:2016 presidential debates]]

← Older revision		Revision as of 02:22, August 12, 2015
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